Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29

Ligue 1

Marseille

HT: 2–0

Stade Brestois 29

08 Nov 2025

17:00

Orange Vélodrome

Stadium

Orange Vélodrome

Marseille

Score Summary

Marseille

3 0

FT HT 2–0

Stade Brestois 29

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

53% Win

Marseille 1509 1518 ▲ 9

47% Win

Stade Brestois 29 1485 1476 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

55% Win

Marseille 0.16 0.28 ▲ 0.12

31% Win

Stade Brestois 29 0.08 -0.24 ▼ -0.32

Top Performers

Top Rated

Angel Gomes

Marseille

8.2

8.2 rating · 70 min

Most Clinical

Mason Greenwood

Marseille

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Angel Gomes

Marseille

8.2

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

Marseille

7.9

2 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Marseille 78% Stade Brestois 29 22%

Key Stats Snapshot

64 Possession 36

19 Shots 4

7 On Target 2

Form Context

Marseille

L L W L D

Stade Brestois 29

L L L D D

Smart Insight

Marseille controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Marseille generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Marseille after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 49.7%

Draw 26.5%

Away Win 23.9%

Expected Goals 1.68 - 1.11

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		69	W W L W W
2	Lens		63	L W L W D
3	Lille		57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	3-0	53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

64 Possession 36

7 Shots 2

19 Shots 4

0 Offsides 2

8 Shots Off Goal 2

7 Shots On Goal 2

19 Total Shots 4

64 Ball Possession 36

605 Passes Accurate 304

658 Total Passes 375

92% Passes % 81%

4 Blocked Shots 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

12 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 1

6 Corner Kicks 2

10 Shots Insidebox 3

9 Shots Outsidebox 1

3.46 expected_goals 0.74

-1 goals_prevented -1

Marseille — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amir Murillo	3	-	2	8	4	1	-	False	90	62	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	42	2	46	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Angel Gomes	1	1	1	5	2	1	1	False	70	8	M	8.2	False	0	-	1	-	29	3	32	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Arthur Vermeeren	-	1	-	11	4	3	-	False	90	18	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	98	1	104	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Benjamin Pavard	-	-	-	9	4	-	1	False	90	28	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	82	-	86	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	4	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	14	-	14	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Darryl Bakola	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	False	8	50	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Emerson Palmieri	2	-	-	7	3	2	-	False	90	33	D	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	50	1	56	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Geoffrey Kondogbia	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerónimo Rulli	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	2	-	-	28	-	29	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Paixão	3	1	3	10	7	1	1	False	90	14	M	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	31	2	35	-	-	0	1	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Jeffrey de Lange	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mason Greenwood	3	-	2	4	3	-	-	False	79	10	M	7.2	False	0	-	1	-	41	1	54	-	-	1	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Matt O'Riley	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	20	17	M	7.2	True	1	-	-	-	11	1	11	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nayef Aguerd	-	-	-	9	3	2	-	False	79	21	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	58	-	59	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Neal Maupay	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	-	-	-	4	2	1	2	False	86	97	F	7.2	False	0	-	1	-	21	1	25	-	-	0	-	1	5	-	1	-
👤 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg	1	2	-	8	4	-	1	True	86	23	M	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	92	-	99	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	2	2
👤 Robinio Vaz	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	34	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tadjidine Mmadi	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	8	76	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Timothy Weah	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Stade Brestois 29 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bradley Locko	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	33	2	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	10	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Brendan Chardonnet	0	-	2	-	5	3	1	1	True	90	5	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Daouda Guindo	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	57	27	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Grégoire Coudert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hamidou Makalou	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	33	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Magnetti	0	1	1	1	6	4	-	2	False	74	8	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	2	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Joris Chotard	0	1	-	-	6	2	2	-	False	82	13	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	32	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Julien Le Cardinal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Junior Dina Ebimbe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	7	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenny Lala	0	-	1	-	5	3	1	-	False	90	77	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	38	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Luc Zogbé	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Tousart	0	-	1	-	4	1	2	1	False	45	24	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ludovic Ajorque	0	1	1	-	14	9	-	1	False	90	19	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mama Baldé	0	2	-	-	8	4	-	2	False	45	17	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Michel Diaz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pathé Mboup	1	1	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	45	99	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	8	-	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Radosław Majecki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.5	False	0	3	4	-	-	39	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Remy Labeau Lascary	0	2	1	2	5	2	1	-	False	45	14	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Romain Del Castillo	0	7	-	2	15	6	-	3	False	90	10	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	2	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Soumaila Coulibaly	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	90	44	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Marseille and Stade Brestois 29

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille		31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	3-0	31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient		31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse		31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29	3-0	30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Marseille and Stade Brestois 29

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

49.7%

Home Win

26.5%

Draw

23.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Marseille 1.68

Stade Brestois 29 1.11

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Marseille

Stade Brestois 29

Orange Vélodrome

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)