Lazio vs Atalanta - Football Platform

Serie A

Lazio

HT: 0–1

Atalanta

41' Ederson
60' N. Zalewski

14 Feb 2026

18:00

Stadio Olimpico

Score Summary

Lazio

0 2

FT HT 0–1

Atalanta

41' Ederson
60' N. Zalewski

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

Lazio 1510 1501 ▼ -9

54% Win

Atalanta 1540 1549 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

43% Win

Lazio -0.24 -0.02 ▲ 0.22

36% Win

Atalanta 0.27 0.37 ▲ 0.10

Top Performers

Top Rated

Marco Carnesecchi

Atalanta

9.9

9.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Éderson

Atalanta

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Lorenzo Bernasconi

Atalanta

7.2

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Danilo Cataldi

Lazio

6.9

2 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Lazio 50% Atalanta 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

50 Possession 50

18 Shots 12

5 On Target 5

Form Context

Lazio

W D L W D

Atalanta

W W L D L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Lazio generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Atalanta after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 39.3%

Draw 29.7%

Away Win 30.9%

Expected Goals 1.31 - 1.14

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Inter	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus	64	D W W W D
5	Como	61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma	61	W L W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

50 Possession 50

5 Shots 5

18 Shots 12

3 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 4

5 Shots On Goal 5

18 Total Shots 12

50 Ball Possession 50

414 Passes Accurate 443

478 Total Passes 494

87% Passes % 90%

6 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 6

10 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 4

5 Corner Kicks 4

11 Shots Insidebox 5

7 Shots Outsidebox 7

1.07 expected_goals 1.59

1 goals_prevented 1

Lazio — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Marusic	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	90	77	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	45	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Adrian Przyborek	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alessio Furlanetto	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	55	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Boulaye Dia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	19	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	4	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Maldini	0	1	-	-	9	6	4	4	False	90	27	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	3	37	-	-	-	1	3	-	2	2
👤 Danilo Cataldi	0	-	-	-	3	3	1	1	True	67	32	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	24	1	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Edoardo Motta	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elseid Hysaj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	7	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Gustav Isaksen	0	3	-	1	5	3	-	1	False	88	18	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	24	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Ivan Provedel	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	94	G	6.3	False	0	2	2	-	-	24	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenneth Taylor	1	3	1	1	11	6	2	1	False	79	24	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	31	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	4
👤 Luca Pellegrini	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Gila Fuentes	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	45	34	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Cancellieri	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	11	22	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolò Rovella	0	1	1	-	5	3	-	1	False	23	6	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Nuno Tavares	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	17	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	2	64	3	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Oliver Provstgaard	0	-	-	-	5	1	1	-	False	90	25	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	56	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Patric	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	45	4	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	36	1	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Petar Ratkov	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	23	20	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Reda Belahyane	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tijjani Noslin	0	2	-	2	3	3	-	1	False	67	14	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	2	24	-	-	-	2	2	1	-	-
👤 Valerio Farcomeni	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	71	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Atalanta — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Berat Djimsiti	1	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	90	19	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	61	-	63	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Davide Zappacosta	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	83	77	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	42	2	46	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Francesco Rossi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Giacomo Raspadori	0	1	1	-	5	2	-	1	False	43	18	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gianluca Scamacca	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Giorgio Scalvini	1	-	1	-	3	1	1	1	False	45	42	D	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	46	-	51	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Honest Ahanor	1	-	1	-	4	2	1	-	False	25	69	D	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	17	-	18	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Isak Hien	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kamaldeen Sulemana	0	1	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	20	7	F	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Lazar Samardžić	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	45	10	F	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	15	1	16	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lorenzo Bernasconi	1	1	-	1	4	2	1	1	False	90	47	M	7.2	False	1	-	-	-	40	3	44	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Marco Carnesecchi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	29	G	9.9	False	0	6	-	-	37	-	47	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Sportiello	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	57	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Pašalić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marten de Roon	0	-	-	-	5	2	2	-	True	90	15	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	44	-	50	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Mitchel Bakker	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicola Zalewski	0	1	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	70	59	F	7.3	False	0	-	1	-	9	-	13	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Krstović	0	2	-	2	12	7	5	1	False	90	90	F	6.7	False	0	-	-	1	14	-	18	-	-	0	-	2	3	-	-	2
👤 Odilon Kossounou	0	-	-	-	4	-	3	-	False	45	3	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	28	-	30	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 Raoul Bellanova	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	13	16	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sead Kolašinac	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	65	23	D	7.2	True	0	-	-	-	31	-	32	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Yunus Musah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Éderson	0	1	-	-	7	3	-	1	False	90	13	M	7.7	False	0	-	1	-	38	3	40	-	-	1	-	1	1	1	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Lazio and Atalanta

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter		34	25	4	5	80	31	49	79	D W W W D
2	Napoli		34	21	6	7	52	33	19	69	W W D L W
3	AC Milan		34	19	10	5	48	27	21	67	W L L W D
4	Juventus		34	18	10	6	57	29	28	64	D W W W D
5	Como		34	17	10	7	59	28	31	61	W D L L W
6	AS Roma		34	19	4	11	48	29	19	61	W L W D W
7	Atalanta	0-2	34	14	12	8	47	32	15	54	W W L D L
8	Lazio	0-2	34	12	12	10	37	33	4	48	W D L W D
9	Bologna		34	14	6	14	42	41	1	48	L W W L L
10	Sassuolo		34	13	7	14	41	44	-3	46	D W L W D
11	Udinese		34	12	8	14	41	46	-5	44	W D W L D
12	Parma		34	10	12	12	25	40	-15	42	L D D W W
13	Torino		34	11	8	15	39	56	-17	41	L W W D D
14	Genoa		34	10	9	15	40	48	-8	39	L L W W L
15	Fiorentina		34	8	13	13	38	45	-7	37	D W W D D
16	Cagliari		34	9	9	16	36	49	-13	36	L L W L W
17	Lecce		35	8	8	19	24	47	-23	32	L L D D W
18	Cremonese		34	6	10	18	26	51	-25	28	W L L D L
19	Verona		34	3	10	21	23	56	-33	19	L L L L D
20	Pisa		35	2	12	21	25	63	-38	18	L L L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Lazio and Atalanta

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Inter	34	87	1
2	Napoli	34	75	3
3	AC Milan	34	74	3
4	Juventus	34	71	4
5	Como	34	68	5
6	AS Roma	34	68	5
7	Atalanta	34	60	7
8	Lazio	34	53	9
9	Bologna	34	53	9
10	Sassuolo	34	51	10
11	Udinese	34	50	11
12	Parma	34	45	13
13	Torino	34	45	13
14	Genoa	34	43	14
15	Fiorentina	34	42	14
16	Cagliari	34	40	15
17	Lecce	35	33	17
18	Cremonese	34	32	18
19	Verona	34	22	19
20	Pisa	35	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

39.3%

Home Win

29.7%

Draw

30.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Lazio 1.31

Atalanta 1.14

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Lazio

Atalanta

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)