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20

HT: 1–0

24 Sep 2025
18:45
Live Ratings
FC Midtjylland
Sturm Graz
Score Summary
FC Midtjylland
2 0
FT HT 1–0
Sturm Graz
Elo & xPi Evolution
Elo Expected win probability
54% Win
FC Midtjylland 1527 1534 β–² 7
46% Win
Sturm Graz 1500 1496 β–Ό -5
xPi Expected win probability
45% Win
FC Midtjylland 0.02 -0.03 β–Ό -0.05
36% Win
Sturm Graz 0.00 -0.36 β–Ό -0.36
Top Performers

Top Rated

Ousmane Diao

Ousmane Diao

FC Midtjylland

8.2

8.2 rating Β· 90 min

Most Clinical

Ousmane Diao

Ousmane Diao

FC Midtjylland

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Tomi Horvat

Tomi Horvat

Sturm Graz

6.2

3 key passes Β· 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Pedro Bravo

Pedro Bravo

FC Midtjylland

7.5

5 tackles Β· 3 interceptions

Match Momentum
FC Midtjylland 56% Sturm Graz 44%
Key Stats Snapshot
53 Possession 47
7 Shots 11
5 On Target 4
Form Context

FC Midtjylland

W L W D W

Sturm Graz

D L L L W
Smart Insight
  • FC Midtjylland controlled momentum for most phases of play.
  • Sturm Graz produced more shot pressure than expected.
  • Elo movement favors FC Midtjylland after this result.
Prediction (dixon_coles)
Home Win 37.9%
Draw 28.3%
Away Win 33.7%
Expected Goals 1.39 - 1.30
#TeamScrPtsForm
1 Lyon 21 L W W W W
2 Aston Villa 21 W W W W W
3 FC Midtjylland 2-0 19 W L W D W
4 Real Betis 17 W W W L W
5 FC Porto 17 D W W D W
6 SC Braga 17 L D W W D
Qualified β€” Round of 16
Knockout play-offs
Eliminated