Plzen vs Panathinaikos - Football Platform

PEN

Europa League

Panathinaikos

9' A. Tetteh
62' K. Spacil

26 Feb 2026

18:45

Doosan Arena

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 3 - 3

Score Summary

Plzen

1 1

PEN HT 0–1

Panathinaikos

K. Spacil 62'

9' A. Tetteh

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

Plzen 1525 1524 ▼ 0

48% Win

Panathinaikos 1514 1514 ▲ 0

xPi Expected win probability

47% Win

Plzen -0.08 -0.12 ▼ -0.04

35% Win

Panathinaikos -0.06 -0.14 ▼ -0.08

Top Performers

Top Rated

Patrik Hrošovský

Plzen

9.2

9.2 rating · 120 min

Most Clinical

Karel Spáčil

Plzen

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Patrik Hrošovský

Plzen

9.2

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Sampson Dweh

Plzen

7.6

6 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Plzen 40% Panathinaikos 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

59 Possession 41

17 Shots 10

2 On Target 3

Form Context

Plzen

D D D D W

Panathinaikos

W W D D D

Smart Insight

Panathinaikos carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Plzen generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 42.7%

Draw 28.0%

Away Win 29.2%

Expected Goals 1.49 - 1.20

Qualification %

Plzen 0.0%

Panathinaikos 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

59 Possession 41

2 Shots 3

17 Shots 10

1 Offsides 2

12 Shots Off Goal 5

2 Shots On Goal 3

17 Total Shots 10

59 Ball Possession 41

569 Passes Accurate 338

688 Total Passes 474

83% Passes % 71%

3 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

22 Fouls 15

0 Red Cards 1

1 Yellow Cards 5

7 Corner Kicks 3

10 Shots Insidebox 6

7 Shots Outsidebox 4

0.95 expected_goals 1.36

0 goals_prevented 0

Plzen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Novak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexandr Sojka	0	1	1	1	8	6	-	1	False	37	12	M	7.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amar Memić	0	4	-	1	14	8	3	1	False	120	99	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	40	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	3
👤 Cheick Souaré	0	1	-	-	7	3	-	-	False	120	19	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	69	3	88	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Denis Višinský	0	8	1	2	18	8	1	3	False	120	9	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	39	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	2
👤 Florian Wiegele	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	120	44	G	7.3	False	0	1	2	-	-	28	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jakub Chalupa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jiří Panoš	0	3	1	2	6	2	1	-	False	20	20	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karel Spáčil	0	1	-	-	11	8	2	1	False	83	5	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	46	-	58	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	3
👤 Lukáš Červ	0	-	-	-	14	7	2	3	True	82	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	2	48	-	-	-	-	1	-	4	2
👤 Marián Tvrdoň	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matyáš Šilhavý	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matěj Valenta	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	38	32	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	26	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	-
👤 Matěj Vydra	0	1	1	-	3	-	-	-	False	39	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrik Hrošovský	1	1	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	120	17	M	9.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	96	3	104	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Prince Kwabena Adu	0	5	-	1	18	5	4	3	False	75	80	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	18	1	21	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Salim Fago Lawal	0	1	-	-	9	4	3	2	False	81	70	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	2	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Sampson Dweh	0	-	-	-	20	13	3	1	False	120	40	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	80	-	85	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	6
👤 Tomáš Ladra	0	1	-	1	7	3	-	-	False	100	18	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	47	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Václav Jemelka	0	-	1	-	13	8	1	-	False	45	21	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2

Panathinaikos — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Gnezda Čerin	0	0	-	1	-	5	4	-	1	False	31	16	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Ahmed Touba	0	1	-	-	-	17	9	2	1	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Alban Lafont	0	1	-	-	-	3	3	-	3	False	120	40	G	7.7	False	0	1	1	-	-	13	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anass Zaroury	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	-	1	False	45	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anastasios Bakasetas	0	1	1	-	1	10	7	1	3	True	89	11	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Andreas Tetteh	0	0	4	-	1	32	12	2	2	False	116	7	F	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	14	2	21	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Christos Gitonas	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	71	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Davide Calabria	0	1	1	3	-	11	4	1	1	False	120	2	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Facundo Pellistri	0	0	3	-	2	8	5	2	-	False	44	28	M	7.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Filip Đuričić	0	0	1	-	-	14	4	-	2	False	75	31	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	2	15	-	21	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Georgios Katris	0	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	120	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	2
👤 Georgios Kyriakopoulos	0	0	-	2	-	11	5	1	3	False	120	77	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	40	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Javier Hernández	1	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	15	26	D	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karol Świderski	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	11	19	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Konstantinos Kotsaris	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	70	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Miloš Pantović	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	4	72	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Renato Sanches	0	1	3	-	2	9	4	2	1	False	109	8	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	47	-	-	-	1	2	-	3	-
👤 Santino Andino	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sverrir Ingi Ingason	0	0	-	1	-	14	11	2	2	False	120	15	D	8	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	47	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	6
👤 Vicente Taborda	0	0	-	-	-	6	5	1	1	False	76	20	F	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	22	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Plzen and Panathinaikos

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen	1-1	8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos	1-1	8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Plzen

0.0%

Panathinaikos

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Panathinaikos 2-2 Plzen

Current aggregate: 3-3

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

42.7%

Home Win

28.0%

Draw

29.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Plzen 1.49

Panathinaikos 1.20

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Plzen

Panathinaikos

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)