Marseille vs Lyon - Football Platform

Ligue 1

Marseille

HT: 0–1

Lyon

01 Mar 2026

20:45

Orange Vélodrome

Stadium

Orange Vélodrome

Marseille

Score Summary

Marseille

3 2

FT HT 0–1

Lyon

3' C. Tolisso
76' R. Himbert

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

39% Win

Marseille 1509 1521 ▲ 12

61% Win

Lyon 1586 1574 ▼ -12

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Marseille 0.07 0.28 ▲ 0.21

41% Win

Lyon 0.42 0.06 ▼ -0.36

Top Performers

Top Rated

Igor Paixão

Marseille

8.7

8.7 rating · 45 min

Most Clinical

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Marseille

8.2

2 goals

Best Creator

Endrick

Lyon

7.2

4 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

Marseille

7.5

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Marseille 54% Lyon 46%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

18 Shots 12

7 On Target 6

Form Context

Marseille

L L W L D

Lyon

L D W W W

Smart Insight

Marseille controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Marseille generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Marseille after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 34.0%

Draw 27.7%

Away Win 38.3%

Expected Goals 1.35 - 1.44

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		69	W W L W W
2	Lens		63	L W L W D
3	Lille		57	W W W D W
4	Lyon	3-2	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	3-2	53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

52 Possession 48

7 Shots 6

18 Shots 12

0 Offsides 4

5 Shots Off Goal 5

7 Shots On Goal 6

18 Total Shots 12

52 Ball Possession 48

376 Passes Accurate 359

456 Total Passes 439

82% Passes % 82%

6 Blocked Shots 1

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

16 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

8 Corner Kicks 1

12 Shots Insidebox 10

6 Shots Outsidebox 2

2.33 expected_goals 1.47

0 goals_prevented 0

Marseille — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arthur Vermeeren	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Pavard	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	16	28	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emerson Palmieri	0	-	2	-	8	3	1	1	False	90	33	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	3	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ethan Nwaneri	0	2	-	-	7	2	-	-	False	27	11	M	7.3	True	1	0	-	-	-	13	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Facundo Medina	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Geoffrey Kondogbia	1	-	-	-	9	3	4	-	False	85	19	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	47	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Gerónimo Rulli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.5	False	0	2	4	-	-	29	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hamed Junior Traorè	0	4	-	1	12	7	1	2	False	63	20	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Himad Abdelli	1	-	1	-	3	1	1	-	False	15	8	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Igor Paixão	0	3	1	-	7	2	-	-	False	45	14	F	8.7	True	1	0	-	1	-	14	1	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jeffrey de Lange	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leonardo Balerdi	0	1	2	-	8	3	2	1	False	90	5	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Mason Greenwood	0	4	-	2	7	2	2	-	False	89	10	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	32	-	-	-	4	5	-	-	-
👤 Nayef Aguerd	1	-	1	-	7	3	2	-	False	90	21	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	47	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	0	-	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	17	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	2	-	14	1	16	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg	0	1	2	-	10	7	-	1	True	90	23	M	7.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	41	4	52	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	4
👤 Quinten Timber	0	-	2	-	5	2	1	-	False	45	27	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	2	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Timothy Weah	0	-	1	-	7	5	1	2	False	84	22	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	43	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Tochukwu Nnadi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	6	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Lyon — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abner Vinícius	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	16	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adam Karabec	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ainsley Maitland-Niles	0	-	1	-	10	7	-	-	False	90	98	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	2	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Clinton Mata	1	-	-	-	6	4	1	1	False	90	22	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Corentin Tolisso	0	1	-	-	9	7	-	3	True	90	8	M	8.5	False	0	0	-	1	1	43	3	51	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	3
👤 Dominik Greif	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	3	4	-	-	21	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Endrick	0	6	1	3	14	7	1	3	False	90	9	F	7.2	False	2	0	-	-	-	15	4	20	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	1
👤 Hans Hateboer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Khalis Merah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathys de Carvalho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moussa Niakhaté	0	-	-	-	5	1	-	1	False	90	19	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	-
👤 Nicolás Tagliafico	0	-	-	-	7	3	2	2	False	88	3	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	33	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Noah Nartey	0	7	-	4	13	7	-	1	False	90	99	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	28	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Noham Kamara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	85	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rachid Ghezzal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roman Yaremchuk	0	2	-	1	4	2	-	-	False	60	77	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	2	12	1	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Rémi Himbert	0	4	-	3	11	6	1	3	False	30	45	F	7.6	True	0	0	-	1	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Rémy Descamps	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tanner Tessmann	0	1	1	1	10	4	3	-	False	90	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	47	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	2
👤 Tyler Morton	1	-	-	-	8	6	-	2	False	90	23	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Marseille and Lyon

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille		31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon	3-2	31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	3-2	31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient		31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse		31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29		30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Marseille and Lyon

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

34.0%

Home Win

27.7%

Draw

38.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Marseille 1.35

Lyon 1.44

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Marseille

Lyon

Orange Vélodrome

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)