Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad

La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

HT: 1–1

Real Sociedad

07 Mar 2026

18:30

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Score Summary

Atletico Madrid

3 2

FT HT 1–1

Real Sociedad

9' C. Soler
68' M. Oyarzabal

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

53% Win

Atletico Madrid 1590 1600 ▲ 9

47% Win

Real Sociedad 1567 1558 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

54% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.34 0.17 ▼ -0.17

32% Win

Real Sociedad 0.13 0.08 ▼ -0.05

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nicolás González

Atletico Madrid

9.3

9.3 rating · 36 min

Most Clinical

Nicolás González

Atletico Madrid

9.3

2 goals

Best Creator

Matteo Ruggeri

Atletico Madrid

6.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Nahuel Molina

Atletico Madrid

7.0

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Atletico Madrid 75% Real Sociedad 25%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

24 Shots 7

9 On Target 3

Form Context

Atletico Madrid

L L L L W

Real Sociedad

L W D L D

Smart Insight

Atletico Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Atletico Madrid generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Atletico Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 48.6%

Draw 27.2%

Away Win 24.2%

Expected Goals 1.61 - 1.08

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	3-2	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

52 Possession 48

9 Shots 3

24 Shots 7

3 Offsides 1

12 Shots Off Goal 2

9 Shots On Goal 3

24 Total Shots 7

52 Ball Possession 48

398 Passes Accurate 367

483 Total Passes 462

82% Passes % 79%

3 Blocked Shots 2

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

6 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

8 Corner Kicks 1

20 Shots Insidebox 4

4 Shots Outsidebox 3

2.29 expected_goals 0.41

0 goals_prevented 0

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ademola Lookman	0	1	1	1	9	5	-	2	False	53	22	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	15	1	20	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Alex Baena	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Sørloth	0	3	-	1	18	6	1	-	False	90	9	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	10	1	15	-	-	-	2	6	-	-	1
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	37	7	F	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	-	14	3	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Clément Lenglet	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dávid Hancko	1	-	1	-	8	3	1	1	False	90	17	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	1	52	-	-	-	1	2	2	2	1
👤 Giuliano Simeone	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	53	20	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	3	26	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jan Oblak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	5.7	False	0	2	1	-	-	15	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johnny Cardoso	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	1	False	29	5	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 José María Giménez	0	1	1	-	15	10	-	2	False	90	2	D	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	1	47	1	56	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	2
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julio Díaz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	37	19	F	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	2	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Koke	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	1	True	61	6	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	3	53	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Marc Pubill	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Llorente	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	45	14	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	0	1	1	-	6	3	1	-	False	90	3	D	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	1	43	3	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Nahuel Molina	0	-	-	-	6	6	-	-	False	90	16	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	49	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	5
👤 Nicolás González	0	3	1	2	10	5	1	-	False	36	23	F	9.3	True	0	0	-	2	-	13	-	15	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	2
👤 Obed Vargas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodrigo Mendoza	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	-	False	45	4	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Thiago Almada	0	2	1	-	7	3	1	-	False	54	11	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	2	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3

Real Sociedad — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ander Barrenetxea	0	3	-	1	9	3	1	-	True	65	7	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Aritz Elustondo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arsen Zakharyan	0	1	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	25	21	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Beñat Turrientes	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	16	8	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brais Méndez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	23	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Soler	0	2	-	2	5	4	-	-	False	74	18	M	8	False	0	0	-	1	-	31	-	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Duje Caleta-Car	0	-	-	-	14	8	1	-	False	90	16	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Goncalo Guedes	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	35	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Igor Zubeldia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jon Aramburu	0	1	1	-	6	3	-	-	False	90	2	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	1
👤 Jon Gorrotxategi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jon Karrikaburu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jon Martin	0	1	-	1	7	3	-	1	False	90	31	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	1
👤 Luka Sučić	0	2	-	2	7	5	-	1	False	74	24	F	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	17	2	23	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Mikel Oyarzabal	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	-	False	34	10	F	7.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	14	-	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Orri Steinn Óskarsson	1	-	-	-	9	3	4	-	False	56	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Marín	0	1	1	-	4	-	-	-	False	55	15	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio Gómez	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	17	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	52	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Theo Folgado	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Marrero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wesley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yangel Herrera	0	4	1	1	25	11	3	2	False	90	12	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Álex Remiro	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	9	False	0	3	5	-	-	41	-	61	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	3-2	33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad	3-2	33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 49.6%

Draw 16.9%

Away Win 33.5%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

48.6%

Home Win

27.2%

Draw

24.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Atletico Madrid 1.61

Real Sociedad 1.08

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Atletico Madrid

Real Sociedad

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)