Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club

La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

HT: 0–1

Athletic Club

25 Apr 2026

21:00

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Score Summary

Atletico Madrid

3 2

FT HT 0–1

Athletic Club

23' A. Paredes
90' G. Guruzeta

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

61% Win

Atletico Madrid 1560 1568 ▲ 8

39% Win

Athletic Club 1486 1478 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

53% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.08 0.17 ▲ 0.09

32% Win

Athletic Club 0.10 0.06 ▼ -0.04

Top Performers

Top Rated

Alexander Sørloth

Atletico Madrid

9.3

9.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Alexander Sørloth

Atletico Madrid

9.3

2 goals

Best Creator

Alex Baena

Atletico Madrid

7.3

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Matteo Ruggeri

Atletico Madrid

6.3

2 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Atletico Madrid 50% Athletic Club 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

54 Possession 46

6 Shots 12

4 On Target 4

Form Context

Atletico Madrid

L L L L W

Athletic Club

W L L W L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Athletic Club produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Atletico Madrid after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 28.0%

Draw 27.7%

Away Win 44.3%

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	3-2	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		44	L W L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

54 Possession 46

4 Shots 4

6 Shots 12

2 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 6

4 Shots On Goal 4

6 Total Shots 12

54 Ball Possession 46

473 Passes Accurate 380

555 Total Passes 461

85% Passes % 82%

0 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

8 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 0

3 Corner Kicks 4

6 Shots Insidebox 8

0 Shots Outsidebox 4

2.09 expected_goals 0.80

-1 goals_prevented -1

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Baena	1	-	-	7	3	-	3	False	90	10	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	33	2	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Alexander Sørloth	1	-	1	16	11	2	1	False	90	9	F	9.3	False	0	0	-	2	1	11	-	17	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	1
👤 Antoine Griezmann	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	63	7	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	19	-	27	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Clément Lenglet	-	1	-	10	6	-	1	False	90	15	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	-	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Giuliano Simeone	1	2	1	6	3	-	-	False	72	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jan Oblak	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	6.7	False	0	2	2	-	-	19	-	23	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javier Boñar	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johnny Cardoso	2	-	1	8	5	1	2	False	32	5	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	2
👤 Juan Musso	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julio Díaz	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Koke	-	-	-	4	4	-	1	True	72	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Marc Pubill	-	-	-	8	7	-	1	False	90	18	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	70	-	82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Marcos Llorente	1	2	-	5	1	1	-	False	63	14	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	48	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	-	1	-	11	6	1	1	False	90	3	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	1	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Nahuel Molina	-	1	-	9	4	1	-	False	27	16	D	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	13	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Nicolás González	-	-	-	3	1	1	1	False	27	23	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Obed Vargas	-	2	-	6	3	1	-	False	18	21	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Pablo Barrios	2	1	1	8	3	-	1	False	58	8	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	-
👤 Robin Le Normand	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	18	24	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Rodrigo Mendoza	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Salvador Esquivel	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Athletic Club — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adama Boiro	-	-	-	4	4	-	1	False	27	19	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Aitor Paredes	1	-	1	5	3	1	-	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	67	1	71	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Alejandro Rego	2	1	1	9	4	3	1	False	90	30	M	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	40	1	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Alex Padilla	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andoni Gorosabel	1	-	1	7	3	1	1	False	90	2	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Aymeric Laporte	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Vivian	-	-	-	12	6	-	1	False	90	3	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	-	56	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	2
👤 Eder Garcia	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gorka Guruzeta	-	-	-	13	5	2	-	False	90	11	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	15	1	23	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	-
👤 Iñaki Williams	1	-	-	3	-	1	-	True	70	9	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	10	2	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	2	1	-	7	4	-	1	False	70	16	M	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	27	2	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Jesús Areso	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mikel Vesga	1	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	20	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	25	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Nico Serrano	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico Williams	8	1	4	14	7	-	1	False	70	10	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Oihan Sancet	1	-	-	8	2	1	1	False	27	8	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Robert Navarro	8	-	2	12	4	-	-	False	20	23	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Unai Gómez	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	63	20	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Unai Simón	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	5.7	False	0	3	2	-	-	23	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Urko Izeta	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yeray Álvarez	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yuri Berchiche	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	63	17	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	31	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Álex Berenguer	-	1	-	5	-	3	-	False	20	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	2	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Athletic Club

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona		33	28	1	4	87	30	57	85	W W W W W
2	Real Madrid		33	23	5	5	68	31	37	74	W L D W D
3	Villarreal		33	20	5	8	59	38	21	65	W L W D W
4	Atletico Madrid	3-2	33	18	6	9	56	37	19	60	L L L L W
5	Real Betis		33	12	14	7	49	41	8	50	L D D W D
6	Celta Vigo		33	11	11	11	45	43	2	44	L W L L L
7	Getafe		33	13	5	15	28	34	-6	44	W W L W L
8	Real Sociedad		33	11	10	12	52	52	0	43	L W D L D
9	Osasuna		33	11	9	13	39	40	-1	42	W D D L W
10	Athletic Club	3-2	33	12	5	16	36	48	-12	41	W L L W L
11	Rayo Vallecano		33	9	12	12	33	41	-8	39	L W L W D
12	Valencia		33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	39	W L L D W
13	Espanyol		33	10	9	14	37	49	-12	39	L D L L D
14	Elche		33	9	11	13	44	50	-6	38	W L W W W
15	Mallorca		34	10	8	16	42	51	-9	38	W W D L W
16	Girona		34	9	11	14	36	51	-15	38	W D L L L
17	Alaves		33	9	9	15	38	49	-11	36	W D D L W
18	Sevilla		33	9	7	17	40	54	-14	34	L L W L L
19	Levante		33	8	9	16	36	50	-14	33	W L W W D
20	Oviedo		33	6	10	17	26	51	-25	28	L W W D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Athletic Club

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Barcelona	33	94	1
2	Real Madrid	33	82	2
3	Villarreal	33	73	3
4	Atletico Madrid	33	67	4
5	Real Betis	33	57	5
6	Celta Vigo	33	52	7
7	Getafe	33	52	8
8	Real Sociedad	33	50	8
9	Osasuna	33	48	10
10	Athletic Club	33	48	10
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	46	12
12	Valencia	33	46	13
13	Espanyol	33	45	13
14	Elche	33	43	14
15	Mallorca	34	41	16
16	Girona	34	45	13
17	Alaves	33	42	15
18	Sevilla	33	39	18
19	Levante	33	39	17
20	Oviedo	33	33	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 28.0%

Draw 27.7%

Away Win 44.3%

xpi

Home Win 56.9%

Draw 13.2%

Away Win 30.0%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

45.6%

Home Win

27.6%

Draw

26.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Atletico Madrid 1.55

Athletic Club 1.14

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Atletico Madrid

Athletic Club

Prediction (catboost)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)