Lorient vs Monaco - Football Platform

Ligue 1

Lorient

HT: 1–0

Monaco

40' M. Bamba
76' P. Pagis
82' P. Pagis
90' A. Fati

27 Sep 2025

17:00

Stade du Moustoir

Stadium

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat

Lorient, France

Capacity: 18970 Surface: artificial turf Address: 11, rue Jean Le Coutaller

Score Summary

Lorient

3 1

FT HT 1–0

Monaco

M. Bamba 40'
P. Pagis 76'
P. Pagis 82'

90' A. Fati

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

Lorient 1490 1498 ▲ 8

53% Win

Monaco 1512 1504 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

49% Win

Lorient -0.10 -0.01 ▲ 0.10

34% Win

Monaco 0.00 0.24 ▲ 0.24

Top Performers

Top Rated

Pablo Pagis

Lorient

9.3

9.3 rating · 18 min

Most Clinical

Pablo Pagis

Lorient

9.3

2 goals

Best Creator

Arthur Avom Ebong

Lorient

7.9

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Abdoulaye Faye

Lorient

6.6

1 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Lorient 80% Monaco 20%

Key Stats Snapshot

47 Possession 53

19 Shots 5

8 On Target 2

Form Context

Lorient

L D L W L

Monaco

W W L D D

Smart Insight

Lorient controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Lorient generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Lorient after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 45.1%

Draw 27.2%

Away Win 27.7%

Expected Goals 1.59 - 1.20

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	69	W W L W W
2	Lens	63	L W L W D
3	Lille	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

47 Possession 53

8 Shots 2

19 Shots 5

0 Offsides 1

5 Shots Off Goal 3

8 Shots On Goal 2

19 Total Shots 5

47 Ball Possession 53

449 Passes Accurate 516

511 Total Passes 570

88% Passes % 91%

6 Blocked Shots 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

10 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 1

2 Yellow Cards 3

2 Corner Kicks 4

12 Shots Insidebox 2

7 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.98 expected_goals 0.92

0 goals_prevented 0

Lorient — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdoulaye Faye	0	1	-	1	4	3	1	-	False	90	25	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	-	68	1	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Ahmadou Bamba Dieng	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aiyegun Tosin	0	4	-	3	8	6	-	1	False	62	15	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	21	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Arsène Kouassi	0	5	-	4	10	6	2	2	False	90	43	M	8.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	2	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Arthur Avom Ebong	0	3	-	2	8	4	-	1	False	83	62	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	4	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Bamo Meïté	0	-	-	-	7	3	2	1	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	62	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Bingourou Kamara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Silva	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isaac Monnier	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jean-Victor Makengo	0	2	-	1	6	4	1	-	False	28	17	M	6.6	True	1	0	-	-	-	11	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Joel Mugisha Mvuka	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	16	93	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Karim Dermane	1	-	-	-	8	4	1	1	False	72	29	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	2	34	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Laurent Abergel	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	1	True	90	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	69	1	75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Mohamed Bamba	1	-	-	-	6	3	2	1	False	62	9	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	1
👤 Montassar Talbi	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	90	3	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Noah Cadiou	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	16	8	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Pablo Pagis	0	3	-	2	3	2	-	-	False	18	10	F	9.3	True	0	0	-	2	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	-
👤 Sambou Soumano	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	28	28	F	6.7	True	1	0	-	-	-	5	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Théo Le Bris	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	83	11	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	35	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Yvon Mvogo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	38	G	6.6	False	0	1	1	-	-	28	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Monaco — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ansu Fati	0	0	1	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	25	31	F	7	True	0	0	-	1	-	11	-	15	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Caio Henrique	0	0	1	1	-	5	2	1	1	False	90	12	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	40	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Christian Mawissa	0	0	-	2	-	5	-	1	-	False	90	13	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	101	-	106	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	2	-
👤 Eric Dier	0	0	-	1	-	7	5	1	1	False	90	3	D	8.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	113	-	123	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	2	2
👤 Folarin Balogun	0	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	45	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 George Ilenikhena	0	0	2	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	65	19	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Jordan Teze	0	0	1	3	-	10	2	2	1	False	90	4	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	43	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Kassoum Ouattara	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Krépin Diatta	0	0	-	1	-	4	3	-	1	False	45	27	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	30	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Mamadou Coulibaly	0	0	1	1	-	9	4	2	1	False	81	28	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	1	56	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Mika Biereth	0	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	45	14	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	1	1	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mohammed Salisu	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pape Cabral	0	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	9	41	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	13	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Paris Brunner	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Köhn	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	16	G	7	False	0	3	5	-	-	13	-	13	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stanis Idumbo Muzambo	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	25	17	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	13	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Takumi Minamino	0	0	-	4	-	6	1	-	-	False	65	18	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	27	-	-	0	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Thilo Kehrer	1	2	-	-	-	5	3	2	-	True	38	5	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	41	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Vanderson	0	1	-	1	-	4	2	1	1	False	45	2	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yann Lienard	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	50	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Lorient and Monaco

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille		31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille		31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco	3-1	31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient	3-1	31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse		31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29		30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Lorient and Monaco

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

45.1%

Home Win

27.2%

Draw

27.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Lorient 1.59

Monaco 1.20

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Lorient

Monaco

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)