Wrexham vs Chelsea - Football Platform

AET

FA Cup

Wrexham

HT: 1–1

Chelsea

07 Mar 2026

18:45

Racecourse Ground

Score Summary

Wrexham

2 4

AET HT 1–1

Chelsea

S. Smith 18'
C. Doyle 78'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

39% Win

Wrexham 1505 1501 ▼ -4

61% Win

Chelsea 1580 1588 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

27% Win

Wrexham -0.08 -0.03 ▲ 0.05

62% Win

Chelsea 0.91 0.81 ▼ -0.11

Top Performers

Top Rated

Alejandro Garnacho

Chelsea

8.5

8.5 rating · 120 min

Most Clinical

Callum Doyle

Wrexham

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Pedro Neto

Chelsea

6.7

6 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Lewis O'Brien

Wrexham

8.2

9 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Wrexham 42% Chelsea 58%

Key Stats Snapshot

32 Possession 68

19 Shots 21

5 On Target 7

Form Context

Wrexham

D W L

Chelsea

W W W W W

Smart Insight

Chelsea carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Chelsea after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.4%

Draw 25.0%

Away Win 37.6%

Expected Goals 1.65 - 1.65

Qualification %

Wrexham 0.0%

Chelsea 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Macclesfield	18	W W W W L
2	Maldon & Tiptree	18	W W W W L
3	Whitstable Town	16	W D W W L
4	Weston-super-Mare	16	W W W W L
5	Runcorn Linnets	16	W W D W L
6	Manchester City	15	W W W W W