Lyon vs Toulouse - Football Platform

Ligue 1

Lyon

HT: 1–0

Toulouse

24' M. Fofana
87' C. Mata
90' Emersonn

05 Oct 2025

15:00

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Stadium

Groupama Stadium

Décines-Charpieu, France

Capacity: 61556 Surface: grass Address: Chemin du Montout

Score Summary

Lyon

1 2

FT HT 1–0

Toulouse

M. Fofana 24'

87' C. Mata
90' Emersonn

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

56% Win

Lyon 1536 1528 ▼ -8

44% Win

Toulouse 1495 1503 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

56% Win

Lyon 0.28 0.06 ▼ -0.22

30% Win

Toulouse 0.04 0.01 ▼ -0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Emersonn

Toulouse

8.7

8.7 rating · 19 min

Most Clinical

Malick Fofana

Lyon

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Yann Gboho

Toulouse

7.2

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Ainsley Maitland-Niles

Lyon

6.7

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Lyon 50% Toulouse 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

69 Possession 31

13 Shots 14

3 On Target 3

Form Context

Lyon

L D W W W

Toulouse

W L L L D

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Elo movement favors Toulouse after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 50.8%

Draw 26.2%

Away Win 22.9%

Expected Goals 1.71 - 1.08

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		69	W W L W W
2	Lens		63	L W L W D
3	Lille		57	W W W D W
4	Lyon	1-2	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		56	D W W W W
6	Marseille		53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

69 Possession 31

3 Shots 3

13 Shots 14

2 Offsides 0

7 Shots Off Goal 5

3 Shots On Goal 3

13 Total Shots 14

69 Ball Possession 31

504 Passes Accurate 183

583 Total Passes 257

86% Passes % 71%

3 Blocked Shots 6

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

13 Fouls 17

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

8 Corner Kicks 5

10 Shots Insidebox 10

3 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.17 expected_goals 1.18

0 goals_prevented 0

Lyon — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Karabec	0	1	-	1	5	4	1	3	False	78	7	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	4	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Afonso Moreira	1	3	-	1	6	2	1	1	False	12	17	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ainsley Maitland-Niles	0	2	1	1	12	7	1	1	False	90	98	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	55	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	5
👤 Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Clinton Mata	0	-	2	-	4	1	-	-	False	90	22	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	67	-	77	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Corentin Tolisso	0	1	1	-	16	7	2	2	True	90	8	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	2	54	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Dominik Greif	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6	False	0	2	2	-	-	45	-	51	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Khalis Merah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lassine Diarra	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	50	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malick Fofana	0	1	-	-	6	2	2	1	False	90	11	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	2	17	1	19	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	1
👤 Martín Satriano	0	2	-	2	9	4	1	-	False	90	20	F	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	20	2	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Mathys de Carvalho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moussa Niakhaté	0	1	1	-	11	5	2	1	False	90	19	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	90	1	100	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	-
👤 Nicolás Tagliafico	0	1	1	1	17	9	3	4	False	90	3	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	-	64	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Pavel Šulc	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	10	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rachid Ghezzal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ruben Kluivert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tanner Tessmann	0	1	-	1	6	4	-	3	False	89	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Tyler Morton	0	-	-	-	10	3	-	1	False	90	23	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	1	69	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Téo Barišić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Toulouse — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abu Francis	1	1	1	1	6	4	1	1	False	45	17	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Alexis Vossah	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	12	45	M	7	True	1	0	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aron Dønnum	1	1	1	-	8	5	1	3	False	90	15	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Charlie Cresswell	0	-	1	-	9	6	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	32	-	-	-	-	-	3	1	-
👤 Cristian Cásseres Jr.	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	78	23	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	2	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Dayann Methalie	0	1	-	-	7	3	3	2	False	45	24	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Djibril Sidibe	0	1	1	1	6	4	1	2	False	78	19	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Emersonn	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	19	20	F	8.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Frank Magri	0	1	-	1	17	10	1	2	False	71	9	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	10	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	2
👤 Guillaume Restes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	1	2	-	-	13	-	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Vignolo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kjetil Haug	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Sauer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	45	77	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Mark McKenzie	1	-	1	-	6	2	2	-	False	90	3	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Noah Edjouma	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rasmus Nicolaisen	0	-	2	-	13	6	4	1	True	90	2	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Santiago Hidalgo	0	1	-	-	5	2	1	1	False	12	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Seny Koumbassa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Warren Kamanzi	0	1	-	1	5	2	-	-	False	45	12	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Yann Gboho	0	4	-	2	9	5	1	-	False	90	10	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	5	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Lyon and Toulouse

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille		31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon	1-2	31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille		31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient		31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse	1-2	31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29		30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Lyon and Toulouse

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

50.8%

Home Win

26.2%

Draw

22.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Lyon 1.71

Toulouse 1.08

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Lyon

Toulouse

Groupama Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)