Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano

La Liga

Real Sociedad

HT: 0–0

Rayo Vallecano

Coach : Iñigo Pérez

84' Pacha

05 Oct 2025

18:30

Reale Arena

Score Summary

Real Sociedad

0 1

FT HT 0–0

Rayo Vallecano

84' Pacha

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

Real Sociedad 1486 1479 ▼ -8

49% Win

Rayo Vallecano 1480 1488 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

47% Win

Real Sociedad -0.06 0.08 ▲ 0.14

34% Win

Rayo Vallecano 0.02 0.04 ▲ 0.02

Top Performers

Top Rated

Pacha

Rayo Vallecano

7.7

7.7 rating · 13 min

Most Clinical

Pacha

Rayo Vallecano

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Ander Barrenetxea

Real Sociedad

7.5

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Jon Gorrotxategi

Real Sociedad

7.0

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Real Sociedad 60% Rayo Vallecano 40%

Key Stats Snapshot

51 Possession 49

10 Shots 7

3 On Target 2

Form Context

Real Sociedad

L W D L D

Rayo Vallecano

L W L W D

Smart Insight

Real Sociedad controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Real Sociedad generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Rayo Vallecano after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.3%

Draw 27.9%

Away Win 28.8%

Expected Goals 1.50 - 1.19

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo	44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

51 Possession 49

3 Shots 2

10 Shots 7

0 Offsides 1

1 Shots Off Goal 3

3 Shots On Goal 2

10 Total Shots 7

51 Ball Possession 49

338 Passes Accurate 328

421 Total Passes 414

80% Passes % 79%

6 Blocked Shots 2

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

13 Fouls 21

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

7 Corner Kicks 5

7 Shots Insidebox 5

3 Shots Outsidebox 2

0.79 expected_goals 0.80

1 goals_prevented 1

Real Sociedad — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aihen Muñoz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ander Barrenetxea	0	2	-	1	9	3	3	1	False	80	7	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	4	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Arsen Zakharyan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Beñat Turrientes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brais Méndez	0	2	1	2	10	8	-	2	False	80	23	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Soler	1	-	1	-	5	2	2	2	False	61	18	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Duje Caleta-Car	0	-	-	-	8	4	2	-	False	90	16	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Goncalo Guedes	0	3	-	3	7	4	1	1	False	61	11	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	2	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Igor Zubeldia	0	-	-	-	9	6	1	2	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	59	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	1
👤 Jon Aramburu	0	1	1	-	7	4	-	3	False	90	2	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jon Gorrotxategi	0	-	-	-	7	7	-	2	False	90	4	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	3
👤 Jon Karrikaburu	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	2	False	10	19	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luka Sučić	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	29	24	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Luken Beitia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mikel Goti	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mikel Oyarzabal	0	5	-	3	8	5	-	1	True	90	10	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	20	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Marín	0	3	-	2	4	3	-	1	False	10	28	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio Gómez	0	5	1	2	15	8	3	-	False	90	17	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	1	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Takefusa Kubo	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	3	False	29	14	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Umar Sadiq	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Marrero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álex Remiro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	1	1	-	-	30	-	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro Odriozola	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Rayo Vallecano — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alemão	0	1	3	-	12	4	1	3	False	77	9	F	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Andrei Rațiu	0	2	2	1	11	5	1	-	False	90	2	D	7.3	False	1	-	-	-	27	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Augusto Batalla	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	13	G	7.3	False	0	3	-	-	21	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Cárdenas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Lejeune	1	1	2	1	12	7	3	1	False	90	24	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	61	-	67	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	3
👤 Fran Pérez	0	3	-	2	7	4	-	1	False	45	21	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	10	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Gerard Gumbau	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isi Palazón	1	1	1	-	10	1	4	-	False	65	7	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	16	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Ivan Balliu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorge de Frutos	0	-	-	-	9	5	1	3	False	77	19	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	1	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Josep Chavarría	0	-	-	-	10	6	2	3	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	38	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Jozhua Vertrouwd	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	19	33	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	11	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juanpe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nobel Mendy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pacha	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	13	22	D	7.7	True	0	-	1	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Pathé Ismaël Ciss	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	71	6	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	33	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Pedro Díaz	0	-	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	25	4	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Randy Nteka	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	13	11	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Samu Becerra	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai López	0	1	2	1	7	3	1	-	False	90	17	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	45	3	57	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Álvaro García	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	45	18	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	9	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Óscar Trejo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Óscar Valentín	0	-	2	-	9	1	3	-	True	90	23	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	28	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad	0-1	33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano	0-1	33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.3%

Home Win

27.9%

Draw

28.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Real Sociedad 1.50

Rayo Vallecano 1.19

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)