AC Milan vs Fiorentina - Football Platform

Serie A

AC Milan

HT: 0–0

Fiorentina

55' R. Gosens
63' R. Leao
86' R. Leao

19 Oct 2025

20:45

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Stadium

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Milano, Italy

Capacity: 80018 Surface: grass Address: Via Piccolomini 5

Score Summary

AC Milan

2 1

FT HT 0–0

Fiorentina

R. Leao 63'
R. Leao 86'

55' R. Gosens

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

55% Win

AC Milan 1515 1522 ▲ 7

45% Win

Fiorentina 1483 1476 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

39% Win

AC Milan 0.15 0.43 ▲ 0.28

37% Win

Fiorentina -0.08 0.16 ▲ 0.24

Top Performers

Top Rated

Rafael Leão

AC Milan

8.5

8.5 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Rafael Leão

AC Milan

8.5

2 goals

Best Creator

Luka Modrić

AC Milan

7.5

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Luka Modrić

AC Milan

7.5

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

AC Milan 80% Fiorentina 20%

Key Stats Snapshot

56 Possession 44

14 Shots 5

4 On Target 1

Form Context

AC Milan

W L L W D

Fiorentina

D W W D D

Smart Insight

AC Milan controlled momentum for most phases of play.
AC Milan generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors AC Milan after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 35.9%

Draw 29.9%

Away Win 34.2%

Expected Goals 1.24 - 1.21

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Inter		79	D W W W D
2	Napoli		69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan	2-1	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus		64	D W W W D
5	Como		61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma		61	W L W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

56 Possession 44

4 Shots 1

14 Shots 5

0 Offsides 2

7 Shots Off Goal 3

4 Shots On Goal 1

14 Total Shots 5

56 Ball Possession 44

424 Passes Accurate 306

485 Total Passes 362

87% Passes % 85%

3 Blocked Shots 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

14 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 3

1 Corner Kicks 3

10 Shots Insidebox 2

4 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.98 expected_goals 1.08

0 goals_prevented 0

AC Milan — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexis Saelemaekers	0	4	-	3	8	5	-	1	False	89	56	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	56	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Cheveyo Mul-Balentien	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	25	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Odogu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Davide Bartesaghi	0	-	1	-	4	2	1	-	False	90	33	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	3	38	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Emanuele Sala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fikayo Tomori	1	-	-	-	7	5	1	-	False	90	23	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	70	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	4
👤 Koni De Winter	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	8	5	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Luka Modrić	0	-	1	-	10	6	1	-	False	90	14	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	4	50	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Matteo Gabbia	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	90	46	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	44	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Pittarella	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mike Maignan	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	True	90	16	G	6.9	False	0	1	1	-	-	23	-	24	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pietro Terracciano	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rafael Leão	0	1	-	1	8	4	3	2	False	89	10	F	8.5	False	0	0	-	2	-	19	1	24	-	-	1	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Samuele Ricci	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	2	False	90	4	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	52	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Santiago Giménez	0	1	-	-	5	3	1	2	False	33	7	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	1	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Strahinja Pavlović	0	-	-	-	7	5	2	2	False	90	31	D	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	65	1	70	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Youssouf Fofana	1	3	-	1	9	5	1	1	False	90	19	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	33	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Zachary Athekame	1	1	1	-	8	5	1	1	False	57	24	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	22	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	2

Fiorentina — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdelhamid Sabiri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Albert Guðmundsson	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	20	10	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cher Ndour	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David De Gea	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	43	G	7	False	0	2	2	-	-	9	-	18	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dodô	0	4	1	1	6	2	-	1	False	90	2	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	25	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Eddy Kouadio	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	60	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edin Džeko	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	10	9	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabiano Parisi	1	-	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	21	65	D	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Hans Nicolussi Caviglia	1	-	2	-	6	-	4	-	False	87	14	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	44	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Jacopo Fazzini	0	2	-	1	8	5	-	1	False	70	22	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Luca Lezzerini	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Ranieri	1	-	-	-	7	5	1	3	True	90	6	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marin Pongračić	0	2	-	1	8	4	2	1	False	90	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	50	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Mattia Viti	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moise Kean	0	4	1	1	9	2	1	1	False	77	20	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Niccolò Fortini	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolò Fagioli	0	2	-	-	10	4	-	2	False	90	44	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	2	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Pablo Marí	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	90	18	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	2
👤 Pietro Comuzzo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roberto Piccoli	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	13	91	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Gosens	0	-	-	-	5	1	-	-	False	69	21	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	1	1	12	-	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Rolando Mandragora	0	-	2	-	5	2	1	2	False	88	8	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Simon Sohm	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	7	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tommaso Martinelli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: AC Milan and Fiorentina

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter		34	25	4	5	80	31	49	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli		34	21	6	7	52	33	19	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan	2-1	34	19	10	5	48	27	21	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus		34	18	10	6	57	29	28	64	D W W W D
5	Como		34	17	10	7	59	28	31	61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma		34	19	4	11	48	29	19	61	W L W D W
7	Atalanta		34	14	12	8	47	32	15	54	W W L D L
8	Lazio		34	12	12	10	37	33	4	48	W D L W D
9	Bologna		34	14	6	14	42	41	1	48	L W W L L
10	Sassuolo		34	13	7	14	41	44	-3	46	D W L W D
11	Udinese		34	12	8	14	41	46	-5	44	W D W L D
12	Parma		34	10	12	12	25	40	-15	42	L D D W W
13	Torino		34	11	8	15	39	56	-17	41	L W W D D
14	Genoa		34	10	9	15	40	48	-8	39	L L W W L
15	Fiorentina	2-1	34	8	13	13	38	45	-7	37	D W W D D
16	Cagliari		34	9	9	16	36	49	-13	36	L L W L W
17	Lecce		35	8	8	19	24	47	-23	32	L L D D W
18	Cremonese		34	6	10	18	26	51	-25	28	W L L D L
19	Verona		34	3	10	21	23	56	-33	19	L L L L D
20	Pisa		35	2	12	21	25	63	-38	18	L L L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: AC Milan and Fiorentina

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Inter	34	87	1
2	Napoli	34	75	3
3	AC Milan	34	74	3
4	Juventus	34	71	4
5	Como	34	68	5
6	AS Roma	34	68	5
7	Atalanta	34	60	7
8	Lazio	34	53	9
9	Bologna	34	53	9
10	Sassuolo	34	51	10
11	Udinese	34	50	11
12	Parma	34	45	13
13	Torino	34	45	13
14	Genoa	34	43	14
15	Fiorentina	34	42	14
16	Cagliari	34	40	15
17	Lecce	35	33	17
18	Cremonese	34	32	18
19	Verona	34	22	19
20	Pisa	35	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

35.9%

Home Win

29.9%

Draw

34.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

AC Milan 1.24

Fiorentina 1.21

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

AC Milan

Fiorentina

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)