Atletico Madrid vs Valencia - Football Platform

La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

HT: 1–0

Valencia

13 Dec 2025

14:00

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Score Summary

Atletico Madrid

2 1

FT HT 1–0

Valencia

Koke 17'
A. Griezmann 74'

63' L. Beltran

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

59% Win

Atletico Madrid 1565 1573 ▲ 8

41% Win

Valencia 1503 1495 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

64% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.33 0.17 ▼ -0.15

26% Win

Valencia -0.07 0.17 ▲ 0.24

Top Performers

Top Rated

Koke

Atletico Madrid

8.5

8.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Koke

Atletico Madrid

8.5

1 goals

Best Creator

André Almeida

Valencia

6.9

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Matteo Ruggeri

Atletico Madrid

7.3

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Atletico Madrid 75% Valencia 25%

Key Stats Snapshot

46 Possession 54

10 Shots 13

6 On Target 2

Form Context

Atletico Madrid

L L L L W

Valencia

W L L D W

Smart Insight

Atletico Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Valencia produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Atletico Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 57.4%

Draw 25.2%

Away Win 17.5%

Expected Goals 1.79 - 0.90

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	2-1	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

46 Possession 54

6 Shots 2

10 Shots 13

2 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 7

6 Shots On Goal 2

10 Total Shots 13

46 Ball Possession 54

373 Passes Accurate 438

447 Total Passes 516

83% Passes % 85%

2 Blocked Shots 4

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

13 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 1

5 Corner Kicks 7

8 Shots Insidebox 8

2 Shots Outsidebox 5

1.01 expected_goals 1.17

0 goals_prevented 0

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Sørloth	1	2	1	1	16	8	2	1	False	90	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	16	-	25	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	1	1	-	3	-	-	-	False	31	7	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	1	1	13	-	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Martín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Clément Lenglet	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Conor Gallagher	0	2	-	1	8	6	-	3	False	31	4	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Dani Martinez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dávid Hancko	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	17	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Giacomo Raspadori	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Giuliano Simeone	0	1	5	-	13	5	-	1	False	90	20	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	1	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jan Oblak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	6.3	False	0	1	1	-	-	17	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Galán	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javier Boñar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johnny Cardoso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	-	1	-	6	3	1	1	False	59	19	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	2	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Koke	0	-	2	-	9	6	1	1	True	90	6	M	8.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	63	-	69	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	5
👤 Marc Pubill	1	-	1	-	9	6	2	-	False	90	18	D	7.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	39	1	45	-	-	-	-	-	3	3	-
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	0	1	1	-	11	8	1	-	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	29	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	5
👤 Nahuel Molina	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	45	16	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	28	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Nicolás González	0	-	-	-	5	3	2	2	False	59	23	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	27	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Pablo Barrios	0	4	1	2	8	3	-	-	False	59	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	2	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	1	False	45	24	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Almada	1	1	2	1	5	2	1	-	False	31	11	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Valencia — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Panach Olmo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 André Almeida	0	5	1	1	11	3	1	2	False	90	10	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	61	2	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Arnaut Danjuma	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Baptiste Santamaria	0	-	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	19	22	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Dani Raba	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Otorbi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego López	0	-	-	-	6	2	-	2	False	55	16	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dimitri Foulquier	0	-	-	-	7	5	-	2	False	90	20	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	1	60	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Eray Cömert	0	-	1	-	4	3	-	1	False	71	24	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Filip Ugrinić	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	72	23	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	21	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Duro	1	1	-	1	9	3	1	1	False	90	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	14	2	19	-	-	-	-	2	1	1	1
👤 Javier Guerra	0	1	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	18	8	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jesús Vázquez	0	6	-	4	12	8	-	1	False	82	21	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Jose Gaya	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	-	False	8	14	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 José Copete	0	2	-	2	10	7	1	-	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	1	65	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Julen Agirrezabala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	25	G	6.5	False	0	2	4	-	-	19	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Largie Ramazani	0	2	-	2	6	3	1	1	False	8	17	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Beltrán	0	2	-	2	10	5	2	2	False	35	15	M	7.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Lucas Núñez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pepelu	0	-	1	-	4	-	2	-	True	82	18	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	2	62	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Rubén Iranzo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stole Dimitrievski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thierry Correia	0	4	-	2	12	4	2	1	False	90	12	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Valencia

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	2-1	33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia	2-1	33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Valencia

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

57.4%

Home Win

25.2%

Draw

17.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Atletico Madrid 1.79

Valencia 0.90

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Atletico Madrid

Valencia

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)