Ludogorets vs Ferencvarosi TC - Football Platform

Europa League

Ferencvarosi TC

24' K. Duah
27' Dele
67' Son

19 Feb 2026

21:00

Huvepharma Arena

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 2 - 3

Score Summary

Ludogorets

2 1

FT HT 1–1

Ferencvarosi TC

K. Duah 24'
Son 67'

27' Dele

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

44% Win

Ludogorets 1494 1505 ▲ 11

56% Win

Ferencvarosi TC 1533 1522 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

42% Win

Ludogorets -0.17 -0.25 ▼ -0.08

36% Win

Ferencvarosi TC 0.04 0.08 ▲ 0.04

Top Performers

Top Rated

Son

Ludogorets

8.2

8.2 rating · 83 min

Most Clinical

Son

Ludogorets

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Gabi Kanichowsky

Ferencvarosi TC

6.2

6 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Pedro Naressi

Ludogorets

7.2

7 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Ludogorets 50% Ferencvarosi TC 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

43 Possession 57

10 Shots 17

4 On Target 4

Form Context

Ludogorets

L W D L W

Ferencvarosi TC

W D W D L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Ferencvarosi TC produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Ludogorets after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 39.4%

Draw 28.3%

Away Win 32.4%

Expected Goals 1.42 - 1.27

Qualification %

Ludogorets 0.0%

Ferencvarosi TC 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

43 Possession 57

4 Shots 4

10 Shots 17

3 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 4

10 Total Shots 17

43 Ball Possession 57

273 Passes Accurate 399

353 Total Passes 465

77% Passes % 86%

4 Blocked Shots 9

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

11 Fouls 17

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 4

4 Corner Kicks 4

7 Shots Insidebox 10

3 Shots Outsidebox 7

0.47 expected_goals 1.57

0 goals_prevented 0

Ludogorets — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anton Nedyalkov	0	-	4	-	8	1	1	-	True	90	3	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Bernard Tekpetey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Caio Vidal	0	3	1	2	13	7	-	4	False	90	11	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	2	11	-	13	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Damyan Hristov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	67	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Deroy Duarte	0	-	1	-	5	1	2	-	False	90	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dinis Almeida	1	-	-	-	7	6	-	1	False	90	4	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Erick Marcus	0	2	-	1	4	3	-	1	False	24	77	F	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	1	5	2	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Filip Kaloč	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Georgi Penev	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	81	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hendrik Bonmann	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	90	39	G	6.6	False	0	1	3	-	-	18	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Idan Nachmias	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	45	55	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ivajlo Chochev	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	14	18	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Yordanov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Andersson	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	14	2	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kwadwo Duah	0	2	-	1	4	2	-	1	False	76	9	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	6	-	11	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Olivier Verdon	0	1	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	45	24	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Pedro Naressi	1	-	1	-	19	11	5	2	False	90	30	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	30	2	37	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	7
👤 Petar Stanić	0	2	-	-	7	3	-	2	False	76	14	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	2	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Rwan Cruz	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	14	12	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Sergio Padt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Son	0	1	-	1	5	4	-	2	False	83	17	D	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	31	1	40	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	1
👤 Stanislav Ivanov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	99	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinicius Nogueira	1	1	1	-	6	3	1	1	False	66	27	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Ferencvarosi TC — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Barnabás Nagy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	77	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bence Ötvös	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	1	False	60	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Cadu	1	2	-	2	5	4	1	-	False	75	20	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	2	34	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Callum O'Dowda	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	15	47	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Cebrail Makreckis	1	4	1	4	9	6	1	-	False	90	25	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Dávid Gróf	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	99	G	6.2	False	0	2	2	-	-	13	-	20	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franko Kovačević	0	1	-	-	6	2	-	-	False	75	19	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Gabi Kanichowsky	0	-	1	-	9	2	2	1	False	90	36	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	6	42	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Gábor Szalai	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Cissé	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	True	90	27	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	2	58	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 Jonathan Levi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Júlio Romão	0	-	-	-	6	4	2	1	False	30	66	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Kristoffer Zachariassen	0	1	-	1	4	2	-	-	False	15	16	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Lenny Joseph	0	1	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	15	75	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mariano Gómez	0	-	1	-	10	5	3	1	False	90	4	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	-	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Mohammad Abu Fani	1	2	-	1	10	5	2	3	False	75	15	M	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	32	1	41	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Naby Keïta	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toon Raemaekers	0	-	1	-	9	4	2	1	False	90	28	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	74	1	81	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	2
👤 Yusuf Bamidele	0	2	-	1	11	4	3	2	False	86	11	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	1	6	-	9	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Zalán Tóth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Zsombor Gruber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	30	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ádám Madarász	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	72	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ádám Varga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Ludogorets and Ferencvarosi TC

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC	2-1	8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets	2-1	8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Ludogorets

0.0%

Ferencvarosi TC

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Ludogorets 2-1 Ferencvarosi TC

Current aggregate: 2-3

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

39.4%

Home Win

28.3%

Draw

32.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Ludogorets 1.42

Ferencvarosi TC 1.27

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Ludogorets

Ferencvarosi TC

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)