Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid

La Liga

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

HT: 0–1

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

22 Mar 2026

21:00

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Stadium

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Madrid, Spain

Capacity: 85454 Surface: grass Address: Avenida de Concha Espina 1, Chamartín

Score Summary

Real Madrid

3 2

FT HT 0–1

Atletico Madrid

33' A. Lookman
66' N. Molina

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

55% Win

Real Madrid 1633 1642 ▲ 9

45% Win

Atletico Madrid 1599 1590 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

62% Win

Real Madrid 0.83 0.83 ▼ 0.00

27% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.32 0.17 ▼ -0.15

Top Performers

Top Rated

Giuliano Simeone

Atletico Madrid

8.6

8.6 rating · 71 min

Most Clinical

Vinícius Júnior

Real Madrid

8.3

2 goals

Best Creator

Matteo Ruggeri

Atletico Madrid

6.0

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Julián Alvarez

Atletico Madrid

7.5

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Real Madrid 59% Atletico Madrid 41%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

17 Shots 13

10 On Target 7

Form Context

Real Madrid

W L D W D

Atletico Madrid

L L L L W

Smart Insight

Real Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Real Madrid generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Real Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 53.0%

Draw 26.2%

Away Win 20.8%

Expected Goals 1.71 - 0.99

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	3-2	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	3-2	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

52 Possession 48

10 Shots 7

17 Shots 13

2 Offsides 0

6 Shots Off Goal 5

10 Shots On Goal 7

17 Total Shots 13

52 Ball Possession 48

508 Passes Accurate 451

559 Total Passes 505

91% Passes % 89%

1 Blocked Shots 1

5 Goalkeeper Saves 5

2 Fouls 15

1 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 4

4 Corner Kicks 1

8 Shots Insidebox 7

9 Shots Outsidebox 6

2.41 expected_goals 1.00

-1 goals_prevented -1

Real Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andriy Lunin	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	7	False	0	2	5	-	-	27	-	33	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Rüdiger	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	90	22	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	-	75	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Arda Güler	0	0	3	1	1	8	4	-	1	False	74	15	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	2	59	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Aurélien Tchouaméni	0	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	14	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	2	50	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Brahim Díaz	0	0	5	-	1	11	4	-	3	False	74	21	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	2	34	-	-	0	1	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Carvajal	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	True	64	2	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	2	30	-	-	0	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 David Alaba	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dean Huijsen	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	24	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	82	1	87	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Aguado	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eduardo Camavinga	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	16	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Valverde	1	0	4	-	3	8	5	1	1	False	77	8	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	34	-	38	-	-	0	-	3	4	-	-	1
👤 Fran García	0	0	-	-	-	7	5	-	3	False	90	20	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	39	-	44	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Fran González	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franco Mastantuono	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gonzalo García	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jude Bellingham	0	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	16	5	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kylian Mbappé	0	0	2	1	1	5	3	-	1	False	26	10	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Manuel Ángel Morán	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio Mestre	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Pitarch	0	1	-	2	-	5	1	1	1	False	64	45	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	44	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Trent Alexander-Arnold	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	26	12	D	6.3	True	1	0	-	-	-	9	1	13	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Vinícius Júnior	0	0	2	-	1	10	5	-	3	False	87	7	F	8.3	False	0	0	-	2	1	27	1	34	-	-	1	-	4	5	-	-	1
👤 Álvaro Carreras	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	18	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ademola Lookman	0	1	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	57	22	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	17	1	18	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Alex Baena	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	1	False	19	10	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Sørloth	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	33	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	2	2	1	7	3	-	-	False	57	7	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	2	31	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Clément Lenglet	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dávid Hancko	1	2	3	2	11	6	2	-	False	90	17	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	50	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Giuliano Simeone	0	1	-	1	3	3	1	-	False	71	20	M	8.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	28	2	32	-	-	-	1	1	2	2	1
👤 Johnny Cardoso	1	-	-	-	7	2	4	-	False	57	5	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 José María Giménez	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	45	2	D	5.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6	False	0	3	5	-	-	15	-	20	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julio Díaz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	3	1	1	11	6	1	-	False	90	19	F	7.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	42	1	47	-	-	-	1	5	-	1	5
👤 Koke	0	-	-	-	5	-	1	-	True	90	6	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	1	77	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Marcos Llorente	1	-	1	-	9	6	2	-	False	90	14	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	1	53	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	5
👤 Mario de Luis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	1	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	3	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	3	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Nahuel Molina	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	33	16	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	1	-	23	1	27	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nicolás González	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	33	23	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Obed Vargas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	45	24	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Salvador Esquivel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Almada	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	3-2	33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	3-2	33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 62.0%

Draw 10.9%

Away Win 27.1%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

53.0%

Home Win

26.2%

Draw

20.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Real Madrid 1.71

Atletico Madrid 0.99

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)