Celta Vigo vs Valencia - Football Platform

La Liga

Celta Vigo

Coach : Claudio Giráldez

HT: 1–0

Valencia

03 Jan 2026

14:00

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Score Summary

Celta Vigo

4 1

FT HT 1–0

Valencia

70' Pepelu

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

53% Win

Celta Vigo 1523 1533 ▲ 10

47% Win

Valencia 1505 1496 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

40% Win

Celta Vigo -0.10 0.23 ▲ 0.33

37% Win

Valencia 0.04 0.17 ▲ 0.13

Top Performers

Top Rated

Borja Iglesias

Celta Vigo

8.0

8.0 rating · 67 min

Most Clinical

Borja Iglesias

Celta Vigo

8.0

2 goals

Best Creator

Óscar Mingueza

Celta Vigo

7.0

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Miguel Román

Celta Vigo

7.9

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Celta Vigo 55% Valencia 45%

Key Stats Snapshot

40 Possession 60

12 Shots 16

6 On Target 5

Form Context

Celta Vigo

L W L L L

Valencia

W L L D W

Smart Insight

Celta Vigo controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Valencia produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Celta Vigo after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.6%

Draw 28.3%

Away Win 34.1%

Expected Goals 1.38 - 1.31

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo	4-1	44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

40 Possession 60

6 Shots 5

12 Shots 16

2 Offsides 2

5 Shots Off Goal 8

6 Shots On Goal 5

12 Total Shots 16

40 Ball Possession 60

338 Passes Accurate 515

394 Total Passes 574

86% Passes % 90%

1 Blocked Shots 3

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

10 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

2 Corner Kicks 4

10 Shots Insidebox 10

2 Shots Outsidebox 6

2.70 expected_goals 1.94

0 goals_prevented 0

Celta Vigo — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Borja Iglesias	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	True	67	7	F	8	False	0	0	-	2	-	10	-	16	-	-	1	1	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Bryan Zaragoza	0	3	3	3	7	3	-	-	False	67	15	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	13	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ferran Jutglà	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran Beltrán	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franco Cervi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Sotelo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Álvarez	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	23	23	M	7.5	True	0	0	-	1	-	7	-	10	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Iago Aspas	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	10	F	6.3	True	1	0	-	-	-	5	1	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ilaix Moriba	0	1	1	1	9	6	-	2	False	90	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	31	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Ionuț Radu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	7.6	False	0	1	4	-	-	8	-	15	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iván Villar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Rodríguez	1	-	1	-	9	4	4	2	False	81	32	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	41	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Javier Rueda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jones El-Abdellaoui	0	2	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	23	39	F	7.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	2	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Joseph Aidoo	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	90	4	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	43	1	-	0	-	-	2	1	2	1
👤 Manu Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	12	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Alonso	0	2	-	1	7	4	-	1	False	90	20	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	1	57	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Miguel Román	0	1	2	1	15	9	2	1	False	90	16	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	2	56	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	4
👤 Pablo Durán	0	2	1	-	3	-	-	-	False	53	18	F	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	1	15	1	21	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Sergio Carreira	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	90	5	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	37	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Williot Swedberg	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	28	19	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	1	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Yoel Lago	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Óscar Mingueza	0	1	4	1	13	6	2	1	False	90	3	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	2	41	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	4

Valencia — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 André Almeida	0	1	1	1	7	2	2	1	False	90	10	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	1	73	-	0	-	1	1	2	1	-	-
👤 Arnaut Danjuma	0	2	-	1	4	3	-	2	False	24	7	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	2	8	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Baptiste Santamaria	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cristian Rivero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 César Tárrega	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	24	5	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Dani Raba	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego López	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	9	16	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Dimitri Foulquier	0	3	-	3	6	5	1	1	False	66	20	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	1	44	1	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Hugo Duro	1	-	1	-	11	4	1	2	False	90	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	20	-	0	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Javier Guerra	0	1	-	1	5	3	1	1	False	66	8	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	38	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Jesús Vázquez	0	6	1	5	9	6	-	1	False	90	21	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	48	2	51	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jose Gaya	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 José Copete	1	-	2	-	5	2	1	-	False	81	3	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	1	73	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Julen Agirrezabala	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	25	G	6.2	False	0	4	2	-	-	25	-	28	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Largie Ramazani	1	-	-	-	4	-	2	-	False	33	17	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lucas Beltrán	0	1	1	1	9	5	-	2	False	57	15	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	20	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Núñez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Rioja	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	33	11	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	23	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mouctar Diakhaby	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	90	4	D	5.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	68	-	75	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	4	-
👤 Pepelu	0	2	1	2	7	4	1	-	True	90	18	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	70	1	78	-	1	-	-	1	4	-	-	2
👤 Rubén Iranzo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thierry Correia	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	57	12	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	2	25	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Vicent Abril	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Celta Vigo and Valencia

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo	4-1	33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia	4-1	33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

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Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Celta Vigo and Valencia

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.6%

Home Win

28.3%

Draw

34.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Celta Vigo 1.38

Valencia 1.31

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Celta Vigo

Valencia

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)