Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid

La Liga

Athletic Club

HT: 0–0

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

85' A. Berenguer

06 Dec 2025

21:00

San Mamés

Score Summary

Athletic Club

1 0

FT HT 0–0

Atletico Madrid

A. Berenguer 85'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

37% Win

Athletic Club 1477 1490 ▲ 13

63% Win

Atletico Madrid 1569 1556 ▼ -13

xPi Expected win probability

58% Win

Athletic Club 0.23 0.06 ▼ -0.17

29% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.30 0.17 ▼ -0.13

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nico Williams

Athletic Club

8.0

8.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Álex Berenguer

Athletic Club

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Álex Berenguer

Athletic Club

7.7

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Marc Pubill

Atletico Madrid

7.9

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Athletic Club 50% Atletico Madrid 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

44 Possession 56

14 Shots 7

3 On Target 3

Form Context

Athletic Club

W L L W L

Atletico Madrid

L L L L W

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Athletic Club generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Athletic Club after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 52.5%

Draw 26.4%

Away Win 21.1%

Expected Goals 1.69 - 1.00

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	1-0	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

44 Possession 56

3 Shots 3

14 Shots 7

1 Offsides 2

8 Shots Off Goal 3

3 Shots On Goal 3

14 Total Shots 7

44 Ball Possession 56

287 Passes Accurate 384

386 Total Passes 487

74% Passes % 79%

3 Blocked Shots 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

9 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

5 Corner Kicks 6

10 Shots Insidebox 3

4 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.15 expected_goals 0.69

0 goals_prevented 0

Athletic Club — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adama Boiro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aitor Paredes	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	43	-	51	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Alejandro Rego	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	24	30	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Alex Padilla	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andoni Gorosabel	0	1	-	-	4	3	-	2	False	8	2	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aymeric Laporte	1	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	33	14	D	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	17	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Vivian	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	57	3	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	18	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Endika Buján	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gorka Guruzeta	0	2	1	1	14	3	2	-	False	66	11	F	5.5	False	0	-	-	-	7	1	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	1	1	2	1	10	7	-	2	False	66	16	M	8	False	0	-	-	-	36	1	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Jesús Areso	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	82	12	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	16	3	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Mikel Jauregizar	1	-	3	-	11	4	1	1	False	90	18	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	31	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Mikel Vesga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico Serrano	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico Williams	0	11	2	6	18	9	-	2	False	90	10	M	8	False	1	-	-	1	23	2	34	-	-	-	1	3	-	2	-
👤 Oihan Sancet	0	-	1	-	5	1	1	1	False	82	8	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	1	4	-	-	-
👤 Selton Sanchez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Gómez	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	24	20	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Simón	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	3	-	-	19	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Urko Izeta	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	25	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yuri Berchiche	0	-	-	-	12	8	1	1	True	90	17	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	35	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Álex Berenguer	0	2	2	1	15	5	1	1	False	90	7	M	7.7	False	0	-	1	-	24	4	41	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	1
👤 Íñigo Lekue	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksa Purić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Sørloth	0	-	1	-	5	2	-	1	False	28	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	24	7	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	1	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Martín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Clément Lenglet	0	-	-	-	9	5	1	1	False	62	15	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Conor Gallagher	1	-	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	45	4	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	20	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	1
👤 Dávid Hancko	0	2	-	1	8	5	-	-	False	90	17	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	1	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Giacomo Raspadori	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	18	22	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Giuliano Simeone	0	3	4	1	16	6	1	2	False	90	20	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	32	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Jan Oblak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	13	G	7.3	False	0	1	2	-	-	31	-	37	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Galán	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javier Boñar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	3	-	2	5	3	-	-	False	66	19	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Koke	1	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	45	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Marc Pubill	0	-	-	-	15	13	1	1	False	90	18	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	3
👤 Mario de Luis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	28	3	D	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nahuel Molina	0	1	2	1	9	4	2	1	False	90	16	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Nicolás González	0	4	1	3	11	6	2	-	False	72	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Pablo Barrios	0	3	-	2	7	4	2	2	False	90	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	1	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Almada	0	3	1	1	9	4	-	-	False	62	11	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	18	-	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Athletic Club and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	1-0	33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club	1-0	33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Athletic Club and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

52.5%

Home Win

26.4%

Draw

21.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Athletic Club 1.69

Atletico Madrid 1.00

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Athletic Club

Atletico Madrid

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)