Brann vs Bologna - Football Platform

Europa League

Bologna

9' S. Castro

19 Feb 2026

18:45

Brann Stadion

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 0 - 2

Score Summary

Brann

0 1

FT HT 0–1

Bologna

9' S. Castro

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Brann 1495 1485 ▼ -10

51% Win

Bologna 1502 1512 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

35% Win

Brann 0.04 -0.01 ▼ -0.05

46% Win

Bologna 0.10 -0.03 ▼ -0.13

Top Performers

Top Rated

Matias Dyngeland

Brann

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Santiago Castro

Bologna

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Nikola Moro

Bologna

6.6

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Denzel De Roeve

Brann

6.9

5 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Brann 29% Bologna 71%

Key Stats Snapshot

65 Possession 35

4 Shots 13

2 On Target 5

Form Context

Brann

D D L D L

Bologna

D W W D W

Smart Insight

Bologna carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Bologna produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Bologna after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 29.3%

Draw 28.0%

Away Win 42.6%

Expected Goals 1.20 - 1.49

Qualification %

Brann 0.0%

Bologna 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

65 Possession 35

2 Shots 5

4 Shots 13

4 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 4

2 Shots On Goal 5

4 Total Shots 13

65 Ball Possession 35

456 Passes Accurate 196

568 Total Passes 293

80% Passes % 67%

0 Blocked Shots 4

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

14 Fouls 20

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

7 Corner Kicks 4

3 Shots Insidebox 10

1 Shots Outsidebox 3

0.50 expected_goals 0.94

0 goals_prevented 0

Brann — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bård Finne	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Denzel De Roeve	0	3	1	1	15	10	-	1	False	90	21	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	5
👤 Felix Horn Myhre	0	2	-	2	7	5	-	3	False	90	8	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	51	-	57	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen	0	1	-	1	11	9	1	1	True	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	67	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Jacob Lungi Sørensen	0	-	1	-	14	7	2	1	False	90	18	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	71	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Jesper Nerhus Eikrem	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joachim Soltvedt	0	-	2	-	5	3	1	2	False	79	17	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	2	41	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson	0	-	2	-	10	4	2	1	False	79	16	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	23	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Kristall Máni Ingason	0	3	2	-	11	2	3	-	False	69	10	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	15	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Lars Remmem	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mads Berg Sande	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Markus Haaland	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	2	False	11	32	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Mathias Engevik Klausen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matias Dyngeland	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	0	1	4	-	-	73	-	81	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nana Kwame Boakye	1	1	1	-	9	5	1	1	False	90	4	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	100	-	110	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Noah Jean Holm	0	1	-	1	16	11	2	4	False	90	29	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	17	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Rasmus Holten	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Simen Vidtun Nilsen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thore Baardsen Pedersen	0	1	1	1	7	3	2	1	False	21	23	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ulrik Mathisen	0	-	-	-	7	3	-	1	False	79	14	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	5	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Vetle Winger Dragsnes	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	20	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Bologna — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Benjamín Domínguez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Bernardeschi	1	3	-	1	6	1	2	-	False	45	10	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Ravaglia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jens Odgaard	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jhon Lucumí	0	-	-	-	10	6	-	-	False	90	26	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	26	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jonathan Rowe	0	2	-	1	5	3	-	1	False	3	11	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 João Mário	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Miranda	0	2	1	2	9	5	1	3	False	90	33	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	26	2	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lewis Ferguson	0	-	-	-	14	6	3	2	True	75	19	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	12	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Martin Vitík	0	-	1	-	9	2	5	-	False	90	41	D	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	20	-	28	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Massimo Pessina	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nadir Zortea	0	1	1	1	6	2	2	-	False	90	20	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	10	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Nicolò Cambiaghi	0	2	1	1	10	6	1	1	False	87	28	F	7.5	False	1	-	-	-	16	2	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	4
👤 Nicolò Casale	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Moro	0	2	-	1	8	3	-	1	False	75	6	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	20	3	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Remo Freuler	0	-	-	-	7	3	1	1	False	90	8	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	17	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Riccardo Orsolini	0	5	-	4	7	6	1	1	False	45	7	F	7.2	True	0	-	-	-	11	1	15	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Castro	0	2	1	-	11	4	1	1	False	45	9	F	7.7	False	0	-	1	1	5	-	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Simon Sohm	0	1	-	-	5	1	3	-	False	15	23	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Thijs Dallinga	0	2	-	-	7	3	-	2	False	45	24	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Tommaso Pobega	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	15	4	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Torbjørn Heggem	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Łukasz Skorupski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	2	-	-	9	-	21	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Brann and Bologna

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna	0-1	8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann	0-1	8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Brann

0.0%

Bologna

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Brann 0-1 Bologna

Current aggregate: 0-2

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

29.3%

Home Win

28.0%

Draw

42.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Brann 1.20

Bologna 1.49

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Brann

Bologna

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)