Stade Brestois 29 vs Marseille

Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29

HT: 2–0

Marseille

10' L. Ajorque
29' L. Ajorque

20 Feb 2026

20:45

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Stadium

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest, France

Capacity: 15931 Surface: grass Address: 26, rue de Quimper

Score Summary

Stade Brestois 29

2 0

FT HT 2–0

Marseille

L. Ajorque 10'
L. Ajorque 29'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

Stade Brestois 29 1497 1508 ▲ 11

53% Win

Marseille 1519 1509 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

53% Win

Stade Brestois 29 0.15 -0.24 ▼ -0.39

32% Win

Marseille 0.02 0.28 ▲ 0.26

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ludovic Ajorque

Stade Brestois 29

9.2

9.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Ludovic Ajorque

Stade Brestois 29

9.2

2 goals

Best Creator

Romain Del Castillo

Stade Brestois 29

7.2

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Hugo Magnetti

Stade Brestois 29

7.9

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Stade Brestois 29 50% Marseille 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

32 Possession 68

12 Shots 17

4 On Target 4

Form Context

Stade Brestois 29

L L L D D

Marseille

L L W L D

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Marseille produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Stade Brestois 29 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 47.6%

Draw 26.8%

Away Win 25.6%

Expected Goals 1.64 - 1.15

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		69	W W L W W
2	Lens		63	L W L W D
3	Lille		57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	2-0	53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

32 Possession 68

4 Shots 4

12 Shots 17

2 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 9

4 Shots On Goal 4

12 Total Shots 17

32 Ball Possession 68

226 Passes Accurate 570

304 Total Passes 637

74% Passes % 89%

2 Blocked Shots 4

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

10 Fouls 17

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 4

3 Corner Kicks 2

9 Shots Insidebox 10

3 Shots Outsidebox 7

1.26 expected_goals 1.69

-1 goals_prevented -1

Stade Brestois 29 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bradley Locko	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	2	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brendan Chardonnet	0	-	1	-	9	5	1	1	True	90	5	D	8	False	0	-	-	-	21	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	2
👤 Daouda Guindo	0	-	1	-	8	5	2	1	False	90	27	D	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	17	-	22	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	4
👤 Grégoire Coudert	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	30	G	8.5	False	0	4	-	-	12	-	30	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hamidou Makalou	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Magnetti	0	1	-	1	6	6	-	2	False	90	8	M	7.9	False	1	-	-	-	25	1	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	3
👤 Joris Chotard	0	-	3	-	7	4	-	1	False	90	13	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	24	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Junior Dina Ebimbe	0	2	-	1	10	5	2	1	False	73	7	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	16	1	19	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Kamory Doumbia	0	1	-	-	9	3	1	2	False	79	23	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	27	2	34	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 Kenny Lala	0	1	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	90	77	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	18	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Luc Zogbé	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Tousart	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	11	24	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ludovic Ajorque	1	-	-	-	24	15	3	5	False	90	19	F	9.2	False	0	-	2	1	24	1	33	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	1
👤 Michel Diaz	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	1	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	22	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	2
👤 Pathé Mboup	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	99	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Radosław Majecki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raphaël Le Guen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	71	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Remy Labeau Lascary	0	3	-	-	4	-	1	-	False	17	14	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Romain Del Castillo	0	3	-	1	12	6	-	1	False	88	10	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	16	3	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Soumaila Coulibaly	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Marseille — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amine Gouiri	0	-	-	-	6	2	2	1	False	71	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	2	16	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Arthur Vermeeren	0	-	2	-	3	1	-	-	False	45	18	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	2	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Benjamin Pavard	0	-	-	-	11	3	3	1	False	90	28	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	98	-	104	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Bilal Nadir	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	9	26	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emerson Palmieri	0	1	-	-	5	3	-	1	False	90	33	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	1	55	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Ethan Nwaneri	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	19	11	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	13	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Facundo Medina	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Geoffrey Kondogbia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerónimo Rulli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	2	2	-	-	26	-	28	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hamed Junior Traorè	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	19	20	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	10	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Himad Abdelli	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	11	8	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Paixão	0	1	-	-	8	3	-	-	False	71	14	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jeffrey de Lange	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mason Greenwood	0	6	-	1	15	5	2	3	False	90	10	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	55	-	1	-	1	2	6	1	-	1
👤 Nayef Aguerd	0	1	1	-	11	6	1	1	False	90	21	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	-	78	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	0	2	-	2	3	3	-	-	False	45	17	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	1	7	-	7	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg	1	1	-	-	14	6	2	1	True	87	23	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	2	71	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Quinten Timber	1	2	-	1	6	2	1	-	False	79	27	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	46	-	0	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Timothy Weah	0	3	-	1	12	7	3	2	False	90	22	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	85	3	90	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Stade Brestois 29 and Marseille

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille		31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	2-0	31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient		31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse		31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29	2-0	30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Stade Brestois 29 and Marseille

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

47.6%

Home Win

26.8%

Draw

25.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Stade Brestois 29 1.64

Marseille 1.15

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Stade Brestois 29

Marseille

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)