Lorient vs Toulouse - Football Platform

Ligue 1

Lorient

HT: 1–0

Toulouse

44' P. Pagis
65' D. Sidibe

09 Nov 2025

15:00

Stade du Moustoir

Stadium

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat

Lorient, France

Capacity: 18970 Surface: artificial turf Address: 11, rue Jean Le Coutaller

Score Summary

Lorient

1 1

FT HT 1–0

Toulouse

P. Pagis 44'

65' D. Sidibe

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

Lorient 1475 1476 ▲ 1

54% Win

Toulouse 1502 1501 ▼ -1

xPi Expected win probability

43% Win

Lorient -0.06 -0.01 ▲ 0.05

36% Win

Toulouse -0.01 0.01 ▲ 0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Montassar Talbi

Lorient

7.3

7.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Pablo Pagis

Lorient

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Arthur Avom Ebong

Lorient

7.2

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Arthur Avom Ebong

Lorient

7.2

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Lorient 50% Toulouse 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

50 Possession 50

10 Shots 6

2 On Target 2

Form Context

Lorient

L D L W L

Toulouse

W L L L D

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Lorient generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 39.8%

Draw 27.6%

Away Win 32.5%

Expected Goals 1.47 - 1.31

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	69	W W L W W
2	Lens	63	L W L W D
3	Lille	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

50 Possession 50

2 Shots 2

10 Shots 6

1 Offsides 3

6 Shots Off Goal 1

2 Shots On Goal 2

10 Total Shots 6

50 Ball Possession 50

325 Passes Accurate 346

399 Total Passes 413

81% Passes % 84%

2 Blocked Shots 3

1 Goalkeeper Saves 1

6 Fouls 18

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 4

6 Corner Kicks 4

5 Shots Insidebox 5

5 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.36 expected_goals 1.32

0 goals_prevented 0

Lorient — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aiyegun Tosin	-	-	-	5	3	-	2	False	69	15	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Arsène Kouassi	5	-	2	10	6	-	4	False	90	43	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	35	-	-	0	1	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Arthur Avom Ebong	1	1	-	12	8	1	2	False	90	62	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	2	56	1	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Bamo Meïté	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bingourou Kamara	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Darlin Yongwa	6	-	2	14	6	1	2	False	90	44	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	46	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Igor Silva	-	1	-	7	5	-	3	False	90	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	36	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Jean-Victor Makengo	2	-	2	2	2	-	-	False	21	17	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	9	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Joel Mugisha Mvuka	2	-	1	10	6	1	-	False	80	93	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	-	15	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	5
👤 Karim Dermane	-	1	-	14	6	-	3	False	80	29	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	21	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Laurent Abergel	2	1	1	5	3	-	-	True	60	6	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	30	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Mohamed Bamba	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	10	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	6	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Montassar Talbi	-	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	1	58	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Nathaniel Adjei	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Cadiou	-	1	-	5	2	1	-	False	30	8	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	23	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Pablo Pagis	2	1	2	10	3	2	-	False	69	10	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	13	-	18	-	-	1	-	1	3	-	1	-
👤 Sambou Soumano	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	21	28	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	5	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Théo Le Bris	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	11	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yvon Mvogo	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	38	G	6.7	False	0	1	1	-	-	26	-	32	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Toulouse — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abu Francis	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	66	17	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	40	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Alexis Vossah	1	-	-	-	8	4	2	-	False	24	45	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Charlie Cresswell	1	-	1	-	5	1	2	-	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	65	-	69	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Cristian Cásseres Jr.	1	3	3	2	13	5	2	1	False	90	23	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	1	52	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Dayann Methalie	0	4	1	1	16	8	1	2	False	90	24	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	12	-	-	0	1	-	1	-	1	4
👤 Djibril Sidibe	0	-	2	-	7	3	2	1	False	90	19	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	1	1	16	-	25	1	-	1	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Emersonn	0	2	-	-	15	8	3	1	False	80	20	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	15	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	5
👤 Frank Magri	0	-	-	-	12	3	4	-	False	90	9	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	16	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Guillaume Restes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	1	1	-	-	22	-	28	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Vignolo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kjetil Haug	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Sauer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	77	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mark McKenzie	0	-	-	-	6	5	-	-	False	80	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	48	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Noah Edjouma	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rafik Messali	1	-	-	-	4	3	1	1	False	10	22	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Rasmus Nicolaisen	0	1	-	1	7	5	1	-	True	90	2	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	63	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	4	-
👤 Santiago Hidalgo	0	-	3	-	6	1	-	-	False	10	11	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Seny Koumbassa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Warren Kamanzi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yann Gboho	0	5	-	2	6	2	-	-	False	89	10	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	37	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Lorient and Toulouse

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille		31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille		31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient	1-1	31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse	1-1	31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29		30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Lorient and Toulouse

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

39.8%

Home Win

27.6%

Draw

32.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Lorient 1.47

Toulouse 1.31

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Lorient

Toulouse

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)