Alaves vs Real Madrid - Football Platform

La Liga

Alaves

Coach : Luis García

HT: 0–1

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

14 Dec 2025

21:00

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Stadium

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Vitoria-Gasteiz

Score Summary

Alaves

1 2

FT HT 0–1

Real Madrid

C. Vicente 68'

24' K. Mbappe
76' Rodrygo

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

43% Win

Alaves 1506 1497 ▼ -9

57% Win

Real Madrid 1554 1563 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

32% Win

Alaves 0.04 -0.02 ▼ -0.05

54% Win

Real Madrid 0.81 0.83 ▲ 0.02

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jude Bellingham

Real Madrid

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Carlos Vicente

Alaves

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Antonio Blanco

Alaves

6.9

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Jonny Otto

Alaves

6.9

6 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Alaves 25% Real Madrid 75%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

6 Shots 13

2 On Target 6

Form Context

Alaves

W D D L W

Real Madrid

W L D W D

Smart Insight

Real Madrid carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Real Madrid produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Real Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 24.3%

Draw 27.2%

Away Win 48.6%

Expected Goals 1.08 - 1.61

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	1-2	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

52 Possession 48

2 Shots 6

6 Shots 13

2 Offsides 0

2 Shots Off Goal 5

2 Shots On Goal 6

6 Total Shots 13

52 Ball Possession 48

421 Passes Accurate 397

488 Total Passes 462

86% Passes % 86%

2 Blocked Shots 2

4 Goalkeeper Saves 1

12 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 1

5 Corner Kicks 7

4 Shots Insidebox 10

2 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.36 expected_goals 1.83

0 goals_prevented 0

Alaves — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abderrahman Rebbach	1	3	-	1	7	3	1	1	False	67	21	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	10	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Aitor Mañas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ander Guevara	1	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	14	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Blanco	0	3	3	2	16	7	2	1	True	90	8	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	67	2	71	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Antonio Sivera	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.6	False	0	2	4	-	-	13	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Calebe Gonçalves	0	1	-	-	8	4	1	2	False	67	20	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	2
👤 Carles Aleñá	0	1	-	1	3	2	1	1	False	23	10	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Benavídez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Vicente	0	2	-	-	5	2	1	1	False	23	7	F	7.6	True	0	0	-	1	-	9	1	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Denis Suárez	0	1	1	-	5	2	1	-	False	83	4	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Jon Guridi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jon Pacheco	0	-	1	-	6	4	-	1	False	90	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	1	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Jonny Otto	0	3	5	2	17	9	-	1	False	90	17	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	-	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	6
👤 Lucas Boyé	0	3	1	2	14	5	-	2	False	90	15	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Mariano Díaz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moussa Diarra	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nahuel Tenaglia	0	-	1	-	6	5	-	1	False	90	14	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	4
👤 Pablo Ibáñez	0	1	-	1	7	2	2	1	False	67	19	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	47	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	-
👤 Raúl Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ruben Montero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toni Martínez	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	23	11	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Victor Parada	1	-	-	-	5	1	2	-	False	89	24	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	22	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim	0	2	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	8	3	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Real Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andriy Lunin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Rüdiger	0	-	-	-	7	5	-	1	False	90	22	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	-	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Arda Güler	0	2	1	1	6	3	1	1	False	78	15	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	1	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Aurélien Tchouaméni	0	-	3	-	10	4	2	-	False	90	14	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Brahim Díaz	0	2	-	2	4	3	-	-	False	14	21	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Dani Ceballos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dean Huijsen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	24	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Federico Valverde	0	1	-	-	7	5	-	1	True	90	8	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	2	43	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	4
👤 Franco Mastantuono	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	8	30	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gonzalo García	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	12	16	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joan Martínez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorge Cestero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jude Bellingham	0	5	1	2	15	9	2	2	False	90	5	M	8.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	60	2	66	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	4
👤 Kylian Mbappé	0	5	-	3	11	6	-	1	False	90	10	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	15	1	21	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	2
👤 Raúl Asencio	0	-	1	-	7	4	1	1	False	90	17	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	61	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Rodrygo	0	1	2	1	8	5	-	3	False	83	11	M	8	False	0	0	-	1	-	29	-	30	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Sergio Mestre	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Pitarch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thibaut Courtois	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	1	1	-	-	24	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinícius Júnior	1	7	-	2	15	3	4	-	False	89	7	F	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	15	1	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Víctor Valdepeñas	0	1	1	1	12	7	3	1	False	78	40	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Alaves and Real Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	1-2	33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves	1-2	33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Alaves and Real Madrid

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

24.3%

Home Win

27.2%

Draw

48.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Alaves 1.08

Real Madrid 1.61

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Alaves

Real Madrid

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)