Athletic Club vs Real Madrid - Football Platform

La Liga

Athletic Club

HT: 0–2

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

03 Dec 2025

19:00

San Mamés

Score Summary

Athletic Club

0 3

FT HT 0–2

Real Madrid

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

38% Win

Athletic Club 1485 1477 ▼ -8

62% Win

Real Madrid 1568 1576 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Athletic Club 0.30 0.06 ▼ -0.24

38% Win

Real Madrid 0.84 0.83 ▼ -0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid

10.0

10.0 rating · 78 min

Most Clinical

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid

10.0

2 goals

Best Creator

Nico Williams

Athletic Club

6.7

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Jude Bellingham

Real Madrid

8.2

7 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Athletic Club 33% Real Madrid 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

38 Possession 62

9 Shots 13

4 On Target 8

Form Context

Athletic Club

W L L W L

Real Madrid

W L D W D

Smart Insight

Real Madrid carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Real Madrid produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Real Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 35.7%

Draw 28.3%

Away Win 36.0%

Expected Goals 1.34 - 1.35

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	0-3	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

38 Possession 62

4 Shots 8

9 Shots 13

1 Offsides 1

4 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 8

9 Total Shots 13

38 Ball Possession 62

298 Passes Accurate 567

375 Total Passes 641

79% Passes % 88%

1 Blocked Shots 1

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

15 Fouls 4

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 0

5 Corner Kicks 7

7 Shots Insidebox 5

2 Shots Outsidebox 8

0.84 expected_goals 2.21

1 goals_prevented 1

Athletic Club — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adama Boiro	0	1	1	-	6	3	-	-	False	90	19	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	1	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Aitor Paredes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alejandro Rego	1	1	-	-	6	2	3	-	False	90	30	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Alex Padilla	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andoni Gorosabel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aymeric Laporte	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	14	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Daniel Vivian	0	-	3	-	8	2	2	-	False	90	3	D	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Eder Garcia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Endika Buján	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gorka Guruzeta	0	1	-	-	14	4	2	-	False	90	11	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	12	-	-	-	2	5	-	1	-
👤 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	0	-	1	-	6	2	2	-	False	45	16	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Jesús Areso	0	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	45	12	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Mikel Jauregizar	0	1	2	-	8	2	1	1	False	69	18	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	1	29	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Mikel Vesga	0	1	-	1	4	3	-	-	False	21	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	2
👤 Nico Serrano	0	2	1	1	4	1	-	-	False	21	22	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico Williams	0	6	1	3	10	3	-	-	False	78	10	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	15	3	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Selton Sanchez	0	1	-	-	4	1	1	1	False	12	44	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Gómez	0	1	1	-	6	3	1	1	False	45	20	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Unai Simón	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	3	5	-	-	13	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Urko Izeta	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yuri Berchiche	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álex Berenguer	1	1	-	1	10	3	2	-	False	69	7	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	33	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Íñigo Lekue	0	4	2	1	8	2	-	-	True	45	15	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Real Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andriy Lunin	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Rüdiger	1	-	-	7	3	2	-	False	90	22	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	65	1	68	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Arda Güler	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	21	15	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	17	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Aurélien Tchouaméni	1	1	-	14	9	-	-	False	90	14	M	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	73	-	82	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	5
👤 Brahim Díaz	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	12	21	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	6	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Ceballos	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eduardo Camavinga	2	1	2	12	11	-	4	False	69	6	M	8.2	False	0	-	1	-	44	-	50	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	4
👤 Endrick	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Valverde	1	1	-	6	3	-	-	True	90	8	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	42	1	51	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Fran García	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran González	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franco Mastantuono	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gonzalo García	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	12	16	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jude Bellingham	2	1	2	15	13	1	2	False	90	5	M	8.2	False	0	-	-	-	52	1	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	7
👤 Kylian Mbappé	7	-	4	11	6	1	1	False	78	10	F	10	False	1	-	2	1	26	2	30	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	-
👤 Raúl Asencio	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	35	17	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	23	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Rodrygo	2	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	12	11	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thibaut Courtois	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8	False	0	4	-	-	50	-	59	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Trent Alexander-Arnold	1	1	1	2	1	-	-	False	55	12	D	7.7	False	1	-	-	-	32	2	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinícius Júnior	4	1	1	8	3	-	2	False	78	7	F	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	25	-	31	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro Carreras	2	1	2	9	6	-	2	False	90	18	D	7.2	False	1	-	-	-	54	1	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Éder Militão	-	-	-	7	4	-	2	False	78	3	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	52	1	55	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Athletic Club and Real Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	0-3	33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club	0-3	33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Athletic Club and Real Madrid

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

35.7%

Home Win

28.3%

Draw

36.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Athletic Club 1.34

Real Madrid 1.35

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Athletic Club

Real Madrid

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)