Rayo Vallecano vs Oviedo - Football Platform

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Coach : Iñigo Pérez

HT: 1–0

Oviedo

04 Mar 2026

19:00

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Stadium

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Madrid

Score Summary

Rayo Vallecano

3 0

FT HT 1–0

Oviedo

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

58% Win

Rayo Vallecano 1494 1503 ▲ 8

42% Win

Oviedo 1436 1428 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

56% Win

Rayo Vallecano -0.03 0.04 ▲ 0.08

30% Win

Oviedo -0.35 -0.35 ▲ 0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Álvaro García

Rayo Vallecano

8.2

8.2 rating · 88 min

Most Clinical

Jorge de Frutos

Rayo Vallecano

7.5

2 goals

Best Creator

Unai López

Rayo Vallecano

7.2

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Lucas Ahijado

Oviedo

6.5

6 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Rayo Vallecano 78% Oviedo 22%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

19 Shots 8

7 On Target 2

Form Context

Rayo Vallecano

L W L W D

Oviedo

L W W D L

Smart Insight

Rayo Vallecano controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Rayo Vallecano generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Rayo Vallecano after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 50.6%

Draw 26.8%

Away Win 22.6%

Expected Goals 1.65 - 1.04

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo	44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

52 Possession 48

7 Shots 2

19 Shots 8

1 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 2

7 Shots On Goal 2

19 Total Shots 8

52 Ball Possession 48

322 Passes Accurate 283

393 Total Passes 353

82% Passes % 80%

6 Blocked Shots 4

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

10 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

12 Corner Kicks 2

12 Shots Insidebox 5

7 Shots Outsidebox 3

2.51 expected_goals 0.99

0 goals_prevented 0

Rayo Vallecano — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alemão	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	2	9	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andrei Rațiu	0	2	-	1	5	3	-	1	False	90	2	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	37	1	46	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Augusto Batalla	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	7.3	False	0	2	-	-	26	-	39	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Martín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Cárdenas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Lejeune	0	-	-	-	13	10	3	-	False	90	24	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	33	-	41	-	-	0	-	1	2	2	2	3
👤 Fran Pérez	0	2	-	2	4	2	-	-	False	25	21	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Gerard Gumbau	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilias Akhomach	0	2	1	1	18	7	1	2	False	69	12	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	1	15	1	18	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	1	4
👤 Isi Palazón	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	25	7	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	17	-	21	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Ivan Balliu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	2	20	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorge de Frutos	0	1	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	65	19	F	7.5	False	0	-	2	-	5	2	5	-	-	1	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Josep Chavarría	0	1	1	1	7	3	-	1	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	35	2	43	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Luiz Felipe	0	-	-	-	10	7	1	1	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	38	-	43	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	5
👤 Nobel Mendy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pacha	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pathé Ismaël Ciss	0	-	-	-	10	8	1	1	False	88	6	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	27	1	34	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	5
👤 Pedro Díaz	1	2	-	1	5	2	2	-	False	65	4	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	13	1	17	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Sergio Camello	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai López	0	3	-	2	7	4	1	1	False	90	17	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	42	4	45	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Álvaro García	0	-	-	-	6	6	-	2	True	88	18	M	8.2	False	0	-	1	-	15	1	20	-	-	0	1	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Óscar Trejo	0	-	2	-	7	3	1	1	False	21	8	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Óscar Valentín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Oviedo — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aarón Escandell	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	6.2	False	0	3	4	-	-	16	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Abdel Rahim	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alberto Reina	1	1	1	-	11	3	1	1	False	90	5	M	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	32	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Dani Calvo	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	-	True	90	12	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	28	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	1
👤 David Carmo	0	-	2	-	8	4	-	-	False	90	16	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	3
👤 Diego Espinosa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Viñas	0	2	1	-	14	4	2	2	False	74	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Haissem Hassan	0	3	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	61	10	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Horațiu Moldovan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilyas Chaira	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	45	7	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi López	0	6	1	1	12	4	2	2	False	90	25	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Kwasi Sibo	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	45	6	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Ahijado	0	1	2	-	13	6	1	-	False	90	24	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	2	29	1	-	-	-	-	1	3	6
👤 Luka Ilić	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	29	21	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nacho Vidal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Fonseca	0	1	2	1	7	2	1	1	False	29	23	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Agudín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Santi Cazorla	0	1	-	-	5	3	-	2	False	45	8	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Colombatto	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	61	11	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Thiago Borbas	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	1	False	16	17	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Thiago Fernández	0	2	-	1	5	3	-	-	False	45	15	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Álex Forés	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Rayo Vallecano and Oviedo

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano	3-0	33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo	3-0	33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Rayo Vallecano and Oviedo

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

50.6%

Home Win

26.8%

Draw

22.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Rayo Vallecano 1.65

Oviedo 1.04

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Rayo Vallecano

Oviedo

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)