Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

HT: 2–2

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

27 Sep 2025

16:15

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Score Summary

Atletico Madrid

5 2

FT HT 2–2

Real Madrid

25' K. Mbappe
36' A. Guler

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

45% Win

Atletico Madrid 1503 1511 ▲ 8

55% Win

Real Madrid 1538 1530 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.15 0.17 ▲ 0.02

38% Win

Real Madrid 0.43 0.83 ▲ 0.40

Top Performers

Top Rated

Julián Alvarez

Atletico Madrid

8.9

8.9 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Julián Alvarez

Atletico Madrid

8.9

2 goals

Best Creator

Julián Alvarez

Atletico Madrid

8.9

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Jude Bellingham

Real Madrid

6.9

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Atletico Madrid 78% Real Madrid 22%

Key Stats Snapshot

37 Possession 63

13 Shots 6

7 On Target 2

Form Context

Atletico Madrid

L L L L W

Real Madrid

W L D W D

Smart Insight

Atletico Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Atletico Madrid generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Atletico Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 35.7%

Draw 28.3%

Away Win 35.9%

Expected Goals 1.34 - 1.35

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	5-2	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	5-2	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

37 Possession 63

7 Shots 2

13 Shots 6

1 Offsides 1

4 Shots Off Goal 2

7 Shots On Goal 2

13 Total Shots 6

37 Ball Possession 63

241 Passes Accurate 471

306 Total Passes 538

79% Passes % 88%

2 Blocked Shots 2

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

17 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

5 Yellow Cards 4

7 Corner Kicks 2

8 Shots Insidebox 3

5 Shots Outsidebox 3

2.34 expected_goals 0.66

-2 goals_prevented -2

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Baena	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	10	M	-	True	1	0	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Sørloth	1	-	-	-	11	2	2	-	False	67	9	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	4	-	8	-	-	0	-	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	14	7	F	7.5	True	0	0	-	1	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Martín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Clément Lenglet	1	-	1	-	5	2	2	1	False	90	15	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	41	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	1	-
👤 Conor Gallagher	1	-	1	-	5	-	3	-	False	23	4	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Dávid Hancko	0	1	1	-	11	5	3	-	False	83	17	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	27	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	4
👤 Giacomo Raspadori	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Giuliano Simeone	1	-	1	-	13	10	-	6	False	89	20	M	7.6	False	1	0	-	-	1	15	1	17	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Ilias Kostis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jan Oblak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	5.3	False	0	2	-	-	-	14	-	23	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Galán	0	1	-	1	4	2	1	1	False	14	21	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	2	False	89	19	F	8.9	False	0	0	-	2	-	23	3	26	-	-	1	-	2	4	-	-	-
👤 Koke	0	1	1	1	5	3	1	1	True	90	6	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	43	1	46	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Marc Pubill	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Llorente	0	1	1	-	4	1	1	-	False	90	14	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	35	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nahuel Molina	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	16	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolás González	1	2	-	1	13	7	3	3	False	83	23	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	2	27	-	-	0	1	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Pablo Barrios	0	4	1	2	8	4	-	-	False	90	8	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	26	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	-	1	-	6	4	1	-	False	90	24	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	14	-	22	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Taufik Seidu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Real Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andriy Lunin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arda Güler	1	1	-	1	6	3	2	1	False	59	15	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	1	-	22	1	28	1	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Aurélien Tchouaméni	0	-	-	-	6	5	-	-	False	90	14	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	-	59	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Brahim Díaz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Ceballos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Carvajal	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	1	True	59	2	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 David Alaba	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dean Huijsen	0	-	-	-	7	4	1	-	False	89	24	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	-	74	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Eduardo Camavinga	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	2	False	31	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Endrick	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Valverde	0	1	2	1	5	3	-	-	False	90	8	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Fran García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franco Mastantuono	1	3	1	1	12	6	2	4	False	31	30	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Gonzalo García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	16	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jude Bellingham	0	2	-	-	11	8	1	1	False	70	5	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Kylian Mbappé	0	6	-	3	11	8	-	5	False	90	10	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	32	-	36	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Raúl Asencio	1	-	1	-	4	-	1	-	False	45	17	D	5.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Rodrygo	0	3	-	2	5	3	-	1	False	20	11	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio Mestre	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thibaut Courtois	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	5.9	False	0	5	2	-	-	24	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinícius Júnior	0	1	-	-	6	1	3	-	False	90	7	M	6.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	22	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Álvaro Carreras	1	1	1	-	6	1	2	-	False	90	18	D	5.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Éder Militão	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	45	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	5-2	33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	5-2	33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

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Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

35.7%

Home Win

28.3%

Draw

35.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Atletico Madrid 1.34

Real Madrid 1.35

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)