Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Coach : Iñigo Pérez

HT: 1–0

Athletic Club

35' J. de Frutos
47' I. Williams

28 Feb 2026

14:00

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Stadium

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Madrid

Score Summary

Rayo Vallecano

1 1

FT HT 1–0

Athletic Club

J. de Frutos 35'

47' I. Williams

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

Rayo Vallecano 1494 1494 ▲ 0

52% Win

Athletic Club 1505 1504 ▼ 0

xPi Expected win probability

38% Win

Rayo Vallecano -0.08 0.04 ▲ 0.12

37% Win

Athletic Club 0.25 0.06 ▼ -0.18

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jorge de Frutos

Rayo Vallecano

7.7

7.7 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Jorge de Frutos

Rayo Vallecano

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Álex Berenguer

Athletic Club

6.6

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Pacha

Rayo Vallecano

6.9

7 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Rayo Vallecano 78% Athletic Club 22%

Key Stats Snapshot

50 Possession 50

15 Shots 8

7 On Target 2

Form Context

Rayo Vallecano

L W L W D

Athletic Club

W L L W L

Smart Insight

Rayo Vallecano controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Rayo Vallecano generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.4%

Draw 28.3%

Away Win 35.3%

Expected Goals 1.36 - 1.33

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo	44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

50 Possession 50

7 Shots 2

15 Shots 8

3 Offsides 0

6 Shots Off Goal 2

7 Shots On Goal 2

15 Total Shots 8

50 Ball Possession 50

204 Passes Accurate 199

309 Total Passes 301

66% Passes % 66%

2 Blocked Shots 4

1 Goalkeeper Saves 6

8 Fouls 17

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

5 Corner Kicks 4

9 Shots Insidebox 4

6 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.44 expected_goals 0.54

1 goals_prevented 1

Rayo Vallecano — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alemão	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	10	9	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andrei Rațiu	0	-	-	-	8	2	-	1	False	90	2	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	2	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Augusto Batalla	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	6.3	False	0	1	1	-	-	15	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Martín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Cárdenas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Lejeune	0	-	-	-	10	9	1	1	False	90	24	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	40	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	1
👤 Fran Pérez	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	29	21	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerard Gumbau	0	-	1	-	6	1	1	-	False	61	15	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ilias Akhomach	1	2	-	-	8	4	1	2	False	86	12	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	19	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Isi Palazón	1	2	-	1	11	7	1	3	True	69	7	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	15	2	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Ivan Balliu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorge de Frutos	0	2	-	1	15	6	2	3	False	90	19	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	1	6	1	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Josep Chavarría	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luiz Felipe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nobel Mendy	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	61	32	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	-
👤 Pacha	0	3	1	2	19	13	-	2	False	90	22	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	27	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	7
👤 Pathé Ismaël Ciss	0	-	-	-	10	7	1	-	False	90	6	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	16	1	20	-	-	-	-	1	1	4	3
👤 Pedro Díaz	0	-	1	-	4	3	-	1	False	21	4	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Randy Nteka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai López	0	2	-	-	5	1	1	1	False	29	17	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro García	0	2	2	1	7	1	-	-	False	61	18	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	13	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Óscar Trejo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Óscar Valentín	0	1	1	1	3	2	-	-	False	29	23	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-

Athletic Club — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adama Boiro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aitor Paredes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alejandro Rego	0	2	-	1	5	3	1	1	False	31	30	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Alex Padilla	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andoni Gorosabel	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	17	2	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Aymeric Laporte	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	14	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Daniel Vivian	1	-	1	-	13	6	4	1	False	90	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Gorka Guruzeta	0	1	1	-	17	4	1	-	False	90	11	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Iñaki Williams	0	3	1	1	19	7	2	1	True	90	9	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	8	-	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	0	-	1	-	6	4	-	2	False	59	16	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jesús Areso	0	-	-	-	4	3	2	-	False	73	12	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Mikel Jauregizar	1	2	1	2	10	3	3	-	False	86	18	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Mikel Vesga	0	1	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	10	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Nico Serrano	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oihan Sancet	1	2	1	2	9	5	1	1	False	86	8	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Navarro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Selton Sanchez	0	1	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	10	44	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Gómez	0	1	-	-	6	2	2	-	False	45	20	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	15	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Unai Simón	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.3	False	0	1	6	-	-	19	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Urko Izeta	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yuri Berchiche	0	1	-	-	8	6	-	1	False	90	17	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Álex Berenguer	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	45	7	F	6.6	True	1	0	-	-	-	9	2	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Íñigo Lekue	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club	1-1	33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano	1-1	33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.4%

Home Win

28.3%

Draw

35.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Rayo Vallecano 1.36

Athletic Club 1.33

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Rayo Vallecano

Athletic Club

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)