Fiorentina vs Lecce - Football Platform

Serie A

Fiorentina

HT: 0–1

Lecce

23' M. Berisha

02 Nov 2025

15:00

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Score Summary

Fiorentina

0 1

FT HT 0–1

Lecce

23' M. Berisha

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Fiorentina 1471 1463 ▼ -7

51% Win

Lecce 1479 1486 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

49% Win

Fiorentina -0.01 0.16 ▲ 0.17

34% Win

Lecce -0.16 -0.51 ▼ -0.35

Top Performers

Top Rated

Wladimiro Falcone

Lecce

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Medon Berisha

Lecce

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Rolando Mandragora

Fiorentina

7.3

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Luca Ranieri

Fiorentina

7.3

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Fiorentina 50% Lecce 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

63 Possession 37

15 Shots 11

4 On Target 4

Form Context

Fiorentina

D W W D D

Lecce

L L D D W

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Fiorentina generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Lecce after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.4%

Draw 29.2%

Away Win 26.4%

Expected Goals 1.42 - 1.04

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Inter	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus	64	D W W W D
5	Como	61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma	61	W L W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

63 Possession 37

4 Shots 4

15 Shots 11

3 Offsides 0

7 Shots Off Goal 5

4 Shots On Goal 4

15 Total Shots 11

63 Ball Possession 37

383 Passes Accurate 188

459 Total Passes 276

83% Passes % 68%

4 Blocked Shots 2

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

14 Fouls 21

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 4

11 Shots Insidebox 5

4 Shots Outsidebox 6

1.46 expected_goals 1.15

1 goals_prevented 1

Fiorentina — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Albert Guðmundsson	0	1	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	45	10	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Amir Richardson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cher Ndour	0	1	-	-	6	1	-	1	False	45	27	M	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 David De Gea	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	43	G	6.3	False	0	1	3	-	-	24	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dodô	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	4	False	90	2	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	43	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Eddy Kouadio	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	60	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edin Džeko	0	2	-	1	10	4	-	-	False	59	9	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	18	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Eman Košpo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabiano Parisi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	65	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hans Nicolussi Caviglia	1	1	-	1	8	5	1	3	False	45	14	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jacopo Fazzini	0	1	-	-	4	1	1	1	False	14	22	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Lezzerini	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Ranieri	1	-	1	-	16	12	1	2	True	90	6	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	51	-	61	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	5
👤 Marin Pongračić	0	1	-	-	10	6	1	3	False	90	5	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	1	60	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Moise Kean	1	5	-	2	12	5	2	-	False	90	20	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	5	-	8	-	-	-	2	3	1	-	-
👤 Niccolò Fortini	0	3	1	1	15	7	1	3	False	90	29	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Nicolò Fagioli	1	-	1	-	4	2	1	1	False	45	44	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Pablo Marí	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pietro Comuzzo	0	-	-	-	7	5	-	1	False	76	15	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Roberto Piccoli	0	-	-	-	11	3	3	1	False	31	91	F	6	True	0	0	-	-	1	1	1	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Rolando Mandragora	0	1	-	1	5	3	2	1	False	45	8	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	3	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Simon Sohm	0	1	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	45	7	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Tommaso Martinelli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Lecce — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Sala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonino Gallo	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	-	False	90	25	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	22	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Christ-Owen Kouassi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Früchtl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Corrie Ndaba	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danilo Veiga	1	6	1	2	17	7	2	3	False	90	17	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	15	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Francesco Camarda	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	8	22	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamil Siebert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jasper Samooja	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kialonda Gaspar	0	-	-	-	10	5	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	15	-	21	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	1
👤 Lameck Banda	0	-	2	-	10	4	3	1	False	73	19	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Lassana Coulibaly	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	29	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	21	-	25	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Medon Berisha	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	76	10	M	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	19	3	23	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Mohamed Kaba	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	8	77	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 N'Dri Konan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Štulić	0	1	-	-	22	11	2	1	False	89	9	F	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	14	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Riccardo Sottil	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Pierotti	0	1	-	-	8	4	1	1	False	17	50	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Tete Morente	0	1	1	1	15	5	4	-	False	89	7	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	21	2	28	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	2
👤 Tiago Gabriel	0	-	-	-	9	6	-	2	False	90	44	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	12	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Wladimiro Falcone	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	True	90	30	G	7.9	False	0	4	-	-	9	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ylber Ramadani	0	-	3	-	13	8	2	3	False	90	20	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	26	-	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Youssef Maleh	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	1	False	14	93	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Þórir Jóhann Helgason	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Fiorentina and Lecce

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter		34	25	4	5	80	31	49	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli		34	21	6	7	52	33	19	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan		34	19	10	5	48	27	21	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus		34	18	10	6	57	29	28	64	D W W W D
5	Como		34	17	10	7	59	28	31	61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma		34	19	4	11	48	29	19	61	W L W D W
7	Atalanta		34	14	12	8	47	32	15	54	W W L D L
8	Lazio		34	12	12	10	37	33	4	48	W D L W D
9	Bologna		34	14	6	14	42	41	1	48	L W W L L
10	Sassuolo		34	13	7	14	41	44	-3	46	D W L W D
11	Udinese		34	12	8	14	41	46	-5	44	W D W L D
12	Parma		34	10	12	12	25	40	-15	42	L D D W W
13	Torino		34	11	8	15	39	56	-17	41	L W W D D
14	Genoa		34	10	9	15	40	48	-8	39	L L W W L
15	Fiorentina	0-1	34	8	13	13	38	45	-7	37	D W W D D
16	Cagliari		34	9	9	16	36	49	-13	36	L L W L W
17	Lecce	0-1	35	8	8	19	24	47	-23	32	L L D D W
18	Cremonese		34	6	10	18	26	51	-25	28	W L L D L
19	Verona		34	3	10	21	23	56	-33	19	L L L L D
20	Pisa		35	2	12	21	25	63	-38	18	L L L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Fiorentina and Lecce

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Inter	34	87	1
2	Napoli	34	75	3
3	AC Milan	34	74	3
4	Juventus	34	71	4
5	Como	34	68	5
6	AS Roma	34	68	5
7	Atalanta	34	60	7
8	Lazio	34	53	9
9	Bologna	34	53	9
10	Sassuolo	34	51	10
11	Udinese	34	50	11
12	Parma	34	45	13
13	Torino	34	45	13
14	Genoa	34	43	14
15	Fiorentina	34	42	14
16	Cagliari	34	40	15
17	Lecce	35	33	17
18	Cremonese	34	32	18
19	Verona	34	22	19
20	Pisa	35	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.4%

Home Win

29.2%

Draw

26.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Fiorentina 1.42

Lecce 1.04

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Fiorentina

Lecce

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)