Paris Saint Germain vs Toulouse

Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain

Coach : Luis Enrique

HT: 2–1

Toulouse

03 Apr 2026

20:45

Parc des Princes

Stadium

Parc des Princes

Paris, France

Capacity: 47929 Surface: grass Address: 24, rue du Commandant Guilbaud

Score Summary

Paris Saint Germain

3 1

FT HT 2–1

Toulouse

27' R. Nicolaisen

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

66% Win

Paris Saint Germain 1615 1622 ▲ 7

34% Win

Toulouse 1497 1490 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

59% Win

Paris Saint Germain 1.26 1.38 ▲ 0.11

29% Win

Toulouse 0.13 0.01 ▼ -0.12

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ousmane Dembélé

Paris Saint Germain

8.7

8.7 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Ousmane Dembélé

Paris Saint Germain

8.7

2 goals

Best Creator

Kang-in Lee

Paris Saint Germain

7.3

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Lucas Beraldo

Paris Saint Germain

7.0

4 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Paris Saint Germain 88% Toulouse 12%

Key Stats Snapshot

72 Possession 28

17 Shots 5

7 On Target 1

Form Context

Paris Saint Germain

W W L W W

Toulouse

W L L L D

Smart Insight

Paris Saint Germain controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Paris Saint Germain generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Paris Saint Germain after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 53.6%

Draw 25.6%

Away Win 20.7%

Expected Goals 1.76 - 1.02

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	3-1	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		63	L W L W D
3	Lille		57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		56	D W W W W
6	Marseille		53	L L W L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

72 Possession 28

7 Shots 1

17 Shots 5

2 Offsides 4

6 Shots Off Goal 4

7 Shots On Goal 1

17 Total Shots 5

72 Ball Possession 28

737 Passes Accurate 245

814 Total Passes 314

91% Passes % 78%

4 Blocked Shots 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

4 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 1

5 Corner Kicks 2

8 Shots Insidebox 1

9 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.95 expected_goals 0.16

0 goals_prevented 0

Paris Saint Germain — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Achraf Hakimi	1	-	1	4	4	-	3	True	90	2	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	69	2	75	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Dro Fernández	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Désiré Doué	1	2	-	8	3	1	-	False	87	14	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	72	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Gonçalo Ramos	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	7	9	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Mbaye	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilya Zabarnyi	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	90	6	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	93	-	101	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 João Neves	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	31	87	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kang-in Lee	1	-	-	6	3	2	1	False	59	19	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	5	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	3	-	3	13	13	-	3	False	68	7	F	8	False	1	0	-	-	-	40	3	46	-	-	-	2	5	-	-	5
👤 Lucas Beraldo	1	1	-	7	4	-	-	False	67	4	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	1	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Lucas Chevalier	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Hernández	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	21	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	83	-	92	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Marquinhos	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matvey Safonov	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	39	G	5.9	False	0	1	-	-	-	23	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nuno Mendes	2	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	22	25	D	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	1	13	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ousmane Dembélé	1	1	1	2	1	-	-	False	90	10	F	8.7	False	0	0	-	2	1	47	2	53	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Renato Marin	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	89	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vitinha	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	23	17	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Warren Zaïre-Emery	3	-	2	12	8	1	2	False	90	33	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	72	-	75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Willian Pacho	-	-	-	7	2	-	-	False	90	51	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	100	-	104	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	1

Toulouse — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexis Vossah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aron Dønnum	0	-	-	-	6	-	4	-	False	90	15	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Cristian Cásseres Jr.	1	1	-	-	5	2	1	2	False	83	23	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	40	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 Dayann Methalie	0	-	-	-	6	1	4	-	False	67	24	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Djibril Sidibe	0	3	-	1	9	3	-	-	False	83	19	M	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	1	19	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Emersonn	0	1	-	1	11	6	1	-	False	83	20	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Gaëtan Bakhouche	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Guillaume Restes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	3	3	-	-	9	-	23	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilyas Azizi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	37	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacen Russell-Rowe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	13	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Vignolo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kjetil Haug	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Sauer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	77	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Mark McKenzie	0	1	1	1	5	3	1	-	False	90	3	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Naime Said Mchindra	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pape Diop	0	-	2	-	6	2	-	1	False	90	18	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	41	-	-	-	-	2	-	4	1
👤 Rasmus Nicolaisen	0	-	1	-	8	4	1	1	True	90	2	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	30	-	35	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Seny Koumbassa	0	-	2	-	3	1	-	-	False	90	35	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Warren Kamanzi	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	23	12	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Yann Gboho	0	5	-	2	10	3	1	-	False	90	10	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	2	16	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Paris Saint Germain and Toulouse

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	3-1	30	22	3	5	68	26	42	69	W W L W W
2	Lens		30	20	3	7	60	32	28	63	L W L W D
3	Lille		31	17	6	8	50	34	16	57	W W W D W
4	Lyon		31	17	6	8	48	32	16	57	L D W W W
5	Rennes		31	16	8	7	54	42	12	56	D W W W W
6	Marseille		31	16	5	10	59	41	18	53	L L W L D
7	Monaco		31	15	6	10	54	47	7	51	W W L D D
8	Strasbourg		30	13	7	10	49	39	10	46	D W W L W
9	Lorient		31	10	11	10	42	47	-5	41	L D L W L
10	Toulouse	3-1	31	10	8	13	43	44	-1	38	W L L L D
11	Stade Brestois 29		30	10	8	12	41	47	-6	38	L L L D D
12	Paris FC		31	9	11	11	40	47	-7	38	W D W W L
13	Angers		31	9	7	15	26	43	-17	34	L D L D L
14	Le Havre		31	6	13	12	29	42	-13	31	L D D D D
15	Nice		31	7	9	15	35	57	-22	30	L L D D D
16	Auxerre		31	5	10	16	27	42	-15	25	W D D D L
17	Nantes		31	4	8	19	27	51	-24	20	D D D L L
18	Metz		31	3	7	21	31	70	-39	16	D D L L D

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Paris Saint Germain and Toulouse

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Paris Saint Germain	30	77	1
2	Lens	30	69	2
3	Lille	31	61	4
4	Lyon	31	61	4
5	Rennes	31	60	5
6	Marseille	31	58	6
7	Monaco	31	55	7
8	Strasbourg	30	52	8
9	Lorient	31	45	10
10	Toulouse	31	42	11
11	Stade Brestois 29	30	44	10
12	Paris FC	31	41	11
13	Angers	31	37	13
14	Le Havre	31	34	14
15	Nice	31	34	15
16	Auxerre	31	29	16
17	Nantes	31	23	17
18	Metz	31	19	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 53.4%

Draw 14.9%

Away Win 31.7%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

53.6%

Home Win

25.6%

Draw

20.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Paris Saint Germain 1.76

Toulouse 1.02

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Paris Saint Germain

Toulouse

Parc des Princes

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)