Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1

Toulouse

HT: 1–4

Paris Saint Germain

Coach : Luis Enrique

30 Aug 2025

21:05

Stadium de Toulouse

Stadium

Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse, France

Capacity: 33150 Surface: grass Address: 1, allée Gabriel Biènés

Score Summary

Toulouse

3 6

FT HT 1–4

Paris Saint Germain

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Toulouse 1510 1505 ▼ -5

50% Win

Paris Saint Germain 1510 1515 ▲ 5

xPi Expected win probability

39% Win

Toulouse 0.01 0.01 ▲ 0.00

37% Win

Paris Saint Germain 0.15 1.38 ▲ 1.23

Top Performers

Top Rated

João Neves

Paris Saint Germain

10.0

10.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

João Neves

Paris Saint Germain

10.0

3 goals

Best Creator

Santiago Hidalgo

Toulouse

6.9

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Dayann Methalie

Toulouse

5.3

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Toulouse 43% Paris Saint Germain 57%

Key Stats Snapshot

24 Possession 76

14 Shots 13

6 On Target 8

Form Context

Toulouse

W L L L D

Paris Saint Germain

W W L W W

Smart Insight

Paris Saint Germain carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Paris Saint Germain after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.7%

Draw 27.7%

Away Win 35.6%

Expected Goals 1.41 - 1.38

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	3-6	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		63	L W L W D
3	Lille		57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		56	D W W W W
6	Marseille		53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

24 Possession 76

6 Shots 8

14 Shots 13

1 Offsides 0

3 Shots Off Goal 3

6 Shots On Goal 8

14 Total Shots 13

24 Ball Possession 76

207 Passes Accurate 805

268 Total Passes 860

77% Passes % 94%

5 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

7 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 0

5 Corner Kicks 7

8 Shots Insidebox 9

6 Shots Outsidebox 4

2.22 expected_goals 2.62

0 goals_prevented 0

Toulouse — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Domínguez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexis Vossah	0	2	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	27	45	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	9	-	13	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Aron Dønnum	1	4	2	3	13	8	2	3	False	90	15	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	21	-	0	-	1	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Charlie Cresswell	0	-	2	-	5	3	-	1	False	90	4	D	6	False	0	0	-	1	-	16	-	19	-	0	-	-	1	2	2	1	-
👤 Cristian Cásseres Jr.	0	1	1	-	8	4	2	1	False	90	23	M	5.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	1	35	1	1	-	-	1	2	-	2	3
👤 Dayann Methalie	0	1	-	1	7	5	-	-	False	79	24	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	18	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	3	4
👤 Djibril Sidibe	0	1	-	1	3	2	1	-	False	63	19	D	4.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	14	1	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Frank Magri	0	1	-	-	8	5	-	1	False	70	9	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Guillaume Restes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.5	False	0	6	2	-	-	16	-	20	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Vignolo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kjetil Haug	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Sauer	0	1	-	1	3	2	1	-	False	63	77	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	16	-	0	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Mark McKenzie	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	90	3	D	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	25	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Mathis Saka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Edjouma	0	4	-	-	7	1	-	-	False	27	31	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Rasmus Nicolaisen	0	1	1	1	6	4	1	1	True	63	2	D	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	-	12	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Santiago Hidalgo	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	20	11	F	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	10	2	13	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Seny Koumbassa	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	11	35	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Warren Kamanzi	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	27	12	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	11	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Yann Gboho	0	4	-	3	9	7	-	3	False	90	10	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	19	1	28	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	1

Paris Saint Germain — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Achraf Hakimi	2	2	-	6	2	-	-	True	90	2	D	5.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	69	-	76	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Bradley Barcola	4	1	2	8	5	-	1	False	75	29	F	8.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	28	3	30	-	-	0	1	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Désiré Doué	4	1	1	11	4	2	3	False	63	14	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	24	-	-	0	1	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Fabián Ruiz	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	False	90	8	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	114	1	120	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Gonçalo Ramos	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	20	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Mbaye	3	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	15	49	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	13	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilya Zabarnyi	-	-	-	7	1	1	-	False	90	6	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	87	-	94	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 João Neves	1	2	-	7	2	1	1	False	90	87	M	10	False	0	0	-	3	-	85	-	88	-	-	0	-	3	4	1	-	-
👤 Kang-in Lee	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	1	-	-	7	4	1	1	False	27	7	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Lucas Beraldo	-	1	-	7	3	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	97	-	101	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Lucas Chevalier	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	30	G	6.7	False	0	3	3	-	-	24	-	26	-	1	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Hernández	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marquinhos	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matvey Safonov	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nuno Mendes	2	-	2	5	3	2	1	False	45	25	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	47	1	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ousmane Dembélé	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	70	10	F	8.2	False	1	0	-	2	-	55	2	62	-	-	2	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Vitinha	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	45	17	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	1	63	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Warren Zaïre-Emery	2	-	-	5	-	2	-	False	45	33	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	45	1	48	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Willian Pacho	-	-	-	5	5	-	-	False	45	51	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	45	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Toulouse and Paris Saint Germain

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	3-6	30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille		31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille		31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient		31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse	3-6	31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29		30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Toulouse and Paris Saint Germain

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.7%

Home Win

27.7%

Draw

35.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Toulouse 1.41

Paris Saint Germain 1.38

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Toulouse

Paris Saint Germain

Stadium de Toulouse

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)