Oxford United vs Sunderland - Football Platform

FA Cup

Oxford United

HT: 0–1

Sunderland

32' H. Diarra

15 Feb 2026

15:00

Kassam Stadium

Score Summary

Oxford United

0 1

FT HT 0–1

Sunderland

32' H. Diarra

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Oxford United 1500 1495 ▼ -5

50% Win

Sunderland 1500 1510 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

53% Win

Oxford United -0.08 -0.18 ▼ -0.10

32% Win

Sunderland -0.37 -0.08 ▲ 0.30

Top Performers

Top Rated

Luke O'Nien

Sunderland

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Habib Diarra

Sunderland

6.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Enzo Le Fée

Sunderland

7.5

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Brodie Spencer

Oxford United

6.2

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Oxford United 25% Sunderland 75%

Key Stats Snapshot

47 Possession 53

11 Shots 17

3 On Target 9

Form Context

Oxford United

D L

Sunderland

D W L

Smart Insight

Sunderland carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Sunderland produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Sunderland after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.4%

Draw 25.0%

Away Win 37.5%

Expected Goals 1.65 - 1.65

Qualification %

Oxford United 0.0%

Sunderland 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Macclesfield	18	W W W W L
2	Maldon & Tiptree	18	W W W W L
3	Whitstable Town	16	W D W W L
4	Weston-super-Mare	16	W W W W L
5	Runcorn Linnets	16	W W D W L
6	Manchester City	15	W W W W W