Lecce vs Parma - Football Platform

Serie A

Lecce

HT: 1–0

Parma

11 Jan 2026

12:30

Via del Mare

Score Summary

Lecce

1 2

FT HT 1–0

Parma

N. Stulic 1'

64' Tiago Gabriel
72' M. Pellegrino

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Lecce 1472 1462 ▼ -10

51% Win

Parma 1479 1488 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Lecce -0.36 -0.51 ▼ -0.16

40% Win

Parma -0.24 -0.49 ▼ -0.25

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nikola Štulić

Lecce

7.9

7.9 rating · 65 min

Most Clinical

Nikola Štulić

Lecce

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Adrián Bernabé

Parma

7.3

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Lameck Banda

Lecce

5.6

4 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Lecce 33% Parma 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

41 Possession 59

10 Shots 12

1 On Target 2

Form Context

Lecce

L L D D W

Parma

L D D W W

Smart Insight

Parma carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Parma after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 32.9%

Draw 29.9%

Away Win 37.3%

Expected Goals 1.18 - 1.27

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Inter	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus	64	D W W W D
5	Como	61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma	61	W L W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

41 Possession 59

1 Shots 2

10 Shots 12

0 Offsides 2

6 Shots Off Goal 6

1 Shots On Goal 2

10 Total Shots 12

41 Ball Possession 59

213 Passes Accurate 347

284 Total Passes 412

75% Passes % 84%

3 Blocked Shots 4

1 Goalkeeper Saves 0

16 Fouls 17

2 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 1

3 Corner Kicks 3

6 Shots Insidebox 6

4 Shots Outsidebox 6

0.85 expected_goals 1.04

0 goals_prevented 0

Lecce — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Sala	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonino Gallo	0	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	25	25	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Christ-Owen Kouassi	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Corrie Ndaba	0	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	78	3	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Daniele Bleve	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	95	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danilo Veiga	0	0	1	3	-	10	4	-	1	False	90	17	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	2	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Filip Marchwiński	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamil Siebert	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jasper Samooja	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kialonda Gaspar	1	0	1	-	-	7	4	1	2	False	90	4	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Lameck Banda	1	0	5	1	1	14	6	3	1	False	57	19	M	5.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	6	2	8	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	4
👤 Lassana Coulibaly	0	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	-	False	12	29	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Matías Pérez	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mohamed Kaba	0	1	2	1	1	15	6	1	3	False	90	77	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 N'Dri Konan	0	0	2	-	-	8	3	-	2	False	36	11	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nikola Štulić	0	0	1	-	1	11	5	3	1	False	65	9	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Olaf Gorter	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Omri Gandelman	0	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	12	16	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Riccardo Sottil	0	0	2	-	1	4	3	-	1	False	12	23	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Pierotti	0	1	4	2	1	13	4	4	-	False	54	50	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Tiago Gabriel	0	0	-	1	-	13	6	1	3	False	90	44	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	32	-	-	-	-	2	1	1	1
👤 Wladimiro Falcone	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	True	90	30	G	6.7	False	0	2	1	-	-	16	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ylber Ramadani	0	1	1	1	1	6	4	1	1	False	78	20	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Youssef Maleh	0	0	2	-	1	7	4	2	1	False	78	93	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	22	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Þórir Jóhann Helgason	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Parma — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrian Benedyczak	0	1	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	10	7	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adrián Bernabé	0	1	1	-	9	4	1	3	False	81	10	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	42	4	48	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Alessandro Circati	0	-	-	-	7	4	1	-	False	90	39	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	-	77	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Benjamin Cremaschi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Ordoñez	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	9	24	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Edoardo Corvi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	40	G	6.5	False	0	1	-	-	-	26	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emanuele Valeri	0	7	-	3	17	10	2	2	False	90	14	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	29	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	5
👤 Enrico Delprato	1	-	-	-	6	3	2	1	True	90	15	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Filippo Rinaldi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	66	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gaetano Oristanio	0	6	1	3	13	6	-	2	False	85	21	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	16	1	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Jacob Ondrejka	0	3	-	2	7	5	-	1	False	80	17	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Lautaro Valenti	0	-	-	-	14	9	2	2	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Mandela Keita	0	1	3	-	10	3	2	2	False	63	16	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Mariano Troilo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mateo Pellegrino	0	2	-	1	16	9	5	1	False	90	9	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	1	7	1	14	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Milan Đurić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nahuel Estévez	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	27	8	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Oliver Sørensen	0	-	3	-	8	4	-	2	False	90	22	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Patrick Cutrone	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pontus Almqvist	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sascha Britschgi	0	-	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	13	27	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vicente Guaita	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Lecce and Parma

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter		34	25	4	5	80	31	49	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli		34	21	6	7	52	33	19	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan		34	19	10	5	48	27	21	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus		34	18	10	6	57	29	28	64	D W W W D
5	Como		34	17	10	7	59	28	31	61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma		34	19	4	11	48	29	19	61	W L W D W
7	Atalanta		34	14	12	8	47	32	15	54	W W L D L
8	Lazio		34	12	12	10	37	33	4	48	W D L W D
9	Bologna		34	14	6	14	42	41	1	48	L W W L L
10	Sassuolo		34	13	7	14	41	44	-3	46	D W L W D
11	Udinese		34	12	8	14	41	46	-5	44	W D W L D
12	Parma	1-2	34	10	12	12	25	40	-15	42	L D D W W
13	Torino		34	11	8	15	39	56	-17	41	L W W D D
14	Genoa		34	10	9	15	40	48	-8	39	L L W W L
15	Fiorentina		34	8	13	13	38	45	-7	37	D W W D D
16	Cagliari		34	9	9	16	36	49	-13	36	L L W L W
17	Lecce	1-2	35	8	8	19	24	47	-23	32	L L D D W
18	Cremonese		34	6	10	18	26	51	-25	28	W L L D L
19	Verona		34	3	10	21	23	56	-33	19	L L L L D
20	Pisa		35	2	12	21	25	63	-38	18	L L L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Lecce and Parma

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Inter	34	87	1
2	Napoli	34	75	3
3	AC Milan	34	74	3
4	Juventus	34	71	4
5	Como	34	68	5
6	AS Roma	34	68	5
7	Atalanta	34	60	7
8	Lazio	34	53	9
9	Bologna	34	53	9
10	Sassuolo	34	51	10
11	Udinese	34	50	11
12	Parma	34	45	13
13	Torino	34	45	13
14	Genoa	34	43	14
15	Fiorentina	34	42	14
16	Cagliari	34	40	15
17	Lecce	35	33	17
18	Cremonese	34	32	18
19	Verona	34	22	19
20	Pisa	35	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

32.9%

Home Win

29.9%

Draw

37.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Lecce 1.18

Parma 1.27

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Lecce

Parma

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)