Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid - Football Platform

La Liga

Celta Vigo

Coach : Claudio Giráldez

HT: 1–1

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

06 Mar 2026

21:00

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Score Summary

Celta Vigo

1 2

FT HT 1–1

Real Madrid

B. Iglesias 25'

11' A. Tchouameni
90+4' F. Valverde

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

Celta Vigo 1568 1559 ▼ -9

54% Win

Real Madrid 1598 1607 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

35% Win

Celta Vigo 0.22 0.23 ▲ 0.01

45% Win

Real Madrid 0.76 0.83 ▲ 0.07

Top Performers

Top Rated

Aurélien Tchouaméni

Real Madrid

8.0

8.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Borja Iglesias

Celta Vigo

6.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Williot Swedberg

Celta Vigo

7.2

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Aurélien Tchouaméni

Real Madrid

8.0

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Celta Vigo 57% Real Madrid 43%

Key Stats Snapshot

36 Possession 64

8 Shots 14

4 On Target 3

Form Context

Celta Vigo

L W L L L

Real Madrid

W L D W D

Smart Insight

Celta Vigo controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Real Madrid produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Real Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 30.6%

Draw 28.1%

Away Win 41.3%

Expected Goals 1.23 - 1.46

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	1-2	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo	1-2	44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

36 Possession 64

4 Shots 3

8 Shots 14

2 Offsides 0

4 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 3

8 Total Shots 14

36 Ball Possession 64

401 Passes Accurate 736

464 Total Passes 805

86% Passes % 91%

0 Blocked Shots 7

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

4 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

1 Corner Kicks 6

7 Shots Insidebox 7

1 Shots Outsidebox 7

1.05 expected_goals 0.80

1 goals_prevented 1

Celta Vigo — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alvaro Núñez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Borja Iglesias	1	3	1	2	14	4	3	1	False	70	7	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	1	1	8	-	19	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Carl Starfelt	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	True	90	2	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	61	-	-	-	-	-	4	1	1
👤 Carlos Domínguez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fer López	0	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	21	8	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ferran Jutglà	0	1	-	1	6	5	-	1	False	70	9	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	14	-	18	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Hugo Sotelo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Álvarez	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	20	23	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Iago Aspas	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	1	False	14	10	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Ilaix Moriba	0	-	1	-	4	3	-	2	False	89	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Ionuț Radu	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	13	G	6.5	False	0	2	1	-	-	13	-	16	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iván Villar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Rodríguez	0	1	2	1	8	5	-	1	False	90	32	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	-	76	-	-	-	-	1	2	2	1
👤 Javier Rueda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jones El-Abdellaoui	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	20	39	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Joseph Aidoo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Manu Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Alonso	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	90	20	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	-	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Matías Vecino	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	15	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Miguel Román	0	-	4	-	6	2	-	1	False	90	16	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	2	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio Carreira	0	2	-	-	5	3	-	1	False	90	5	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	2	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Williot Swedberg	0	1	1	-	6	2	1	2	False	69	19	F	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	11	2	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Óscar Mingueza	0	1	2	1	5	2	-	-	False	83	3	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1

Real Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andriy Lunin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Rüdiger	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	90	22	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	102	-	111	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Arda Güler	0	2	-	1	6	4	-	-	False	65	15	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	32	2	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Aurélien Tchouaméni	1	2	1	2	9	7	1	1	False	90	14	M	8	False	0	0	-	1	-	81	1	88	-	-	-	1	2	-	4	3
👤 Brahim Díaz	0	3	-	2	5	2	1	-	False	77	21	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	1	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 César Palacios	0	1	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	25	38	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Daniel Carvajal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Aguado	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Valverde	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	-	True	90	8	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	97	1	102	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Ferland Mendy	0	1	-	1	6	4	-	1	False	90	23	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	81	-	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Fran García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gonzalo García	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	13	16	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorge Cestero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lamini Fati	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Manuel Ángel Morán	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	1	37	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Raúl Asencio	1	-	2	-	7	1	2	1	False	90	17	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	92	-	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Sergio Mestre	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Pitarch	0	2	4	1	13	2	3	-	False	89	45	M	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	-	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Thibaut Courtois	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.7	False	0	1	3	-	-	29	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Trent Alexander-Arnold	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	12	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	85	3	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Vinícius Júnior	0	5	-	3	7	4	-	-	False	90	7	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	2	28	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Celta Vigo and Real Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid	1-2	33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo	1-2	33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Celta Vigo and Real Madrid

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

30.6%

Home Win

28.1%

Draw

41.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Celta Vigo 1.23

Real Madrid 1.46

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Celta Vigo

Real Madrid

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)