Valencia vs Celta Vigo - Football Platform

La Liga

Valencia

HT: 1–0

Celta Vigo

Coach : Claudio Giráldez

05 Apr 2026

16:15

Estadio de Mestalla

Stadium

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia, Spain

Capacity: 55000 Surface: grass Address: Avenida de Suecia

Score Summary

Valencia

2 3

FT HT 1–0

Celta Vigo

G. Rodriguez 12'
G. Rodriguez 90'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

44% Win

Valencia 1515 1506 ▼ -9

56% Win

Celta Vigo 1557 1566 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

42% Win

Valencia 0.14 0.17 ▲ 0.03

36% Win

Celta Vigo 0.26 0.23 ▼ -0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Guido Rodríguez

Valencia

9.5

9.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Guido Rodríguez

Valencia

9.5

2 goals

Best Creator

Ilaix Moriba

Celta Vigo

7.5

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Guido Rodríguez

Valencia

9.5

5 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Valencia 44% Celta Vigo 56%

Key Stats Snapshot

42 Possession 58

13 Shots 9

4 On Target 5

Form Context

Valencia

W L L D W

Celta Vigo

L W L L L

Smart Insight

Celta Vigo carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Valencia generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Celta Vigo after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 42.6%

Draw 28.0%

Away Win 29.4%

Expected Goals 1.49 - 1.20

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo	2-3	44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

42 Possession 58

4 Shots 5

13 Shots 9

0 Offsides 2

7 Shots Off Goal 3

4 Shots On Goal 5

13 Total Shots 9

42 Ball Possession 58

281 Passes Accurate 436

345 Total Passes 500

81% Passes % 87%

2 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

14 Fouls 21

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

6 Corner Kicks 0

7 Shots Insidebox 6

6 Shots Outsidebox 3

0.80 expected_goals 1.05

-1 goals_prevented -1

Valencia — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 André Almeida	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	63	10	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	25	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Arnaut Danjuma	0	2	-	1	5	1	1	-	False	12	7	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Baptiste Santamaria	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cristian Rivero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 César Tárrega	0	-	-	-	8	5	3	3	False	90	5	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Dani Raba	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego López	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eray Cömert	0	-	-	-	8	6	2	1	False	90	24	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	50	-	-	-	1	3	1	1	3
👤 Filip Ugrinić	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	27	23	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Guido Rodríguez	1	1	3	-	14	9	1	3	False	90	2	M	9.5	False	0	0	-	2	-	37	1	42	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	5
👤 Hugo Duro	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	2	False	63	9	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Javier Guerra	0	-	1	-	8	2	1	1	False	63	8	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Jesús Vázquez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jose Gaya	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	2	True	78	14	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Largie Ramazani	0	1	-	-	8	3	-	2	False	90	17	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Lucas Beltrán	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	1	False	27	15	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Rioja	0	2	2	2	10	6	2	2	False	90	11	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	31	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Pepelu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Renzo Saravia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stole Dimitrievski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	3	2	-	-	26	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thierry Correia	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	27	12	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Umar Sadiq	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	27	6	F	7.3	True	1	0	-	-	-	4	1	6	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Unai Núñez	0	1	-	-	7	3	2	1	False	63	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2

Celta Vigo — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alvaro Núñez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andrés Antañón	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Borja Iglesias	0	-	-	-	4	1	2	1	False	19	7	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Domínguez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fer López	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	45	8	M	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	-	13	1	18	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Ferran Jutglà	0	2	-	1	10	2	4	1	False	71	9	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	19	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	-
👤 Franco Cervi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Sotelo	1	-	-	-	8	4	2	1	False	90	22	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	1	57	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Hugo Álvarez	0	3	-	2	9	5	1	1	False	45	23	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Ilaix Moriba	0	1	-	1	14	8	3	3	False	90	6	M	7.5	False	1	0	-	1	-	34	2	41	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	4
👤 Ionuț Radu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	6	False	0	2	2	-	-	12	-	25	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iván Villar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Rodríguez	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	45	32	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Javier Rueda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jones El-Abdellaoui	0	-	1	-	5	3	1	-	False	45	39	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joseph Aidoo	0	-	-	-	6	3	2	-	False	90	4	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Manu Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Alonso	1	-	-	-	5	1	2	-	True	90	20	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	-	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Pablo Durán	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	45	18	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	2	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sergio Carreira	0	1	-	-	4	3	-	2	False	90	5	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	-	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Williot Swedberg	0	4	-	1	9	4	1	2	False	45	19	M	7.9	True	1	0	-	1	-	12	1	14	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Yoel Lago	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	9	29	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Óscar Mingueza	0	2	2	1	8	3	2	2	False	88	3	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Valencia and Celta Vigo

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid		33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo	2-3	33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club		33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia	2-3	33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Valencia and Celta Vigo

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 52.4%

Draw 15.4%

Away Win 32.2%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

42.6%

Home Win

28.0%

Draw

29.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Valencia 1.49

Celta Vigo 1.20

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Valencia

Celta Vigo

Estadio de Mestalla

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)