Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

HT: 1–1

Rayo Vallecano

Coach : Iñigo Pérez

24 Sep 2025

21:30

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Score Summary

Atletico Madrid

3 2

FT HT 1–1

Rayo Vallecano

45' P. Chavarria
77' A. Garcia

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Atletico Madrid 1495 1503 ▲ 8

50% Win

Rayo Vallecano 1495 1488 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

41% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.05 0.17 ▲ 0.12

37% Win

Rayo Vallecano 0.08 0.04 ▼ -0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Julián Alvarez

Atletico Madrid

10.0

10.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Julián Alvarez

Atletico Madrid

10.0

3 goals

Best Creator

Marcos Llorente

Atletico Madrid

7.0

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Josep Chavarría

Rayo Vallecano

7.9

6 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Atletico Madrid 73% Rayo Vallecano 27%

Key Stats Snapshot

61 Possession 39

20 Shots 9

8 On Target 3

Form Context

Atletico Madrid

L L L L W

Rayo Vallecano

L W L W D

Smart Insight

Atletico Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Atletico Madrid generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Atletico Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 38.7%

Draw 28.3%

Away Win 33.0%

Expected Goals 1.41 - 1.28

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	3-2	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

61 Possession 39

8 Shots 3

20 Shots 9

3 Offsides 2

8 Shots Off Goal 6

8 Shots On Goal 3

20 Total Shots 9

61 Ball Possession 39

506 Passes Accurate 299

579 Total Passes 370

87% Passes % 81%

4 Blocked Shots 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

6 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 5

8 Corner Kicks 6

17 Shots Insidebox 5

3 Shots Outsidebox 4

3.61 expected_goals 1.60

0 goals_prevented 0

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Baena	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	79	7	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	1	44	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Martín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Clément Lenglet	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Conor Gallagher	0	4	-	1	8	3	2	1	False	79	4	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	1	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Dávid Hancko	0	-	-	-	6	6	-	-	False	90	17	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	55	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	5
👤 Giacomo Raspadori	0	1	-	-	5	3	-	3	False	17	22	F	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Giuliano Simeone	0	3	2	1	12	5	1	1	False	34	20	F	6.7	True	1	0	-	-	-	16	1	21	-	-	-	2	4	-	1	1
👤 Jan Oblak	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	1	False	90	13	G	6.3	False	0	2	1	-	-	24	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jano Monserrate	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Galán	0	2	-	1	7	4	-	2	False	73	21	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	2	23	1	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	2	1	2	9	4	-	-	False	90	19	F	10	False	0	0	-	3	-	26	3	29	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	1
👤 Koke	1	-	1	-	5	2	1	1	True	56	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Marc Pubill	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	11	18	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Llorente	1	3	-	2	6	3	1	1	False	90	14	D	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	76	3	85	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	3	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nahuel Molina	0	1	1	-	5	1	-	-	False	56	16	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	28	3	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Nicolás González	0	2	-	1	4	3	-	-	False	34	23	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	18	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Pablo Barrios	0	2	2	2	7	3	1	1	False	90	8	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Robin Le Normand	1	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	90	24	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	-	52	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Salvador Esquivel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Taufik Seidu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Rayo Vallecano — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alemão	0	-	1	-	6	-	2	-	False	66	9	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Andrei Rațiu	1	4	-	-	11	2	2	-	False	90	2	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	1	21	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Augusto Batalla	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	13	G	7.6	False	0	3	5	-	-	15	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Cárdenas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Lejeune	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	24	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	37	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Fran Pérez	0	2	1	1	5	3	-	1	False	66	21	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	12	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Gerard Gumbau	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	15	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isi Palazón	0	1	2	1	7	3	1	2	False	85	7	F	6.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	22	2	26	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Balliu	1	2	1	1	7	4	1	1	False	90	20	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	43	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	2
👤 Jorge de Frutos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josep Chavarría	1	1	1	1	10	8	1	-	False	90	3	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	25	-	37	-	-	-	1	2	1	2	6
👤 Jozhua Vertrouwd	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	90	33	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	-
👤 Marco de las Sias	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nobel Mendy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pacha	0	1	3	1	7	1	1	-	False	24	22	D	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Pathé Ismaël Ciss	1	2	-	2	6	4	1	-	False	24	6	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Pedro Díaz	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	11	4	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Samu Becerra	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio Camello	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai López	0	-	1	-	5	2	1	-	False	79	17	M	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	36	2	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Álvaro García	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	24	18	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Óscar Trejo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Óscar Valentín	0	-	-	-	9	7	1	1	True	66	23	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	4

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	3-2	33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano	3-2	33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

38.7%

Home Win

28.3%

Draw

33.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Atletico Madrid 1.41

Rayo Vallecano 1.28

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Atletico Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)