Marseille vs Nantes - Football Platform

Ligue 1

Marseille

HT: 0–1

Nantes

31' F. Centonze
88' R. Cabella

04 Jan 2026

15:00

Orange Vélodrome

Stadium

Orange Vélodrome

Marseille

Score Summary

Marseille

0 2

FT HT 0–1

Nantes

31' F. Centonze
88' R. Cabella

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

63% Win

Marseille 1543 1531 ▼ -13

37% Win

Nantes 1450 1462 ▲ 13

xPi Expected win probability

62% Win

Marseille 0.34 0.28 ▼ -0.06

27% Win

Nantes -0.61 -0.28 ▲ 0.33

Top Performers

Top Rated

Gerónimo Rulli

Marseille

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Fabien Centonze

Nantes

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Emerson Palmieri

Marseille

7.9

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Emerson Palmieri

Marseille

7.9

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Marseille 31% Nantes 69%

Key Stats Snapshot

56 Possession 44

11 Shots 15

4 On Target 9

Form Context

Marseille

L L W L D

Nantes

D D D L L

Smart Insight

Nantes carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Nantes produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Nantes after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 55.9%

Draw 25.1%

Away Win 19.0%

Expected Goals 1.81 - 0.98

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		69	W W L W W
2	Lens		63	L W L W D
3	Lille		57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	0-2	53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

56 Possession 44

4 Shots 9

11 Shots 15

3 Offsides 4

4 Shots Off Goal 2

4 Shots On Goal 9

11 Total Shots 15

56 Ball Possession 44

406 Passes Accurate 325

466 Total Passes 380

87% Passes % 86%

3 Blocked Shots 4

7 Goalkeeper Saves 4

17 Fouls 20

2 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

6 Corner Kicks 3

6 Shots Insidebox 12

5 Shots Outsidebox 3

0.75 expected_goals 3.63

0 goals_prevented 0

Marseille — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amine Gouiri	0	0	3	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	17	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amir Murillo	0	0	1	-	-	7	2	1	1	False	45	62	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Arthur Vermeeren	1	0	-	1	-	2	-	1	-	False	26	18	M	4.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Pavard	0	0	1	-	-	4	2	1	2	False	90	28	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	35	1	36	1	-	-	-	-	2	2	-
👤 Bilal Nadir	1	2	-	-	-	9	4	3	1	False	25	26	M	5.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	73	4	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Darryl Bakola	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	50	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emerson Palmieri	0	0	-	-	-	9	9	-	5	False	90	33	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	47	2	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Facundo Medina	0	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	45	32	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Geoffrey Kondogbia	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerónimo Rulli	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	0	2	7	-	-	14	-	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hamed Junior Traorè	0	0	1	-	-	5	1	1	-	False	17	20	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Igor Paixão	0	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	31	14	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	2	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jeffrey de Lange	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mason Greenwood	0	0	6	-	1	12	3	1	-	False	73	10	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	28	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Matt O'Riley	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	29	17	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	0	0	1	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	61	97	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg	0	0	3	1	2	15	7	2	5	True	90	23	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	79	-	84	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	-
👤 Robinio Vaz	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Timothy Weah	0	0	4	-	1	15	6	3	3	False	90	22	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	41	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2

Nantes — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anthony Lopes	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	True	90	1	G	8	False	0	4	-	-	23	-	26	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bahereba Guirassy	1	-	-	-	2	1	2	1	False	8	11	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	1	-	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bahmed Deuff	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	52	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dehmaine Tabibou	1	2	-	-	6	1	2	1	False	58	17	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	10	1	14	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Deiver Machado	0	1	-	-	13	8	4	2	False	90	27	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	1	14	-	20	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Doumbia Koné	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabien Centonze	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	3	False	45	18	D	7.7	False	0	-	1	-	6	-	9	-	-	0	-	1	1	1	2	2
👤 Francis Coquelin	0	-	1	-	7	3	2	1	False	58	13	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	24	-	26	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Johann Lepenant	0	-	2	-	3	1	-	-	False	27	8	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	10	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Junior Mwanga	1	2	-	1	8	5	1	1	False	63	80	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	17	1	19	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Kelvin Amian	0	-	-	-	9	6	2	1	False	90	98	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	27	-	32	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Louis Leroux	0	1	1	1	4	2	1	-	False	32	66	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	18	1	19	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Matthis Abline	0	6	-	1	11	2	2	1	False	90	10	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	1	13	1	20	-	-	0	1	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Cozza	0	-	-	-	8	8	-	3	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	38	-	46	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Patrik Carlgren	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rémy Cabella	0	-	1	-	5	1	2	-	False	32	20	M	7.9	True	0	-	1	-	29	2	30	-	-	1	-	2	2	-	2	1
👤 Sékou Doucoure	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	45	72	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	26	-	30	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	3	-
👤 Tylel Tati	0	-	-	-	6	6	-	1	False	90	78	D	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	52	-	53	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Uros Radakovic	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Youssef El Arabi	0	-	-	-	9	6	1	1	False	82	19	F	7.3	False	0	-	-	1	20	1	25	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Marseille and Nantes

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille		31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	0-2	31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient		31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse		31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29		30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes	0-2	31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Marseille and Nantes

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

55.9%

Home Win

25.1%

Draw

19.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Marseille 1.81

Nantes 0.98

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Marseille

Nantes

Orange Vélodrome

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)