Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano

La Liga

Athletic Club

HT: 0–0

Rayo Vallecano

Coach : Iñigo Pérez

66' O. Sancet

25 Aug 2025

19:30

San Mamés

Score Summary

Athletic Club

1 0

FT HT 0–0

Rayo Vallecano

O. Sancet 66'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Athletic Club 1505 1510 ▲ 5

50% Win

Rayo Vallecano 1505 1500 ▼ -5

xPi Expected win probability

39% Win

Athletic Club 0.08 0.06 ▼ -0.02

37% Win

Rayo Vallecano 0.15 0.04 ▼ -0.11

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jesús Areso

Athletic Club

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Oihan Sancet

Athletic Club

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Nico Williams

Athletic Club

7.5

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Jesús Areso

Athletic Club

7.9

2 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Athletic Club 80% Rayo Vallecano 20%

Key Stats Snapshot

41 Possession 59

11 Shots 6

4 On Target 1

Form Context

Athletic Club

W L L W L

Rayo Vallecano

L W L W D

Smart Insight

Athletic Club controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Athletic Club generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Athletic Club after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.1%

Draw 28.3%

Away Win 35.6%

Expected Goals 1.35 - 1.34

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo	44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

41 Possession 59

4 Shots 1

11 Shots 6

0 Offsides 7

3 Shots Off Goal 2

4 Shots On Goal 1

11 Total Shots 6

41 Ball Possession 59

253 Passes Accurate 413

334 Total Passes 498

76% Passes % 83%

4 Blocked Shots 3

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

13 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 4

3 Corner Kicks 6

5 Shots Insidebox 2

6 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.51 expected_goals 0.29

0 goals_prevented 0

Athletic Club — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adama Boiro	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aitor Paredes	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	22	-	28	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Alex Padilla	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andoni Gorosabel	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Beñat Prados	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	23	24	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	9	1	12	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Vivian	1	1	1	6	4	1	-	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	33	-	45	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Gorka Guruzeta	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	11	11	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iñaki Williams	1	1	1	3	1	2	-	True	79	9	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	2	-	2	9	6	2	3	False	67	16	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	25	1	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Jesús Areso	-	1	-	7	4	2	-	False	90	12	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	31	1	34	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Jon de Luis	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maroan Sannadi	1	1	-	6	3	1	-	False	45	21	F	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	6	1	8	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Mikel Jauregizar	1	2	-	13	6	-	1	False	90	18	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	21	-	30	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Mikel Vesga	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	6	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico Serrano	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico Williams	6	-	4	11	7	-	2	False	88	10	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	14	2	23	-	-	0	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Oihan Sancet	2	-	-	8	3	1	2	False	45	8	M	7.3	True	0	-	1	-	7	1	9	-	-	1	1	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Robert Navarro	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Gómez	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	20	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Simón	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	1	-	-	15	-	28	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yuri Berchiche	-	-	-	9	7	-	1	False	90	17	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	39	1	47	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Álex Berenguer	1	1	1	9	4	1	2	False	87	7	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	15	-	20	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Íñigo Lekue	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Rayo Vallecano — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andrei Rațiu	1	1	-	-	8	1	2	-	False	90	2	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	34	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Augusto Batalla	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	90	13	G	7.3	False	0	1	3	-	-	27	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Dani Cárdenas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Lejeune	0	1	1	1	9	5	1	-	False	90	24	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	65	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Fran Pérez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	35	21	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerard Gumbau	0	-	-	-	7	3	3	1	False	35	15	M	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	12	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Isi Palazón	0	1	1	-	11	4	1	3	True	79	7	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Balliu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorge de Frutos	0	1	1	-	6	1	1	1	False	79	19	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	2	4	1	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Josep Chavarría	1	2	-	1	7	4	1	2	False	82	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Jozhua Vertrouwd	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juanpe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luiz Felipe	0	-	1	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	5	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	-	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Pacha	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pathé Ismaël Ciss	0	-	1	-	8	5	1	1	False	90	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	2	67	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Pedro Díaz	0	2	2	1	8	3	-	-	False	55	4	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Pelayo Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Randy Nteka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	11	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio Camello	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	11	10	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai López	1	2	1	2	8	5	1	-	False	55	17	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Álvaro García	1	3	1	1	10	5	1	1	False	90	18	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	3	22	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Óscar Trejo	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	8	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Óscar Valentín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Athletic Club and Rayo Vallecano

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club	1-0	33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano	1-0	33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Athletic Club and Rayo Vallecano

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.1%

Home Win

28.3%

Draw

35.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Athletic Club 1.35

Rayo Vallecano 1.34

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Athletic Club

Rayo Vallecano

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)