Celtic vs VfB Stuttgart - Football Platform

Europa League

VfB Stuttgart

19 Feb 2026

21:00

Celtic Park

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 2 - 4

Score Summary

Celtic

1 4

FT HT 1–2

VfB Stuttgart

B. Nygren 21'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

38% Win

Celtic 1502 1494 ▼ -8

62% Win

VfB Stuttgart 1584 1592 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

Celtic 0.12 0.07 ▼ -0.06

36% Win

VfB Stuttgart 0.39 0.48 ▲ 0.10

Top Performers

Top Rated

Bilal El Khannouss

VfB Stuttgart

8.5

8.5 rating · 72 min

Most Clinical

Bilal El Khannouss

VfB Stuttgart

8.5

2 goals

Best Creator

Deniz Undav

VfB Stuttgart

7.2

4 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Liam Scales

Celtic

6.3

0 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Celtic 29% VfB Stuttgart 71%

Key Stats Snapshot

53 Possession 47

11 Shots 16

2 On Target 5

Form Context

Celtic

L W L D W

VfB Stuttgart

W W W L W

Smart Insight

VfB Stuttgart carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
VfB Stuttgart produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors VfB Stuttgart after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 41.0%

Draw 28.2%

Away Win 30.8%

Expected Goals 1.45 - 1.23

Qualification %

Celtic 0.0%

VfB Stuttgart 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

53 Possession 47

2 Shots 5

11 Shots 16

2 Offsides 1

4 Shots Off Goal 6

2 Shots On Goal 5

11 Total Shots 16

53 Ball Possession 47

472 Passes Accurate 423

555 Total Passes 507

85% Passes % 83%

5 Blocked Shots 5

1 Goalkeeper Saves 1

8 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 2

8 Shots Insidebox 10

3 Shots Outsidebox 6

2.09 expected_goals 1.88

0 goals_prevented 0

Celtic — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anthony Ralston	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	56	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Auston Trusty	-	-	-	6	5	-	-	False	90	6	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	-	73	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Benjamin Nygren	1	-	1	6	3	1	-	False	71	8	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Callum McGregor	2	-	2	3	2	-	-	True	90	42	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Colby Donovan	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	51	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daizen Maeda	3	2	2	9	3	1	-	False	62	38	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Dane Murray	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Forrest	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Araujo	1	-	1	5	2	-	1	False	90	22	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	38	-	51	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Junior Adamu	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kasper Schmeichel	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	5.7	False	0	4	1	-	-	38	-	50	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kelechi Iheanacho	2	-	2	3	2	-	-	False	19	17	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kieran Tierney	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	78	63	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	3	71	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Liam Scales	-	-	-	6	4	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	-	87	-	-	-	-	-	2	4	-
👤 Luke McCowan	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	19	14	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcelo Saracchi	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	12	36	D	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Paulo Bernardo	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	62	28	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Reo Hatate	-	-	-	4	1	3	1	False	28	41	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	23	2	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ross Doohan	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sebastian Tounekti	2	-	1	9	3	2	1	False	90	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	31	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Tomáš Čvančara	1	-	1	13	6	1	3	False	71	11	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Viljami Sinisalo	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yang Hyun-Jun	2	1	2	6	3	-	-	False	28	13	F	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

VfB Stuttgart — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Nübel	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	33	G	7.3	False	0	1	1	-	-	31	-	47	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ameen Al-Dakhil	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Angelo Stiller	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	89	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	67	1	75	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Atakan Karazor	0	-	2	-	4	2	-	2	True	90	16	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	2	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Badredine Bouanani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bilal El Khannouss	0	1	-	-	8	3	-	1	False	72	11	M	8.5	False	0	0	-	2	-	18	-	24	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Chema Andrés	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	1	30	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Chris Führich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	18	10	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Deniz Undav	0	-	2	-	9	4	1	1	False	90	26	M	7.2	False	2	0	-	-	-	19	4	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Ermedin Demirović	0	-	1	-	10	5	1	1	False	78	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Fabian Bredlow	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Finn Jeltsch	0	-	1	-	6	5	-	2	False	90	29	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	67	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Florian Hellstern	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamie Leweling	0	3	2	1	11	6	1	-	False	72	18	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	13	1	19	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	3
👤 Jeff Chabot	1	2	-	2	11	6	3	-	False	78	24	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Josha Vagnoman	0	-	1	-	2	-	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	2	44	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Lorenz Assignon	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Jaquez	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	12	14	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Maximilian Mittelstädt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikolas Nartey	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	18	28	M	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	13	3	14	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Ramon Hendriks	0	-	2	-	3	1	-	1	False	90	3	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Tiago Tomás	0	2	-	1	5	3	-	-	False	12	8	F	8.2	True	0	0	-	1	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	2

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Celtic and VfB Stuttgart

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart	1-4	8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic	1-4	8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Celtic

0.0%

VfB Stuttgart

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Celtic 1-4 VfB Stuttgart

Current aggregate: 2-4

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

41.0%

Home Win

28.2%

Draw

30.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Celtic 1.45

VfB Stuttgart 1.23

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Celtic

VfB Stuttgart

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)