AC Milan vs Napoli - Football Platform

Serie A

AC Milan

HT: 2–0

Napoli

28 Sep 2025

20:45

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Stadium

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Milano, Italy

Capacity: 80018 Surface: grass Address: Via Piccolomini 5

Score Summary

AC Milan

2 1

FT HT 2–0

Napoli

A. Saelemaekers 3'
C. Pulisic 31'

60' K. De Bruyne

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

AC Milan 1510 1515 ▲ 5

51% Win

Napoli 1514 1507 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

47% Win

AC Milan 0.24 0.43 ▲ 0.19

35% Win

Napoli -0.01 0.29 ▲ 0.31

Top Performers

Top Rated

Christian Pulišić

AC Milan

8.5

8.5 rating · 59 min

Most Clinical

Alexis Saelemaekers

AC Milan

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Miguel Gutiérrez

Napoli

6.6

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Luka Modrić

AC Milan

7.2

1 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

AC Milan 30% Napoli 70%

Key Stats Snapshot

37 Possession 63

6 Shots 19

3 On Target 7

Form Context

AC Milan

W L L W D

Napoli

W W D L W

Smart Insight

Napoli carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Napoli produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors AC Milan after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 41.0%

Draw 29.6%

Away Win 29.4%

Expected Goals 1.35 - 1.11

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Inter		79	D W W W D
2	Napoli	2-1	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan	2-1	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus		64	D W W W D
5	Como		61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma		61	W L W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

37 Possession 63

3 Shots 7

6 Shots 19

1 Offsides 0

2 Shots Off Goal 6

3 Shots On Goal 7

6 Total Shots 19

37 Ball Possession 63

298 Passes Accurate 551

359 Total Passes 604

83% Passes % 91%

1 Blocked Shots 6

6 Goalkeeper Saves 1

7 Fouls 7

1 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 0

1 Corner Kicks 7

5 Shots Insidebox 12

1 Shots Outsidebox 7

0.75 expected_goals 2.96

-1 goals_prevented -1

AC Milan — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrien Rabiot	0	1	1	1	-	9	3	3	1	False	90	12	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Alexis Saelemaekers	0	0	1	-	1	7	5	-	1	False	69	56	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	18	-	24	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	3
👤 Christian Pulišić	0	0	4	-	1	5	1	-	-	False	59	11	F	8.5	False	1	0	-	1	-	23	2	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Nkunku	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Odogu	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Davide Bartesaghi	0	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	31	33	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Fikayo Tomori	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	80	23	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Koni De Winter	0	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	10	5	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Luka Modrić	0	0	1	1	1	4	2	-	-	False	90	14	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	1	58	-	-	-	-	-	2	5	1
👤 Matteo Gabbia	0	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	46	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Matteo Pittarella	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mike Maignan	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	True	90	16	G	8	False	0	1	6	-	-	17	-	37	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pervis Estupiñán	1	0	-	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	57	2	M	5.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	19	1	23	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Pietro Terracciano	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rafael Leão	0	0	1	-	-	5	1	2	-	False	21	10	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ruben Loftus-Cheek	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	8	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Samuele Ricci	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Giménez	0	0	2	-	-	7	3	-	2	False	69	7	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Strahinja Pavlović	0	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	90	31	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	40	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	1
👤 Youssouf Fofana	0	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	80	19	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	15	1	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Zachary Athekame	0	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	21	24	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Napoli — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Meret	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	2	1	-	-	11	-	11	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Vergara	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Billy Gilmour	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	6	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Neres	4	-	1	4	1	1	-	False	17	7	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Eljif Elmas	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	18	20	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Frank Anguissa	-	-	-	9	6	-	-	False	90	99	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	37	-	-	0	-	1	4	-	-	1
👤 Giovanni Di Lorenzo	-	-	-	5	5	-	1	True	90	22	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	-	61	-	-	0	1	1	3	-	1	1
👤 Giuseppe Ambrosino	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	69	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Jesus	-	-	-	9	2	2	-	False	90	5	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	76	-	81	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kevin De Bruyne	-	1	-	7	4	-	1	False	72	11	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	63	3	75	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Lorenzo Lucca	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	17	27	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Marianucci	-	1	-	4	2	1	-	False	90	35	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	100	1	102	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Mathias Ferrante	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Politano	4	-	2	6	3	-	-	False	77	21	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	3	39	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Miguel Gutiérrez	-	1	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	3	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	4	56	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Noa Lang	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	70	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Pasquale Mazzocchi	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rasmus Højlund	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	73	19	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	11	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sam Beukema	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Scott McTominay	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	73	8	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	36	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Stanislav Lobotka	-	-	-	6	6	1	5	False	89	68	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	2	63	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Vanja Milinković-Savić	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: AC Milan and Napoli

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter		34	25	4	5	80	31	49	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli	2-1	34	21	6	7	52	33	19	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan	2-1	34	19	10	5	48	27	21	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus		34	18	10	6	57	29	28	64	D W W W D
5	Como		34	17	10	7	59	28	31	61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma		34	19	4	11	48	29	19	61	W L W D W
7	Atalanta		34	14	12	8	47	32	15	54	W W L D L
8	Lazio		34	12	12	10	37	33	4	48	W D L W D
9	Bologna		34	14	6	14	42	41	1	48	L W W L L
10	Sassuolo		34	13	7	14	41	44	-3	46	D W L W D
11	Udinese		34	12	8	14	41	46	-5	44	W D W L D
12	Parma		34	10	12	12	25	40	-15	42	L D D W W
13	Torino		34	11	8	15	39	56	-17	41	L W W D D
14	Genoa		34	10	9	15	40	48	-8	39	L L W W L
15	Fiorentina		34	8	13	13	38	45	-7	37	D W W D D
16	Cagliari		34	9	9	16	36	49	-13	36	L L W L W
17	Lecce		35	8	8	19	24	47	-23	32	L L D D W
18	Cremonese		34	6	10	18	26	51	-25	28	W L L D L
19	Verona		34	3	10	21	23	56	-33	19	L L L L D
20	Pisa		35	2	12	21	25	63	-38	18	L L L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: AC Milan and Napoli

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Inter	34	87	1
2	Napoli	34	75	3
3	AC Milan	34	74	3
4	Juventus	34	71	4
5	Como	34	68	5
6	AS Roma	34	68	5
7	Atalanta	34	60	7
8	Lazio	34	53	9
9	Bologna	34	53	9
10	Sassuolo	34	51	10
11	Udinese	34	50	11
12	Parma	34	45	13
13	Torino	34	45	13
14	Genoa	34	43	14
15	Fiorentina	34	42	14
16	Cagliari	34	40	15
17	Lecce	35	33	17
18	Cremonese	34	32	18
19	Verona	34	22	19
20	Pisa	35	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

41.0%

Home Win

29.6%

Draw

29.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

AC Milan 1.35

Napoli 1.11

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

AC Milan

Napoli

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)