Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1

Marseille

HT: 1–0

Paris Saint Germain

Coach : Luis Enrique

5' Marquinhos

22 Sep 2025

20:00

Orange Vélodrome

Stadium

Orange Vélodrome

Marseille

Score Summary

Marseille

1 0

FT HT 1–0

Paris Saint Germain

Marquinhos 5'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

Marseille 1495 1504 ▲ 8

54% Win

Paris Saint Germain 1525 1517 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

48% Win

Marseille -0.03 0.28 ▲ 0.31

34% Win

Paris Saint Germain 0.28 1.38 ▲ 1.10

Top Performers

Top Rated

Gerónimo Rulli

Marseille

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

No standout performer yet

Best Creator

Nuno Mendes

Paris Saint Germain

7.3

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Timothy Weah

Marseille

7.3

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Marseille 17% Paris Saint Germain 83%

Key Stats Snapshot

32 Possession 68

9 Shots 12

1 On Target 5

Form Context

Marseille

L L W L D

Paris Saint Germain

W W L W W

Smart Insight

Paris Saint Germain carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Paris Saint Germain produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Marseille after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.7%

Draw 27.3%

Away Win 29.0%

Expected Goals 1.56 - 1.23

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	1-0	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		63	L W L W D
3	Lille		57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	1-0	53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

32 Possession 68

1 Shots 5

9 Shots 12

2 Offsides 1

5 Shots Off Goal 6

1 Shots On Goal 5

9 Total Shots 12

32 Ball Possession 68

245 Passes Accurate 611

308 Total Passes 669

80% Passes % 91%

3 Blocked Shots 1

5 Goalkeeper Saves 1

16 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 1

5 Corner Kicks 3

8 Shots Insidebox 4

1 Shots Outsidebox 8

1.14 expected_goals 0.67

0 goals_prevented 0

Marseille — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amine Gouiri	0	4	-	1	5	2	-	-	False	78	9	F	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	17	-	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Amir Murillo	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	12	62	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Angel Gomes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arthur Vermeeren	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Pavard	1	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	90	28	D	7	False	0	-	-	1	14	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Bilal Nadir	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	12	26	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emerson Palmieri	0	1	1	-	10	3	3	-	False	90	33	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	15	-	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Facundo Medina	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerónimo Rulli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	0	5	-	-	25	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Paixão	0	2	-	-	5	2	-	1	False	61	14	F	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	10	-	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Jeffrey de Lange	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leonardo Balerdi	0	1	-	-	10	5	1	1	True	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	20	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Mason Greenwood	0	-	3	-	5	-	1	-	False	89	10	F	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	21	2	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matt O'Riley	0	3	2	2	10	3	3	-	False	90	17	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	25	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Nayef Aguerd	0	-	-	-	7	5	1	-	False	90	21	D	8.2	False	0	-	-	-	28	-	35	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	29	97	F	7.2	True	0	-	-	1	9	1	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg	0	4	-	3	11	8	2	4	False	90	23	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	36	2	42	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Robinio Vaz	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	1	34	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Timothy Weah	1	1	-	-	8	6	1	1	False	78	22	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	18	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	5

Paris Saint Germain — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Achraf Hakimi	0	4	-	2	11	7	1	2	False	90	2	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	67	-	78	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	3
👤 Fabián Ruiz	1	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	90	8	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	-	69	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Gonçalo Ramos	0	1	1	-	12	6	2	1	False	89	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Ibrahim Mbaye	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	49	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilya Zabarnyi	0	1	-	-	7	4	-	1	False	90	6	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	64	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Kang-in Lee	0	1	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	26	19	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	0	4	-	1	9	5	1	4	False	90	7	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	42	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	-
👤 Lucas Beraldo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Chevalier	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	30	G	5.9	False	0	1	1	-	-	19	-	21	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Hernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marquinhos	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	-	True	90	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	1	78	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Matvey Safonov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noham Kamara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nuno Mendes	0	4	-	1	13	8	-	3	False	90	25	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	49	4	53	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Renato Marin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	89	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Senny Mayulu	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	17	24	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Vitinha	0	2	2	2	10	7	-	4	False	90	17	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	93	1	101	-	-	-	3	4	-	1	1
👤 Warren Zaïre-Emery	0	3	-	1	9	3	3	-	False	73	33	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	2	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Willian Pacho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	64	51	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	66	-	66	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Marseille and Paris Saint Germain

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	1-0	30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille		31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	1-0	31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient		31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse		31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29		30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Marseille and Paris Saint Germain

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.7%

Home Win

27.3%

Draw

29.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Marseille 1.56

Paris Saint Germain 1.23

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Marseille

Paris Saint Germain

Orange Vélodrome

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)