Lille vs Strasbourg - Football Platform

Ligue 1

Lille

HT: 0–2

Strasbourg

25 Jan 2026

20:45

Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy

Score Summary

Lille

1 4

FT HT 0–2

Strasbourg

M. Fernandez-Pardo 90'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

Lille 1508 1498 ▼ -11

48% Win

Strasbourg 1491 1502 ▲ 11

xPi Expected win probability

58% Win

Lille 0.22 0.30 ▲ 0.09

29% Win

Strasbourg 0.08 0.27 ▲ 0.19

Top Performers

Top Rated

Julio Enciso

Strasbourg

9.2

9.2 rating · 76 min

Most Clinical

Martial Godo

Strasbourg

8.5

2 goals

Best Creator

Diego Moreira

Strasbourg

6.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Ayyoub Bouaddi

Lille

6.7

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Lille 50% Strasbourg 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

47 Possession 53

20 Shots 15

6 On Target 6

Form Context

Lille

W W W D W

Strasbourg

D W W L W

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Lille generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Strasbourg after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 52.1%

Draw 26.0%

Away Win 22.0%

Expected Goals 1.73 - 1.06

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		69	W W L W W
2	Lens		63	L W L W D
3	Lille	1-4	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		56	D W W W W
6	Marseille		53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

47 Possession 53

6 Shots 6

20 Shots 15

0 Offsides 1

11 Shots Off Goal 6

6 Shots On Goal 6

20 Total Shots 15

47 Ball Possession 53

350 Passes Accurate 421

414 Total Passes 481

85% Passes % 88%

3 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

11 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

8 Corner Kicks 1

17 Shots Insidebox 11

3 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.89 expected_goals 3.19

1 goals_prevented 1

Lille — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aissa Mandi	0	-	1	-	6	3	1	-	False	69	23	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Alexsandro Ribeiro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arnaud Bodart	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayyoub Bouaddi	1	3	-	2	10	6	-	-	False	90	32	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	3	45	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	4
👤 Berke Özer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	5.5	False	0	4	2	-	-	21	-	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Calvin Verdonk	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	21	24	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Chancel Mbemba	0	-	-	-	4	1	2	-	False	90	18	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	48	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	-
👤 Ethan Mbappé	0	6	2	3	15	5	1	1	False	87	8	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	2	26	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	1
👤 Félix Correia	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	10	27	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lilian Baret	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marius Sivertsen Broholm	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	14	F	6.6	True	1	0	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matías Fernández	0	2	3	1	12	2	1	1	False	90	7	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	24	2	29	-	-	-	2	2	1	-	-
👤 Nathan Ngoy	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	90	3	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	-	64	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	1
👤 Ngal'ayel Mukau	0	1	-	-	6	3	-	2	False	90	17	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	2	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Olivier Giroud	0	-	1	-	10	5	2	2	True	80	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	2	10	-	-	-	1	4	1	-	-
👤 Romain Perraud	1	1	1	-	8	2	1	2	False	69	15	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	24	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	-
👤 Saad Boussadia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Soriba Diaoune	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	1	False	21	35	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Thomas Meunier	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	21	12	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tiago Santos	0	1	-	-	5	3	1	2	False	69	22	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	2	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Strasbourg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdoul Ouattara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	29	42	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Andrew Omobamidele	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ben Chilwell	0	1	1	1	7	4	2	-	False	90	3	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	1	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Diego Moreira	0	3	1	1	10	5	1	2	False	76	7	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	3	28	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Gessime Yassine	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	25	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Guéla Doué	1	3	-	2	13	8	3	-	False	76	22	D	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	29	1	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Ismael Doukouré	0	1	-	-	7	4	1	1	False	90	6	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Joaquin Panichelli	0	2	1	1	15	11	-	2	False	87	9	F	8.2	False	1	0	-	1	-	16	2	24	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	4
👤 Julio Enciso	0	2	1	1	6	4	1	-	False	76	19	M	9.2	False	1	0	-	1	-	10	2	16	-	-	-	2	5	-	-	1
👤 Karl-Johan Johnsson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kendry Páez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Høgsberg	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mamadou Sarr	0	1	-	1	5	2	1	1	True	90	23	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	-	75	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Martial Godo	0	2	1	1	7	3	1	2	False	90	20	M	8.5	False	0	0	-	2	-	15	3	18	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Mike Penders	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	39	G	8	False	0	1	5	-	-	45	-	56	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rafael Luis	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	14	83	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Samir El Mourabet	1	-	1	-	7	3	2	-	False	61	29	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	28	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw	0	1	-	-	3	1	1	1	False	14	27	F	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sebastian Nanasi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	11	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Valentín Barco	0	1	1	-	6	4	-	1	False	90	32	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	1	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Lille and Strasbourg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille	1-4	31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille		31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg	1-4	30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient		31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse		31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29		30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Lille and Strasbourg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

52.1%

Home Win

26.0%

Draw

22.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Lille 1.73

Strasbourg 1.06

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Lille

Strasbourg

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)