Sturm Graz vs FK Crvena Zvezda

Europa League

Sturm Graz

HT: 0–0

FK Crvena Zvezda

55' M. Ivanic

11 Dec 2025

18:45

Merkur-Arena

Score Summary

Sturm Graz

0 1

FT HT 0–0

FK Crvena Zvezda

55' M. Ivanic

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

Sturm Graz 1487 1480 ▼ -7

54% Win

FK Crvena Zvezda 1513 1523 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

45% Win

Sturm Graz -0.26 -0.36 ▼ -0.11

35% Win

FK Crvena Zvezda -0.12 0.04 ▲ 0.16

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jeyland Mitchell

Sturm Graz

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Mirko Ivanić

FK Crvena Zvezda

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Tomi Horvat

Sturm Graz

7.2

6 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Rade Krunić

FK Crvena Zvezda

7.5

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Sturm Graz 33% FK Crvena Zvezda 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

59 Possession 41

16 Shots 15

1 On Target 2

Form Context

Sturm Graz

D L L L W

FK Crvena Zvezda

W W W W D

Smart Insight

FK Crvena Zvezda carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors FK Crvena Zvezda after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 41.4%

Draw 28.1%

Away Win 30.5%

Expected Goals 1.46 - 1.22

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D