Napoli vs AC Milan - Football Platform

Serie A

Napoli

HT: 0–0

AC Milan

79' M. Politano

06 Apr 2026

20:45

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Score Summary

Napoli

1 0

FT HT 0–0

AC Milan

M. Politano 79'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

Napoli 1568 1579 ▲ 11

53% Win

AC Milan 1590 1579 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

33% Win

Napoli 0.23 0.29 ▲ 0.06

51% Win

AC Milan 0.51 0.43 ▼ -0.08

Top Performers

Top Rated

Matteo Politano

Napoli

7.5

7.5 rating · 20 min

Most Clinical

Matteo Politano

Napoli

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Stanislav Lobotka

Napoli

7.2

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Koni De Winter

AC Milan

6.9

2 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Napoli 75% AC Milan 25%

Key Stats Snapshot

54 Possession 46

10 Shots 7

3 On Target 1

Form Context

Napoli

W W D L W

AC Milan

W L L W D

Smart Insight

Napoli controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Napoli generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Napoli after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 26.8%

Draw 29.3%

Away Win 43.9%

Expected Goals 1.05 - 1.41

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Inter		79	D W W W D
2	Napoli	1-0	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan	1-0	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus		64	D W W W D
5	Como		61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma		61	W L W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

54 Possession 46

3 Shots 1

10 Shots 7

5 Offsides 2

6 Shots Off Goal 6

3 Shots On Goal 1

10 Total Shots 7

54 Ball Possession 46

470 Passes Accurate 384

522 Total Passes 450

90% Passes % 85%

1 Blocked Shots 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

7 Fouls 6

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 0

4 Corner Kicks 1

7 Shots Insidebox 5

3 Shots Outsidebox 2

0.75 expected_goals 0.47

0 goals_prevented 0

Napoli — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alessandro Buongiorno	1	-	-	-	6	4	2	-	False	94	4	D	6.6	False	-	-	-	-	55	-	59	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Alex Meret	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alisson Santos	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	24	27	F	6.7	True	-	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Billy Gilmour	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eljif Elmas	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	9	20	M	6.5	True	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Frank Anguissa	0	1	1	1	10	5	2	2	False	94	99	M	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	43	-	46	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Giovane	0	2	1	1	9	4	-	2	False	70	23	F	6.6	False	-	-	-	4	7	-	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Juan Jesus	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	85	5	D	7	False	-	-	-	-	64	-	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Kevin De Bruyne	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	1	False	85	11	F	7	False	-	-	-	-	32	2	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leonardo Spinazzola	0	4	-	2	8	5	-	-	False	74	37	M	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	32	1	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Mathías Olivera	0	-	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	94	17	D	6.9	False	-	-	-	-	71	1	75	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Matteo Politano	1	1	-	-	4	-	1	-	False	20	21	F	7.5	True	-	-	1	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Miguel Gutiérrez	0	1	1	1	4	1	1	-	False	94	3	M	6.3	False	-	-	-	-	50	-	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikita Contini	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pasquale Mazzocchi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sam Beukema	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	31	D	6.3	True	-	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Scott McTominay	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	94	8	F	6.3	False	-	-	-	1	24	-	28	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Stanislav Lobotka	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	True	94	68	M	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	57	2	58	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Vanja Milinković-Savić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	94	32	G	6.3	False	-	1	-	-	23	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

AC Milan — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrien Rabiot	-	-	-	9	5	1	2	False	94	12	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	1	32	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Alexis Saelemaekers	-	1	-	5	2	-	-	False	62	56	M	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	24	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Ardon Jashari	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Pulišić	-	-	-	3	2	-	2	False	20	11	M	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	5	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Nkunku	4	-	1	4	1	-	-	False	74	18	F	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	19	1	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 David Odogu	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Davide Bartesaghi	-	1	-	5	2	-	-	False	94	33	M	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	24	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Fikayo Tomori	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	82	23	D	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	35	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Koni De Winter	-	-	-	8	4	1	-	False	94	5	D	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	67	-	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Lorenzo Torriani	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	96	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luka Modrić	2	2	2	7	4	1	1	False	94	14	M	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	45	1	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mike Maignan	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	True	94	16	G	7.2	False	-	1	2	-	-	34	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niclas Füllkrug	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	63	9	F	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	1	13	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Pervis Estupiñán	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pietro Terracciano	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rafael Leão	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	12	10	F	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ruben Loftus-Cheek	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	8	M	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Samuele Ricci	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Giménez	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	31	7	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Strahinja Pavlović	-	1	-	6	3	2	1	False	94	31	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	51	-	54	-	-	-	-	2	1	1	1
👤 Youssouf Fofana	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	82	19	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	18	1	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	1
👤 Zachary Athekame	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	32	24	D	6.2	True	-	0	-	-	-	7	1	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Napoli and AC Milan

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter		34	25	4	5	80	31	49	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli	1-0	34	21	6	7	52	33	19	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan	1-0	34	19	10	5	48	27	21	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus		34	18	10	6	57	29	28	64	D W W W D
5	Como		34	17	10	7	59	28	31	61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma		34	19	4	11	48	29	19	61	W L W D W
7	Atalanta		34	14	12	8	47	32	15	54	W W L D L
8	Lazio		34	12	12	10	37	33	4	48	W D L W D
9	Bologna		34	14	6	14	42	41	1	48	L W W L L
10	Sassuolo		34	13	7	14	41	44	-3	46	D W L W D
11	Udinese		34	12	8	14	41	46	-5	44	W D W L D
12	Parma		34	10	12	12	25	40	-15	42	L D D W W
13	Torino		34	11	8	15	39	56	-17	41	L W W D D
14	Genoa		34	10	9	15	40	48	-8	39	L L W W L
15	Fiorentina		34	8	13	13	38	45	-7	37	D W W D D
16	Cagliari		34	9	9	16	36	49	-13	36	L L W L W
17	Lecce		35	8	8	19	24	47	-23	32	L L D D W
18	Cremonese		34	6	10	18	26	51	-25	28	W L L D L
19	Verona		34	3	10	21	23	56	-33	19	L L L L D
20	Pisa		35	2	12	21	25	63	-38	18	L L L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Napoli and AC Milan

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Inter	34	87	1
2	Napoli	34	75	3
3	AC Milan	34	74	3
4	Juventus	34	71	4
5	Como	34	68	5
6	AS Roma	34	68	5
7	Atalanta	34	60	7
8	Lazio	34	53	9
9	Bologna	34	53	9
10	Sassuolo	34	51	10
11	Udinese	34	50	11
12	Parma	34	45	13
13	Torino	34	45	13
14	Genoa	34	43	14
15	Fiorentina	34	42	14
16	Cagliari	34	40	15
17	Lecce	35	33	17
18	Cremonese	34	32	18
19	Verona	34	22	19
20	Pisa	35	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

26.8%

Home Win

29.3%

Draw

43.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Napoli 1.05

AC Milan 1.41

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Napoli

AC Milan

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)