Inter vs Bologna - Football Platform

Serie A

Inter

HT: 1–0

Bologna

04 Jan 2026

20:45

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Stadium

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Milano, Italy

Capacity: 80018 Surface: grass Address: Via Piccolomini 5

Score Summary

Inter

3 1

FT HT 1–0

Bologna

83' S. Castro

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

54% Win

Inter 1567 1576 ▲ 9

46% Win

Bologna 1537 1527 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

54% Win

Inter 0.71 0.74 ▲ 0.03

31% Win

Bologna 0.19 -0.03 ▼ -0.22

Top Performers

Top Rated

Marcus Thuram

Inter

8.9

8.9 rating · 83 min

Most Clinical

Piotr Zieliński

Inter

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Hakan Çalhanoğlu

Inter

7.9

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Charalampos Lykogiannis

Bologna

6.7

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Inter 83% Bologna 17%

Key Stats Snapshot

58 Possession 42

19 Shots 6

10 On Target 2

Form Context

Inter

D W W W D

Bologna

L W W L L

Smart Insight

Inter controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Inter generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Inter after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 48.9%

Draw 28.5%

Away Win 22.6%

Expected Goals 1.50 - 0.95

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Inter	3-1	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli		69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan		67	W L L W D
4	Juventus		64	D W W W D
5	Como		61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma		61	W L W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

58 Possession 42

10 Shots 2

19 Shots 6

3 Offsides 0

5 Shots Off Goal 3

10 Shots On Goal 2

19 Total Shots 6

58 Ball Possession 42

392 Passes Accurate 266

460 Total Passes 340

85% Passes % 78%

4 Blocked Shots 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 7

20 Fouls 21

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 3

7 Corner Kicks 1

15 Shots Insidebox 4

4 Shots Outsidebox 2

2.93 expected_goals 0.85

0 goals_prevented 0

Inter — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alain Taho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	60	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alessandro Bastoni	1	1	-	-	9	5	1	1	False	76	95	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	50	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Carlos Augusto	0	-	-	-	5	2	2	-	False	14	30	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Davide Frattesi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Dimarco	0	2	-	1	7	3	2	1	False	90	32	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	1	56	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Francesco Acerbi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Francesco Pio Esposito	0	2	-	-	5	2	-	1	False	14	94	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Hakan Çalhanoğlu	1	3	-	-	8	3	2	1	False	68	20	M	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	48	5	52	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Henrikh Mkhitaryan	0	-	1	-	5	2	2	2	False	22	22	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josep Martínez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lautaro Martínez	0	1	-	1	13	7	2	4	True	76	10	F	8.7	False	1	0	-	1	1	18	4	21	-	-	-	4	6	-	1	1
👤 Luís Henrique	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	90	11	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Manuel Akanji	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	1	False	90	25	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	51	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Marcus Thuram	0	1	1	1	18	11	3	3	False	83	9	F	8.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	22	1	29	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	4
👤 Matteo Cocchi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Lavelli	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	12	53	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolò Barella	1	1	-	-	10	5	2	2	False	68	23	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	23	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Petar Sučić	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	22	8	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Piotr Zieliński	0	-	-	-	5	3	2	2	False	90	7	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	31	-	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Simone Cinquegrano	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	50	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan de Vrij	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yann Bisseck	0	2	-	1	11	5	1	1	False	90	31	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	35	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Yann Sommer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.5	False	0	1	1	-	-	26	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Bologna — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Benjamín Domínguez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Charalampos Lykogiannis	1	1	-	-	10	6	1	-	False	90	22	D	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	16	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	6
👤 Ciro Immobile	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emil Holm	0	1	-	-	10	5	1	2	False	68	2	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Federico Ravaglia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	8.3	False	0	3	7	-	-	29	-	46	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Giovanni Fabbian	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	80	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jens Odgaard	0	1	-	-	8	3	1	1	False	79	21	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	9	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Jhon Lucumí	0	-	-	-	4	-	2	-	False	45	26	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Jonathan Rowe	1	2	1	-	14	6	2	4	False	90	11	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Juan Miranda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Ferguson	0	1	-	1	7	4	1	2	True	90	19	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Lorenzo De Silvestri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Vitík	1	-	-	-	8	4	3	-	False	45	41	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Massimo Pessina	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Franceschelli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nadir Zortea	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	22	20	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nicolò Cambiaghi	0	2	1	-	10	5	1	1	False	68	28	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Nicolò Casale	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Moro	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	45	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Remo Freuler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	8	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Riccardo Orsolini	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	3	False	22	7	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Castro	0	1	-	-	13	6	3	3	False	90	9	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	13	1	14	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Sulemana	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	77	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thijs Dallinga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tommaso Pobega	0	-	1	-	5	2	2	1	False	45	4	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	26	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Torbjørn Heggem	0	-	1	-	10	5	3	-	False	90	14	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Inter and Bologna

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	3-1	34	25	4	5	80	31	49	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli		34	21	6	7	52	33	19	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan		34	19	10	5	48	27	21	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus		34	18	10	6	57	29	28	64	D W W W D
5	Como		34	17	10	7	59	28	31	61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma		34	19	4	11	48	29	19	61	W L W D W
7	Atalanta		34	14	12	8	47	32	15	54	W W L D L
8	Lazio		34	12	12	10	37	33	4	48	W D L W D
9	Bologna	3-1	34	14	6	14	42	41	1	48	L W W L L
10	Sassuolo		34	13	7	14	41	44	-3	46	D W L W D
11	Udinese		34	12	8	14	41	46	-5	44	W D W L D
12	Parma		34	10	12	12	25	40	-15	42	L D D W W
13	Torino		34	11	8	15	39	56	-17	41	L W W D D
14	Genoa		34	10	9	15	40	48	-8	39	L L W W L
15	Fiorentina		34	8	13	13	38	45	-7	37	D W W D D
16	Cagliari		34	9	9	16	36	49	-13	36	L L W L W
17	Lecce		35	8	8	19	24	47	-23	32	L L D D W
18	Cremonese		34	6	10	18	26	51	-25	28	W L L D L
19	Verona		34	3	10	21	23	56	-33	19	L L L L D
20	Pisa		35	2	12	21	25	63	-38	18	L L L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Inter and Bologna

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Inter	34	87	1
2	Napoli	34	75	3
3	AC Milan	34	74	3
4	Juventus	34	71	4
5	Como	34	68	5
6	AS Roma	34	68	5
7	Atalanta	34	60	7
8	Lazio	34	53	9
9	Bologna	34	53	9
10	Sassuolo	34	51	10
11	Udinese	34	50	11
12	Parma	34	45	13
13	Torino	34	45	13
14	Genoa	34	43	14
15	Fiorentina	34	42	14
16	Cagliari	34	40	15
17	Lecce	35	33	17
18	Cremonese	34	32	18
19	Verona	34	22	19
20	Pisa	35	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

48.9%

Home Win

28.5%

Draw

22.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Inter 1.50

Bologna 0.95

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Inter

Bologna

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)