Osasuna vs Real Madrid - Football Platform

La Liga

Osasuna

HT: 1–0

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

21 Feb 2026

18:30

Estadio El Sadar

Score Summary

Osasuna

2 1

FT HT 1–0

Real Madrid

A. Budimir 38'
R. Garcia 90'

73' Vinicius Junior

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

37% Win

Osasuna 1524 1537 ▲ 13

63% Win

Real Madrid 1617 1605 ▼ -13

xPi Expected win probability

33% Win

Osasuna -0.24 -0.09 ▲ 0.16

51% Win

Real Madrid 0.90 0.83 ▼ -0.07

Top Performers

Top Rated

Vinícius Júnior

Real Madrid

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Ante Budimir

Osasuna

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Aimar Oroz

Osasuna

6.2

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Valentin Rosier

Osasuna

6.7

2 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Osasuna 29% Real Madrid 71%

Key Stats Snapshot

39 Possession 61

13 Shots 15

2 On Target 5

Form Context

Osasuna

W D D L W

Real Madrid

W L D W D

Smart Insight

Real Madrid carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Osasuna after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 25.9%

Draw 27.5%

Away Win 46.7%

Expected Goals 1.12 - 1.57

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	2-1	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

39 Possession 61

2 Shots 5

13 Shots 15

1 Offsides 2

6 Shots Off Goal 5

2 Shots On Goal 5

13 Total Shots 15

39 Ball Possession 61

293 Passes Accurate 511

353 Total Passes 570

83% Passes % 90%

5 Blocked Shots 5

4 Goalkeeper Saves 1

19 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 4

3 Corner Kicks 7

11 Shots Insidebox 7

2 Shots Outsidebox 8

2.29 expected_goals 1.70

0 goals_prevented 0

Osasuna — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abel Bretones	0	-	-	-	3	-	2	-	False	24	23	D	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aimar Oroz	1	2	-	-	12	4	3	2	False	71	10	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	3	34	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Aitor Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alejandro Catena	0	1	1	1	4	2	1	1	False	90	24	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	34	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	2	-
👤 Ante Budimir	0	-	-	-	8	4	-	1	False	67	17	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	9	-	10	-	-	1	1	1	4	1	-	-
👤 Asier Osambela	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dimitrios Stamatakis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iker Muñoz	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	19	8	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Iñigo Arguibide	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	13	41	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Galán	0	2	-	2	7	3	3	-	False	90	20	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	2	47	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Jon Moncayola	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	83	7	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	34	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jorge Herrando	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Juan Cruz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kike Barja	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Torró	0	1	-	-	6	4	2	-	False	90	6	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	43	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Moi Gómez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raúl García de Haro	0	3	-	1	5	3	-	1	False	23	9	F	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	1	7	-	7	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Raúl Moro	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	13	18	F	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	-	4	1	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rubén García	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	True	66	14	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	2	27	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sergio Herrera	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.3	False	0	1	4	-	-	11	-	17	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Valentin Rosier	0	2	1	1	8	3	2	-	False	83	19	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	33	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Victor Muñoz	0	6	-	4	15	7	3	3	False	90	21	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	2	19	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Real Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andriy Lunin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Rüdiger	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arda Güler	0	-	4	-	8	3	-	2	False	82	15	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	1	55	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Aurélien Tchouaméni	0	-	-	-	8	6	-	2	False	90	14	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	54	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	1
👤 Brahim Díaz	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	3	False	26	21	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Ceballos	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	8	19	M	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Daniel Carvajal	0	-	2	-	7	3	-	2	True	64	2	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	1	40	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 David Alaba	1	-	1	-	7	4	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	-	68	-	-	-	-	1	2	-	3
👤 Eduardo Camavinga	0	-	-	-	7	4	2	-	False	64	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Federico Valverde	0	1	-	-	4	2	1	2	False	75	8	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	40	1	43	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Ferland Mendy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franco Mastantuono	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gonzalo García	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	15	16	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kylian Mbappé	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	10	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	29	1	36	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Raúl Asencio	0	-	1	-	8	4	2	-	False	90	17	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	65	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Sergio Mestre	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Pitarch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thibaut Courtois	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	90	1	G	5.2	False	0	2	1	-	-	20	-	26	1	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Trent Alexander-Arnold	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	26	12	D	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Vinícius Júnior	1	3	1	2	14	7	2	5	False	90	7	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	32	2	38	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro Carreras	0	1	-	1	6	6	-	-	False	90	18	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	2	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Osasuna and Real Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	2-1	33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna	2-1	33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Osasuna and Real Madrid

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

25.9%

Home Win

27.5%

Draw

46.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Osasuna 1.12

Real Madrid 1.57

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Osasuna

Real Madrid

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)