Parma vs Lecce - Football Platform

Serie A

Parma

HT: 0–1

Lecce

38' R. Sottil

04 Oct 2025

15:00

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Stadium

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma, Italy

Capacity: 22885 Surface: grass Address: Via Partigiani d'Italia, 1

Score Summary

Parma

0 1

FT HT 0–1

Lecce

38' R. Sottil

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

Parma 1495 1488 ▼ -8

49% Win

Lecce 1485 1493 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

47% Win

Parma 0.04 -0.49 ▼ -0.53

34% Win

Lecce -0.20 -0.51 ▼ -0.31

Top Performers

Top Rated

Riccardo Sottil

Lecce

7.7

7.7 rating · 68 min

Most Clinical

Riccardo Sottil

Lecce

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Mateo Pellegrino

Parma

6.2

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Mandela Keita

Parma

7.3

6 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Parma 40% Lecce 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

63 Possession 37

10 Shots 7

2 On Target 3

Form Context

Parma

L D D W W

Lecce

L L D D W

Smart Insight

Lecce carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Parma generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Lecce after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 42.9%

Draw 29.4%

Away Win 27.7%

Expected Goals 1.39 - 1.07

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Inter	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus	64	D W W W D
5	Como	61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma	61	W L W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

63 Possession 37

2 Shots 3

10 Shots 7

2 Offsides 2

6 Shots Off Goal 3

2 Shots On Goal 3

10 Total Shots 7

63 Ball Possession 37

388 Passes Accurate 182

476 Total Passes 277

82% Passes % 66%

2 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

16 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

4 Corner Kicks 9

7 Shots Insidebox 4

3 Shots Outsidebox 3

0.59 expected_goals 0.50

0 goals_prevented 0

Parma — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdoulaye Ndiaye	1	-	1	-	14	8	3	2	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	-	71	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Adrian Benedyczak	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	-	False	23	7	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Adrián Bernabé	0	1	1	-	9	3	2	2	False	84	10	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	2	53	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Alessandro Circati	0	-	-	-	8	6	-	1	False	90	39	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	76	1	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Christian Ordoñez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edoardo Corvi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elia Plicco	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	65	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emanuele Valeri	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	26	14	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Enrico Delprato	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	1	True	90	15	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	38	-	-	-	1	2	1	1	1
👤 Filippo Rinaldi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	66	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mandela Keita	0	2	-	-	13	10	-	3	False	90	16	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6
👤 Mariano Troilo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mateo Pellegrino	0	1	-	-	17	6	4	2	False	90	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	15	3	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik	0	2	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	58	18	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Milan Đurić	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	-	False	14	30	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nahuel Estévez	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	14	8	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Trabucchi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	63	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oliver Sørensen	0	2	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	67	22	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrick Cutrone	0	1	-	-	5	3	-	3	False	90	32	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	-	18	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-
👤 Pontus Almqvist	0	2	-	-	7	2	2	1	False	45	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sascha Britschgi	0	-	1	-	3	-	2	-	False	45	27	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Tjaš Begić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Zion Suzuki	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	31	G	7	False	0	1	2	-	-	27	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Lecce — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Sala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonino Gallo	0	2	-	1	7	5	-	-	False	90	25	D	7.3	False	1	-	-	-	21	2	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Christ-Owen Kouassi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Früchtl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Corrie Ndaba	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	10	3	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danilo Veiga	0	1	-	-	7	3	2	1	False	90	17	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	10	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Francesco Camarda	0	3	-	1	8	3	1	-	False	14	22	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jamil Siebert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jasper Samooja	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kialonda Gaspar	1	1	-	1	11	4	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	15	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lameck Banda	1	-	-	-	5	2	2	2	False	22	19	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lassana Coulibaly	0	1	-	-	9	4	2	1	False	88	29	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	11	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Medon Berisha	0	-	-	-	7	5	1	2	False	88	10	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	27	1	37	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Mohamed Kaba	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	10	77	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 N'Dri Konan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niko Kovač	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	80	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Štulić	0	-	-	-	11	4	1	2	False	76	9	F	6.2	False	0	-	-	1	10	2	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Riccardo Sottil	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	68	23	F	7.7	False	0	-	1	-	9	1	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Pierotti	0	6	-	2	19	6	2	1	False	90	50	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	1	11	-	19	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Tiago Gabriel	0	-	-	-	11	7	2	2	False	90	44	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	24	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Wladimiro Falcone	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	30	G	6.9	False	0	2	-	-	11	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ylber Ramadani	0	-	-	-	7	4	2	1	False	90	20	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	24	-	35	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	3
👤 Þórir Jóhann Helgason	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Parma and Lecce

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter		34	25	4	5	80	31	49	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli		34	21	6	7	52	33	19	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan		34	19	10	5	48	27	21	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus		34	18	10	6	57	29	28	64	D W W W D
5	Como		34	17	10	7	59	28	31	61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma		34	19	4	11	48	29	19	61	W L W D W
7	Atalanta		34	14	12	8	47	32	15	54	W W L D L
8	Lazio		34	12	12	10	37	33	4	48	W D L W D
9	Bologna		34	14	6	14	42	41	1	48	L W W L L
10	Sassuolo		34	13	7	14	41	44	-3	46	D W L W D
11	Udinese		34	12	8	14	41	46	-5	44	W D W L D
12	Parma	0-1	34	10	12	12	25	40	-15	42	L D D W W
13	Torino		34	11	8	15	39	56	-17	41	L W W D D
14	Genoa		34	10	9	15	40	48	-8	39	L L W W L
15	Fiorentina		34	8	13	13	38	45	-7	37	D W W D D
16	Cagliari		34	9	9	16	36	49	-13	36	L L W L W
17	Lecce	0-1	35	8	8	19	24	47	-23	32	L L D D W
18	Cremonese		34	6	10	18	26	51	-25	28	W L L D L
19	Verona		34	3	10	21	23	56	-33	19	L L L L D
20	Pisa		35	2	12	21	25	63	-38	18	L L L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Parma and Lecce

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Inter	34	87	1
2	Napoli	34	75	3
3	AC Milan	34	74	3
4	Juventus	34	71	4
5	Como	34	68	5
6	AS Roma	34	68	5
7	Atalanta	34	60	7
8	Lazio	34	53	9
9	Bologna	34	53	9
10	Sassuolo	34	51	10
11	Udinese	34	50	11
12	Parma	34	45	13
13	Torino	34	45	13
14	Genoa	34	43	14
15	Fiorentina	34	42	14
16	Cagliari	34	40	15
17	Lecce	35	33	17
18	Cremonese	34	32	18
19	Verona	34	22	19
20	Pisa	35	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

42.9%

Home Win

29.4%

Draw

27.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Parma 1.39

Lecce 1.07

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Parma

Lecce

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)