Toulouse vs Marseille - Football Platform

Ligue 1

Toulouse

HT: 0–1

Marseille

18' M. Greenwood

07 Mar 2026

21:05

Stadium de Toulouse

Stadium

Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse, France

Capacity: 33150 Surface: grass Address: 1, allée Gabriel Biènés

Score Summary

Toulouse

0 1

FT HT 0–1

Marseille

18' M. Greenwood

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

45% Win

Toulouse 1487 1478 ▼ -9

55% Win

Marseille 1521 1530 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

39% Win

Toulouse 0.11 0.01 ▼ -0.10

37% Win

Marseille 0.12 0.28 ▲ 0.16

Top Performers

Top Rated

Gerónimo Rulli

Marseille

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Mason Greenwood

Marseille

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Aron Dønnum

Toulouse

6.7

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Quinten Timber

Marseille

7.2

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Toulouse 40% Marseille 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

49 Possession 51

12 Shots 10

2 On Target 3

Form Context

Toulouse

W L L L D

Marseille

L L W L D

Smart Insight

Marseille carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Marseille after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.9%

Draw 27.7%

Away Win 35.3%

Expected Goals 1.41 - 1.38

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		69	W W L W W
2	Lens		63	L W L W D
3	Lille		57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	0-1	53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

49 Possession 51

2 Shots 3

12 Shots 10

3 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 6

2 Shots On Goal 3

12 Total Shots 10

49 Ball Possession 51

363 Passes Accurate 386

438 Total Passes 461

83% Passes % 84%

3 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

15 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

4 Corner Kicks 2

9 Shots Insidebox 7

3 Shots Outsidebox 3

0.91 expected_goals 1.13

0 goals_prevented 0

Toulouse — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexis Vossah	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	1	False	21	45	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aron Dønnum	1	1	1	-	8	2	2	1	False	90	15	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	5	43	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Cristian Cásseres Jr.	0	1	-	-	7	4	1	1	False	69	23	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Dayann Methalie	0	4	-	1	15	4	2	-	False	79	24	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Djibril Sidibe	0	1	-	-	9	5	3	-	False	90	19	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	37	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Emersonn	0	1	-	-	5	-	1	-	False	45	20	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gaëtan Bakhouche	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Guillaume Restes	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	1	2	-	-	16	-	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacen Russell-Rowe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	13	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Vignolo	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	7	F	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Kjetil Haug	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Sauer	0	1	-	1	2	1	1	-	False	12	77	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mark McKenzie	1	-	-	-	10	5	2	3	False	90	3	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	3	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Naime Said Mchindra	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pape Diop	0	1	4	-	14	4	2	-	False	84	18	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	50	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	4
👤 Rasmus Nicolaisen	0	-	1	-	5	4	-	1	True	90	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	53	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	-
👤 Santiago Hidalgo	0	-	-	-	5	1	-	1	False	45	11	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Seny Koumbassa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Warren Kamanzi	0	2	-	2	6	6	-	1	False	78	12	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	29	1	33	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Yann Gboho	0	5	1	3	16	10	-	5	False	90	10	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	33	2	41	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	2

Marseille — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amine Gouiri	0	3	-	2	9	4	2	-	False	24	9	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Ange Lago	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arthur Vermeeren	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	18	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Pavard	0	-	-	-	10	8	2	1	False	90	28	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	59	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emerson Palmieri	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	13	33	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ethan Nwaneri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Facundo Medina	1	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	90	32	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	46	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Geoffrey Kondogbia	0	-	-	-	7	5	1	1	False	66	19	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	40	-	47	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	3
👤 Gerónimo Rulli	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	2	-	-	38	-	49	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hamed Junior Traorè	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Paixão	0	5	1	1	15	6	1	3	False	90	14	M	6.6	False	1	-	-	1	12	3	18	-	-	-	1	4	-	-	2
👤 Jeffrey de Lange	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leonardo Balerdi	0	-	-	-	6	6	-	2	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	55	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Mason Greenwood	1	2	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	66	10	F	7.7	False	0	-	1	-	19	2	21	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	0	2	-	2	6	4	-	2	False	83	17	F	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg	0	2	2	1	10	3	2	-	True	90	23	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	55	-	67	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Quinten Timber	0	6	1	2	20	12	-	4	False	82	27	F	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	21	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Timothy Weah	1	2	2	-	13	7	2	1	False	90	22	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	22	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6
👤 Tochukwu Nnadi	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	24	6	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Toulouse and Marseille

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain		30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille		31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille	0-1	31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient		31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse	0-1	31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29		30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Toulouse and Marseille

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.9%

Home Win

27.7%

Draw

35.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Toulouse 1.41

Marseille 1.38

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Toulouse

Marseille

Stadium de Toulouse

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)