Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano - Football Platform

La Liga

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

HT: 1–0

Rayo Vallecano

Coach : Iñigo Pérez

01 Feb 2026

14:00

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Stadium

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Madrid, Spain

Capacity: 85454 Surface: grass Address: Avenida de Concha Espina 1, Chamartín

Score Summary

Real Madrid

2 1

FT HT 1–0

Rayo Vallecano

Vinicius Junior 15'
K. Mbappe 90'

49' J. de Frutos

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

64% Win

Real Madrid 1587 1594 ▲ 7

36% Win

Rayo Vallecano 1486 1478 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

65% Win

Real Madrid 0.86 0.83 ▼ -0.04

26% Win

Rayo Vallecano -0.11 0.04 ▲ 0.15

Top Performers

Top Rated

Vinícius Júnior

Real Madrid

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid

6.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Federico Valverde

Real Madrid

7.9

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Eduardo Camavinga

Real Madrid

7.3

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Real Madrid 60% Rayo Vallecano 40%

Key Stats Snapshot

57 Possession 43

16 Shots 11

6 On Target 4

Form Context

Real Madrid

W L D W D

Rayo Vallecano

L W L W D

Smart Insight

Real Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Real Madrid generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Real Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 58.2%

Draw 24.9%

Away Win 16.9%

Expected Goals 1.81 - 0.88

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	2-1	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

57 Possession 43

6 Shots 4

16 Shots 11

1 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 4

6 Shots On Goal 4

16 Total Shots 11

57 Ball Possession 43

522 Passes Accurate 390

582 Total Passes 443

90% Passes % 88%

4 Blocked Shots 3

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

6 Fouls 18

0 Red Cards 2

2 Yellow Cards 8

9 Corner Kicks 4

12 Shots Insidebox 4

4 Shots Outsidebox 7

2.21 expected_goals 1.03

0 goals_prevented 0

Real Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andriy Lunin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arda Güler	0	2	1	1	8	4	-	2	False	77	15	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	2	48	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Aurélien Tchouaméni	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	90	14	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	1	67	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	3
👤 Brahim Díaz	0	1	-	-	7	3	1	2	False	80	21	M	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	-	25	1	28	-	-	0	1	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Dani Ceballos	1	-	-	-	6	4	1	3	False	45	19	M	7.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	46	2	50	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Daniel Carvajal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Alaba	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	13	4	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	15	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dean Huijsen	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	77	24	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	1	67	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	4	1
👤 Eduardo Camavinga	0	1	-	-	10	7	2	3	False	90	6	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	-	76	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	2	4
👤 Federico Valverde	0	2	1	2	10	8	1	1	True	90	8	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	3	69	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Fran García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran González	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franco Mastantuono	0	3	-	-	7	4	-	2	False	60	30	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	19	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Gonzalo García	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	30	16	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jude Bellingham	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	5	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kylian Mbappé	0	7	-	3	11	4	-	1	False	90	10	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	16	-	20	-	-	1	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Raúl Asencio	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	45	17	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	28	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodrygo	0	2	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	13	11	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	16	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Thibaut Courtois	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	1	3	-	-	23	-	26	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinícius Júnior	1	4	-	1	11	7	1	3	False	90	7	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	37	2	44	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	3
👤 Álvaro Carreras	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Rayo Vallecano — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alemão	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andrei Rațiu	0	0	1	1	-	11	4	1	-	False	90	2	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	1	49	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	4
👤 Augusto Batalla	0	1	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	6	False	0	2	4	-	-	19	-	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Martín	0	0	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	False	22	14	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Dani Cárdenas	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Lejeune	0	0	-	-	-	6	4	2	-	False	90	24	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	3
👤 Fran Pérez	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerard Gumbau	0	1	-	-	-	4	1	3	-	False	56	15	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	34	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Ilias Akhomach	0	1	2	-	1	12	8	2	4	False	83	12	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	25	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Isi Palazón	0	1	2	-	-	9	1	2	-	True	83	7	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	37	1	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ivan Balliu	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorge de Frutos	0	0	1	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	56	19	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	9	2	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Josep Chavarría	1	2	-	1	-	10	5	3	-	False	90	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	1	46	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	5
👤 Luiz Felipe	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	22	5	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nobel Mendy	0	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	-	False	90	32	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	40	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Pacha	0	1	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	13	22	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pathé Ismaël Ciss	1	0	-	-	-	5	1	3	-	False	80	6	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	1	51	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Pedro Díaz	0	0	2	1	1	7	4	-	-	False	34	4	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Randy Nteka	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio Camello	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro García	0	0	-	1	-	6	3	-	2	False	77	18	M	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	10	1	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Óscar Trejo	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Óscar Valentín	0	1	1	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	34	23	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	2-1	33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano	2-1	33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

58.2%

Home Win

24.9%

Draw

16.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Real Madrid 1.81

Rayo Vallecano 0.88

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)