Lille vs Marseille - Football Platform

Ligue 1

Lille

HT: 1–0

Marseille

10' E. Mbappe

05 Dec 2025

21:00

Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy

Score Summary

Lille

1 0

FT HT 1–0

Marseille

E. Mbappe 10'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Lille 1529 1539 ▲ 10

51% Win

Marseille 1535 1525 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

58% Win

Lille 0.45 0.30 ▼ -0.15

29% Win

Marseille 0.35 0.28 ▼ -0.07

Top Performers

Top Rated

Berke Özer

Lille

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Ethan Mbappé

Lille

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Nabil Bentaleb

Lille

7.3

1 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Benjamin André

Lille

7.3

5 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Lille 50% Marseille 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

42 Possession 58

5 Shots 6

2 On Target 2

Form Context

Lille

W W W D W

Marseille

L L W L D

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Elo movement favors Lille after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 52.0%

Draw 26.0%

Away Win 22.0%

Expected Goals 1.73 - 1.06

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		69	W W L W W
2	Lens		63	L W L W D
3	Lille	1-0	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	1-0	53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

42 Possession 58

2 Shots 2

5 Shots 6

2 Offsides 1

0 Shots Off Goal 1

2 Shots On Goal 2

5 Total Shots 6

42 Ball Possession 58

352 Passes Accurate 501

423 Total Passes 570

83% Passes % 88%

3 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

9 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

2 Corner Kicks 5

4 Shots Insidebox 3

1 Shots Outsidebox 3

0.35 expected_goals 0.53

0 goals_prevented 0

Lille — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aissa Mandi	0	-	1	-	5	3	1	1	False	90	23	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	46	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 André Gomes	0	3	1	3	6	3	1	-	False	13	26	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arnaud Bodart	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin André	0	-	-	-	12	10	-	2	True	90	21	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	36	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Berke Özer	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	0	2	-	-	16	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Chancel Mbemba	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ethan Mbappé	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	-	False	69	8	M	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	19	-	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	4
👤 Félix Correia	0	2	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	20	27	F	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	14	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson	0	1	2	1	7	3	-	2	False	84	10	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	28	1	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Hamza Igamane	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	26	29	F	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marius Sivertsen Broholm	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matías Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxima Goffi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nabil Bentaleb	0	1	2	1	9	3	-	-	False	90	6	M	7.3	False	1	-	-	-	57	1	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Nathan Ngoy	0	1	1	1	2	1	-	-	False	90	3	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	41	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Ngal'ayel Mukau	0	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	False	21	17	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Olivier Giroud	0	1	-	-	8	6	1	1	False	64	9	F	6.6	True	0	-	-	2	6	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Osame Sahraoui	0	4	2	1	11	4	-	2	False	70	11	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	20	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Romain Perraud	0	-	1	-	10	4	3	3	False	90	15	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	25	-	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Thomas Meunier	0	2	-	1	9	5	2	-	False	90	12	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	30	1	38	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2

Marseille — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amir Murillo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	62	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Angel Gomes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arthur Vermeeren	1	1	-	1	7	5	2	1	False	90	18	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	2	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Benjamin Pavard	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	1	False	66	28	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Bilal Nadir	0	1	-	1	6	3	2	1	False	10	26	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Darryl Bakola	0	1	1	1	6	4	-	1	False	24	50	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Emerson Palmieri	0	1	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	90	33	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Geoffrey Kondogbia	0	2	1	2	11	6	3	-	False	80	19	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	62	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	3
👤 Gerónimo Rulli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6	False	0	1	1	-	-	24	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Paixão	0	2	-	-	6	2	-	2	False	80	14	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jeffrey de Lange	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leonardo Balerdi	0	1	3	1	9	5	-	1	True	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	93	-	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Mason Greenwood	0	5	1	5	9	6	-	1	False	90	10	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	39	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Matt O'Riley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nayef Aguerd	0	1	-	-	5	1	-	-	False	90	21	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	84	-	89	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	-
👤 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	0	1	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	66	97	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Robinio Vaz	0	1	-	-	5	1	1	1	False	24	34	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tadjidine Mmadi	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	10	76	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Timothy Weah	0	2	1	-	7	1	3	-	False	90	22	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	1	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Lille and Marseille

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille	1-0	31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	1-0	31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient		31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse		31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29		30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Lille and Marseille

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

52.0%

Home Win

26.0%

Draw

22.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Lille 1.73

Marseille 1.06

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Lille

Marseille

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)