Marseille vs Toulouse - Football Platform

Ligue 1

Marseille

HT: 0–1

Toulouse

29 Nov 2025

21:05

Orange Vélodrome

Stadium

Orange Vélodrome

Marseille

Score Summary

Marseille

2 2

FT HT 0–1

Toulouse

I. Paixao 66'
P. Hojbjerg 74'

14' Emersonn
90' S. Hidalgo

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

56% Win

Marseille 1536 1535 ▼ -1

44% Win

Toulouse 1491 1492 ▲ 1

xPi Expected win probability

58% Win

Marseille 0.33 0.28 ▼ -0.05

29% Win

Toulouse 0.04 0.01 ▼ -0.04

Top Performers

Top Rated

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

Marseille

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

Marseille

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Bilal Nadir

Marseille

6.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Emerson Palmieri

Marseille

7.2

2 tackles · 6 interceptions

Match Momentum

Marseille 56% Toulouse 44%

Key Stats Snapshot

77 Possession 23

20 Shots 6

5 On Target 4

Form Context

Marseille

L L W L D

Toulouse

W L L L D

Smart Insight

Marseille controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Marseille generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 52.1%

Draw 26.0%

Away Win 21.9%

Expected Goals 1.73 - 1.06

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		69	W W L W W
2	Lens		63	L W L W D
3	Lille		57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	2-2	53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

77 Possession 23

5 Shots 4

20 Shots 6

1 Offsides 1

8 Shots Off Goal 1

5 Shots On Goal 4

20 Total Shots 6

77 Ball Possession 23

660 Passes Accurate 157

714 Total Passes 217

92% Passes % 72%

7 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

7 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

9 Corner Kicks 1

11 Shots Insidebox 4

9 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.80 expected_goals 0.70

0 goals_prevented 0

Marseille — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Angel Gomes	1	-	-	-	4	-	2	-	False	45	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arthur Vermeeren	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Pavard	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	1	False	90	28	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	2	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Bilal Nadir	0	-	-	-	8	2	2	-	False	77	26	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	63	3	65	-	-	-	-	2	-	2	2
👤 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	1	4	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Emerson Palmieri	0	2	-	2	7	5	-	-	False	89	33	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	2	67	-	-	-	-	-	1	6	2
👤 Geoffrey Kondogbia	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	19	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerónimo Rulli	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	2	False	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	2	2	-	-	33	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Paixão	0	4	3	1	13	4	-	1	False	89	14	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	24	-	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	2
👤 Jeffrey de Lange	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leonardo Balerdi	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	14	5	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mason Greenwood	0	7	1	3	12	7	-	2	False	90	10	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	2	73	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Matt O'Riley	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	1	17	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nayef Aguerd	0	-	-	-	10	6	2	1	False	76	21	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	95	-	96	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	0	3	1	1	6	3	-	1	False	90	97	F	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	21	3	28	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg	1	-	1	-	8	5	1	1	True	90	23	M	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	112	-	116	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Robinio Vaz	0	-	-	-	6	2	-	-	False	45	34	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	3	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Tadjidine Mmadi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	76	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Timothy Weah	0	3	-	2	8	5	-	1	False	90	22	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	1	47	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Ulisses Garcia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Toulouse — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Domínguez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexis Vossah	0	1	3	1	7	2	1	-	False	76	45	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aron Dønnum	0	2	1	1	5	3	-	1	False	90	15	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Charlie Cresswell	0	-	-	-	6	2	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	-
👤 Cristian Cásseres Jr.	0	2	1	-	10	6	-	3	False	90	23	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Dayann Methalie	0	2	2	1	12	5	2	-	False	78	24	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Djibril Sidibe	0	1	1	-	9	6	-	1	False	85	19	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	10	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Emersonn	0	1	-	-	19	10	2	1	False	85	20	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	10	-	11	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	2
👤 Frank Magri	0	3	-	2	8	4	3	1	False	89	9	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Guillaume Restes	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	5.9	False	0	2	2	-	-	10	-	19	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Vignolo	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	12	7	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kjetil Haug	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mark McKenzie	1	-	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	3	D	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	18	2	23	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	2
👤 Noah Edjouma	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	12	31	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Lahmadi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rafik Messali	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	22	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rasmus Nicolaisen	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	-	True	90	2	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	2
👤 Santiago Hidalgo	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	8	11	F	7.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Seny Koumbassa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Warren Kamanzi	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	12	12	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Marseille and Toulouse

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille		31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	2-2	31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient		31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse	2-2	31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29		30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Marseille and Toulouse

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

52.1%

Home Win

26.0%

Draw

21.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Marseille 1.73

Toulouse 1.06

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Marseille

Toulouse

Orange Vélodrome

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)