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12

HT: 0–1

08 Jan 2026
20:00
Live Ratings
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Score Summary
Atletico Madrid
1 2
FT HT 0–1
Real Madrid
Elo & xPi Evolution
Elo Expected win probability
50% Win
Atletico Madrid 1586 1576 ▼ -10
50% Win
Real Madrid 1589 1599 ▲ 10
xPi Expected win probability
42% Win
Atletico Madrid 0.23 0.17 ▼ -0.06
36% Win
Real Madrid 0.83 0.83 ▼ 0.00
Top Performers

Top Rated

Federico Valverde

Federico Valverde

Real Madrid

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Alexander Sørloth

Alexander Sørloth

Atletico Madrid

7.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Julián Alvarez

Julián Alvarez

Atletico Madrid

6.9

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Marc Pubill

Marc Pubill

Atletico Madrid

6.9

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum
Atletico Madrid 60% Real Madrid 40%
Key Stats Snapshot
55 Possession 45
22 Shots 8
6 On Target 4
Form Context

Atletico Madrid

L

Real Madrid

W L
Smart Insight
  • Atletico Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
  • Atletico Madrid generated the clearer shot volume edge.
  • Elo movement favors Real Madrid after this result.
Prediction (dixon_coles)
Home Win 42.2%
Draw 21.0%
Away Win 36.8%
Expected Goals 2.24 - 2.10
Qualification %
Atletico Madrid 0.0%
Real Madrid 100.0%
Based on 5000 simulations