Real Madrid vs Villarreal - Football Platform

La Liga

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

HT: 0–0

Villarreal

04 Oct 2025

21:00

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Stadium

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Madrid, Spain

Capacity: 85454 Surface: grass Address: Avenida de Concha Espina 1, Chamartín

Score Summary

Real Madrid

3 1

FT HT 0–0

Villarreal

73' G. Mikautadze

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

Real Madrid 1536 1544 ▲ 7

48% Win

Villarreal 1521 1514 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

50% Win

Real Madrid 0.49 0.83 ▲ 0.33

33% Win

Villarreal 0.19 0.17 ▼ -0.02

Top Performers

Top Rated

Vinícius Júnior

Real Madrid

9.9

9.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Vinícius Júnior

Real Madrid

9.9

2 goals

Best Creator

Vinícius Júnior

Real Madrid

9.9

6 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Santiago Mouriño

Villarreal

6.0

7 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Real Madrid 78% Villarreal 22%

Key Stats Snapshot

70 Possession 30

26 Shots 9

7 On Target 2

Form Context

Real Madrid

W L D W D

Villarreal

W L W D W

Smart Insight

Real Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Real Madrid generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Real Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 45.6%

Draw 27.6%

Away Win 26.8%

Expected Goals 1.55 - 1.14

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	3-1	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal	3-1	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

70 Possession 30

7 Shots 2

26 Shots 9

N/A Offsides N/A

10 Shots Off Goal 3

7 Shots On Goal 2

26 Total Shots 9

70 Ball Possession 30

653 Passes Accurate 256

711 Total Passes 317

92% Passes % 81%

9 Blocked Shots 4

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

9 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 1

2 Yellow Cards 4

4 Corner Kicks 0

16 Shots Insidebox 3

10 Shots Outsidebox 6

3.52 expected_goals 1.00

0 goals_prevented 0

Real Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andriy Lunin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arda Güler	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	1	False	64	15	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	1	49	-	-	0	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Aurélien Tchouaméni	1	-	-	-	4	3	1	-	False	90	14	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	66	-	68	-	-	0	-	-	2	1	2	1
👤 Brahim Díaz	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	15	21	M	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	11	1	13	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Ceballos	0	1	2	-	9	5	1	2	False	64	19	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	1	60	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 David Alaba	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dean Huijsen	0	-	-	-	9	8	1	1	False	90	24	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	69	1	73	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Eduardo Camavinga	0	1	2	-	7	4	-	-	False	26	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	24	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Endrick	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Valverde	0	1	-	1	6	5	1	-	True	90	8	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	2	69	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	2	4
👤 Fran García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franco Mastantuono	1	6	2	3	17	8	1	3	False	75	30	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	42	-	-	0	-	-	2	-	-	2
👤 Gonzalo García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jude Bellingham	0	1	-	1	6	3	1	-	False	26	5	M	7.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	15	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Kylian Mbappé	0	8	-	2	10	2	-	-	False	83	10	F	8.7	False	1	0	-	1	-	47	3	52	-	-	0	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Raúl Asencio	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodrygo	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	11	11	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	9	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sergio Mestre	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thibaut Courtois	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7	False	0	1	1	-	-	14	-	17	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinícius Júnior	0	12	1	6	20	11	-	3	False	90	7	M	9.9	False	0	0	-	2	-	64	6	73	-	-	1	1	3	3	-	-	2
👤 Álvaro Carreras	0	1	1	-	11	7	1	1	False	90	18	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	1	79	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	4
👤 Éder Militão	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	90	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	-	68	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1

Villarreal — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrià Altimira	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	8	3	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Alberto Moleiro	0	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	2	False	45	20	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Alfonso Pedraza	0	0	1	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	17	24	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arnau Tenas	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	25	G	6.2	False	0	3	4	-	-	16	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Parejo	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	10	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Conde	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Georges Mikautadze	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	45	9	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	7	1	13	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Ilias Akhomach	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luiz Júnior	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Manor Solomon	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Pépé	0	0	5	-	4	12	6	1	2	False	45	19	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	2	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pape Gueye	0	1	3	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	73	18	M	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	17	2	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Rafa Marín	0	0	-	2	-	12	8	2	-	False	90	4	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	25	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	8
👤 Renato Veiga	0	0	-	1	-	4	1	1	-	False	90	12	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	1
👤 Santi Comesaña	0	0	-	2	-	14	4	3	-	True	86	14	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	4	2	4
👤 Santiago Mouriño	1	2	-	4	-	15	9	2	2	False	77	15	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	7
👤 Sergi Cardona	0	1	2	3	-	14	6	2	2	False	90	23	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Tajon Buchanan	0	0	3	-	1	6	2	-	-	False	45	17	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Tani Oluwaseyi	0	0	-	1	-	11	2	1	-	False	82	21	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	12	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Thomas Partey	0	0	3	-	1	8	4	1	-	False	90	16	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Real Madrid and Villarreal

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	3-1	33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal	3-1	33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Real Madrid and Villarreal

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

45.6%

Home Win

27.6%

Draw

26.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Real Madrid 1.55

Villarreal 1.14

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Real Madrid

Villarreal

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)